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Acyclic directed mixed graphs, also known as semi-Markov models represent the conditional independence structure induced on an observed margin by a DAG model with latent variables. In this paper we present the first method for fitting these…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-19 Robin J. Evans , Thomas S. Richardson

Target parameter estimation performance is investigated for a radar employing a set of widely separated transmitting and receiving antenna arrays. Cases with multiple extended targets are considered under two signal model assumptions:…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Peter Khomchuk , Igal Bilik , Rick S. Blum

We consider the classical estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter within classes of nondegenerate diffusion processes. Using rough path theory (in the sense of T. Lyons), we analyze the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Joscha Diehl , Peter Friz , Hilmar Mai

The problem of structure estimation in graphical models with latent variables is considered. We characterize conditions for tractable graph estimation and develop efficient methods with provable guarantees. We consider models where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-23 Animashree Anandkumar , Ragupathyraj Valluvan

We devise a Monte Carlo based method for detecting whether a non-negative Markov chain is stable for a given set of parameter values. More precisely, for a given subset of the parameter space, we develop an algorithm that is capable of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Michel Mandjes , Brendan Patch , Neil Walton

We consider the problem of modelling restricted interactions between continuously-observed time series as given by a known static graph (or network) structure. For this purpose, we define a parametric multivariate Graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-08 Valentin Courgeau , Almut E. D. Veraart

By taking into account the nonlinear effect of the cause, the inner noise effect, and the measurement distortion effect in the observed variables, the post-nonlinear (PNL) causal model has demonstrated its excellent performance in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-05-14 Kun Zhang , Aapo Hyvarinen

fMRI is a non-invasive technique for investigating brain activity, offering high-resolution insights into neural processes. Understanding and decoding cognitive brain states from fMRI depends on how functional interactions are represented.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-23 Daniil Vlasenko , Vadim Ushakov , Alexey Zaikin , Denis Zakharov

We study the problem of learning a directed acyclic graph from data generated according to an additive, non-linear structural equation model with Gaussian noise. We express each non-linear function through a basis expansion, and derive a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Xiaozhu Zhang , Nir Keret , Ali Shojaie , Armeen Taeb

Linear non-Gaussian causal models postulate that each random variable is a linear function of parent variables and non-Gaussian exogenous error terms. We study identification of the linear coefficients when such models contain latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Daniele Tramontano , Mathias Drton , Jalal Etesami

Markov networks are popular models for discrete multivariate systems where the dependence structure of the variables is specified by an undirected graph. To allow for more expressive dependence structures, several generalizations of Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Johan Pensar , Henrik Nyman , Jukka Corander

At least two, different approaches to define and solve statistical models for the analysis of economic systems exist: the typical, econometric one, interpreting the Gravity Model specification as the expected link weight of an arbitrary…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-06 Marzio Di Vece , Diego Garlaschelli , Tiziano Squartini

State-space models have been used in many applications, including econometrics, engineering, medical research, etc. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the static parameter of general state-space models is not straightforward because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yuxiong Gao , Wentao Li , Rong Chen

Dependence between nodes in a network is an important concept that pervades many areas including finance, politics, sociology, genomics and the brain sciences. One way to characterize dependence between components of a multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-08 Malik Shahid Sultan , Samuel Horvath , Hernando Ombao

Max-linear Bayesian networks have emerged as highly applicable models for causal inference via extreme value data. However, conditional independence (CI) for max-linear Bayesian networks behaves differently than for classical Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Carlos Améndola , Ben Hollering , Seth Sullivant , Ngoc Tran

We propose a betweenness centrality measure and algorithms for stochastic networks, where edges can fail and weights vary across realizations, making the most central node random. Our approach models the sequence of reported central nodes…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Wencheng Bao , Eleftheria Kontou , Chrysafis Vogiatzis

Performance evaluation of nursing homes is usually accomplished by the repeated administration of questionnaires aimed at measuring the health status of the patients during their period of residence in the nursing home. We illustrate how a…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-18 Francesco Bartolucci , Monia Lupparelli , Giorgio E. Montanari

Estimating the number of communities is a fundamental problem in network analysis under the stochastic block model (SBM). In this paper, we study penalized estimators for this task based on normalized likelihood criteria. We show that a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Andressa Cerqueira , Felipe Baptistão

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

Max-linear Bayesian networks (MLBNs) are a relatively recent class of structural equation models which arise when the random variables involved have heavy-tailed distributions. Unlike most directed graphical models, MLBNs are typically not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-20 Carlos Améndola , Benjamin Hollering , Francesco Nowell