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The M6 Competition assessed the performance of competitors using a ranked probability score and an information ratio (IR). While these metrics do well at picking the winners in the competition, crucial questions remain for investors with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Matthew J. Schneider , Rufus Rankin , Prabir Burman , Alexander Aue

In segmented regression, when the regression function is continuous at the change-points that are the boundaries of the segments, it is also called joinpoint regression, and the analysis package developed by \cite{KimFFM00} has become a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-11 Kazuki Nakajima , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Fairness in machine learning research is commonly framed in the context of classification tasks, leaving critical gaps in regression. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to measure intersectional fairness in regression tasks, going…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Joe Germino , Nuno Moniz , Nitesh V. Chawla

Collaborative recommendation is an information-filtering technique that attempts to present information items (movies, music, books, news, images, Web pages, etc.) that are likely of interest to the Internet user. Traditionally,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-10-14 Gérard Biau , Benoit Cadre , Laurent Rouvière

The widely applicable information criterion (WAIC) has been used as a model selection criterion for Bayesian statistics in recent years. It is an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the Kullback-Leibler divergence between a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Regularized models have been applied in lots of areas, with high-dimensional data sets being popular. Because tuning parameter decides the theoretical performance and computational efficiency of the regularized models, tuning parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Pan Shang , Lingchen Kong , Yiting Ma

Given a directed forest-graph, a probabilistic \emph{selection mechanism} is a probability distribution over the vertex set. A selection mechanism is \emph{incentive-compatible} (IC), if the probability assigned to a vertex does not change…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Yakov Babichenko , Oren Dean , Moshe Tennenholtz

The Competitive Industrial Performance index (developed by experts of the UNIDO) is designed as a measure of national competitiveness. Index is an aggregate of eight observable variables, representing different dimensions of competitive…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-11 Andrey Subochev , Igor Zakhlebin

Quantitative properties of stochastic systems are usually specified in logics that allow one to compare the measure of executions satisfying certain temporal properties with thresholds. The model checking problem for stochastic systems with…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-05-11 Axel Legay , Benoit Delahaye

Unbiased assessment of the predictivity of models learnt by supervised machine-learning methods requires knowledge of the learned function over a reserved test set (not used by the learning algorithm). The quality of the assessment depends,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Elias Fekhari , Bertrand Iooss , Joseph Muré , Luc Pronzato , Maria-João Rendas

This paper introduces a new property of estimators of the strength of statistical association, which helps characterize how well an estimator will perform in scenarios where dependencies between continuous and discrete random variables need…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Kiran Karra , Lamine Mili

Following a long tradition of physicists who have noticed that the Ising model provides a general background to build realistic models of social interactions, we study a model of financial price dynamics resulting from the collective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Didier Sornette , Wei-Xing Zhou

The masking-one-out (MOO) procedure, masking an observed entry and comparing it versus its imputed values, is a very common procedure for comparing imputation models. We study the optimum of this procedure and generalize it to a missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Yanjiao Yang , Daniel Suen , Yen-Chi Chen

Pairwise comparisons are a well-known method for the representation of the subjective preferences of a decision maker. Evaluating their inconsistency has been a widely studied and discussed topic and several indices have been proposed in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-12-25 Matteo Brunelli , Michele Fedrizzi

Sampling-based Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a flexible control framework that can reason about non-smooth dynamics and cost functions. Recently, significant work has focused on the use of machine learning to improve the performance of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Jacob Sacks , Byron Boots

Penalized regression models are popularly used in high-dimensional data analysis to conduct variable selection and model fitting simultaneously. Whereas success has been widely reported in literature, their performances largely depend on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-16 Wei Sun , Junhui Wang , Yixin Fang

We propose the Sobolev Independence Criterion (SIC), an interpretable dependency measure between a high dimensional random variable X and a response variable Y . SIC decomposes to the sum of feature importance scores and hence can be used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Youssef Mroueh , Tom Sercu , Mattia Rigotti , Inkit Padhi , Cicero Dos Santos

Imitation learning (IL) has seen remarkable progress, yet field deployment of IL-powered robots remains hindered by the challenge of out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios. Fine-tuning pre-trained policies with end-user demonstrations…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Noushad Sojib , Momotaz Begum

We seek to narrow the gap between parametric and nonparametric modelling of stationary time series processes. The approach is inspired by recent advances in focused inference and model selection techniques. The paper generalises and extends…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort , Martin Jullum

Zellner (1988) modeled statistical inference in terms of information processing and postulated the Information Conservation Principle (ICP) between the input and output of the information processing block, showing that this yielded Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Sayandev Mukherjee