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We consider the task of estimating a conditional density using i.i.d. samples from a joint distribution, which is a fundamental problem with applications in both classification and uncertainty quantification for regression. For joint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Blair Bilodeau , Dylan J. Foster , Daniel M. Roy

Kernel Density Estimation is a very popular technique of approximating a density function from samples. The accuracy is generally well-understood and depends, roughly speaking, on the kernel decay and local smoothness of the true density.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Maciej Skorski

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Kernel techniques are among the most popular and flexible approaches in data science allowing to represent probability measures without loss of information under mild conditions. The resulting mapping called mean embedding gives rise to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Linda Chamakh , Zoltan Szabo

The quest for a formula that satisfactorily measures the effective degrees of freedom in kernel density estimation (KDE) is a long standing problem with few solutions. Starting from the orthogonal polynomial sequence (OPS) expansion for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Sofia Guglielmini , Igor Volobouev , Alexandre Trindade

A two-class mixture model, where the density of one of the components is known, is considered. We address the issue of the nonparametric adaptive estimation of the unknown probability density of the second component. We propose a randomly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-08 Gaelle Chagny , Antoine Channarond , Van Ha Hoang , Angelina Roche

Given $iid$ observations from an unknown absolute continuous distribution defined on some domain $\Omega$, we propose a nonparametric method to learn a piecewise constant function to approximate the underlying probability density function.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Dangna Li , Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

In this paper we study some asymptotic properties of the kernel conditional quantile estimator with randomly left-truncated data which exhibit some kind of dependence. We extend the result obtained by Lemdani, Ould-Sa\"id and Poulin [16] in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-08 Elias Ould-Saïd , Djabrane Yahia , Abdelhakim Necir

This article deals with adaptive nonparametric estimation for L\'evy processes observed at low frequency. For general linear functionals of the L\'evy measure, we construct kernel estimators, provide upper risk bounds and derive rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Johanna Kappus

Neural networks have been widely used as predictive models to fit data distribution, and they could be implemented through learning a collection of samples. In many applications, however, the given dataset may contain noisy samples or…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-05-30 Dianhui Wang , Ming Li

The probability density function (PDF) plays a central role in statistical and machine learning modeling. Real-world data often deviates from Gaussian assumptions, exhibiting skewness and exponential decay. To evaluate how well different…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-05 Shantanu Sarkar , Mousumi Sinha , Dexter Cahoy

Recent work has focused on the problem of nonparametric estimation of information divergence functionals. Many existing approaches are restrictive in their assumptions on the density support set or require difficult calculations at the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Kevin R. Moon , Kumar Sricharan , Kristjan Greenewald , Alfred O. Hero

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the common marginal density function of weakly dependent processes. The accuracy of estimation is measured using pointwise risks. We propose a datadriven procedure using kernel rules. The bandwidth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Karine Bertin , Nicolas Klutchnikoff

Composite likelihood estimation has an important role in the analysis of multivariate data for which the full likelihood function is intractable. An important issue in composite likelihood inference is the choice of the weights associated…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-15 Davide Ferrari , Chao Zheng

In this paper, we investigate the adequacy testing problem of high-dimensional factor-augmented regression model. Existing test procedures perform not well under dense alternatives. To address this critical issue, we introduce a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-04 Yanmei Shi , Leheng Cai , Xu Guo , Shurong Zheng

In this paper we develop a kernel density estimation (KDE) approach to modeling and forecasting recurrent trajectories on a compact manifold. For the purposes of this paper, a trajectory is a sequence of coordinates in a phase space defined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Trevor K. Karn , Steven Petrone , Christopher Griffin

Several emerging post-Bayesian methods target a probability distribution for which an entropy-regularised variational objective is minimised. This increased flexibility introduces a computational challenge, as one loses access to an…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-17 Clémentine Chazal , Heishiro Kanagawa , Zheyang Shen , Anna Korba , Chris. J. Oates

In recent years, kernel density estimation has been exploited by computer scientists to model machine learning problems. The kernel density estimation based approaches are of interest due to the low time complexity of either O(n) or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-10-16 Yen-Jen Oyang , Darby Tien-Hao Chang , Yu-Yen Ou , Hao-Geng Hung , Chih-Peng Wu , Chien-Yu Chen

We consider kernel estimation of marginal densities and regression functions of stationary processes. It is shown that for a wide class of time series, with proper centering and scaling, the maximum deviations of kernel density and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Weidong Liu , Wei Biao Wu

Local polynomial density (LPD) estimators are widely used for inference on boundary features of the density function. Contrary to conventional wisdom, we show that kernel choice substantially affects efficiency. Theory, simulations, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-08 Shunsuke Imai , Yuta Okamoto
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