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Multivariate Bernoulli autoregressive (BAR) processes model time series of events in which the likelihood of current events is determined by the times and locations of past events. These processes can be used to model nonlinear dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-08 Benjamin Mark , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

We introduce a novel multivariate random process producing Bernoulli outputs per dimension, that can possibly formalize binary interactions in various graphical structures and can be used to model opinion dynamics, epidemics, financial and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-20 Dimitrios Katselis , Carolyn L. Beck , R. Srikant

We consider a dynamic version of the stochastic block model, in which the nodes are partitioned into latent classes and the connection between two nodes is drawn from a Bernoulli distribution depending on the classes of these two nodes. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-30 Léa Longepierre , Catherine Matias

Consider a parametrized family of general hidden Markov models, where both the observed and unobserved components take values in a complete separable metric space. We prove that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson , Ramon van Handel

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

The paper studies large sample asymptotic properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) for the parameter of a continuous time Markov chain, observed in white noise. Using the method of weak convergence of likelihoods due to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Pavel Chigansky

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a multivariate Bernoulli process with auto-regressive feedback in the high-dimensional setting where the number of samples available is much less than the number of parameters. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Parthe Pandit , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Arash A. Amini , Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher

In this paper, we address the identification problem for the systems characterized by linear time-invariant dynamics with bilinear observation models. More precisely, we consider a suitable parametric description of the system and formulate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Diyou Liu , Mohammad Khosravi

Traditionally, graph neural networks have been trained using a single observed graph. However, the observed graph represents only one possible realization. In many applications, the graph may encounter uncertainties, such as having…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 See Hian Lee , Feng Ji , Kelin Xia , Wee Peng Tay

Linear causal models are important tools for modeling causal dependencies and yet in practice, only a subset of the variables can be observed. In this paper, we examine the parameter identifiability of these models by investigating whether…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Xinshuai Dong , Ignavier Ng , Biwei Huang , Yuewen Sun , Songyao Jin , Roberto Legaspi , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

We address the identifiablity and estimation of recursive max-linear structural equation models represented by an edge weighted directed acyclic graph (DAG). Such models are generally unidentifiable and we identify the whole class of DAGs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Nadine Gissibl , Claudia Klüppelberg , Steffen Lauritzen

We consider the problem of decomposing a higher-order tensor with binary entries. Such data problems arise frequently in applications such as neuroimaging, recommendation system, topic modeling, and sensor network localization. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-22 Miaoyan Wang , Lexin Li

We study the problem of parameter estimation based on infection data from an epidemic outbreak on a graph. We assume that successive infections occur via contagion; i.e., transmissions can only spread across existing directed edges in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh

We consider hidden Markov models indexed by a binary tree where the hidden state space is a general metric space. We study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters based only on the observed variables. In both…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Julien Weibel

Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister

A model for network panel data is discussed, based on the assumption that the observed data are discrete observations of a continuous-time Markov process on the space of all directed graphs on a given node set, in which changes in tie…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-13 Tom A. B. Snijders , Johan Koskinen , Michael Schweinberger

Stationary ergodic processes with finite alphabets are estimated by finite memory processes from a sample, an n-length realization of the process, where the memory depth of the estimator process is also estimated from the sample using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-25 Zsolt Talata

Many nonlinear time series models have been proposed in the last decades. Among them, the models with regime switchings provide a class of versatile and interpretable models which have received a particular attention in the literature. In…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-20 Pierre Ailliot , Francoise Pene

Maximum likelihood estimation of large Markov-switching vector autoregressions (MS-VARs) can be challenging or infeasible due to parameter proliferation. To accommodate situations where dimensionality may be of comparable order to or…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-28 Kenwin Maung

Estimation of a single Bernoulli parameter using pooled sampling is among the oldest problems in the group testing literature. To carry out such estimation, an array of efficient estimators have been introduced covering a wide range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Gregory Haber , Yaakov Malinovsky
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