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This paper introduces algorithms to select/design kernels in Gaussian process regression/kriging surrogate modeling techniques. We adopt the setting of kernel method solutions in ad hoc functional spaces, namely Reproducing Kernel Hilbert…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-07 Jean-Luc Akian , Luc Bonnet , Houman Owhadi , Éric Savin

Kernels representing limiting cases of neural network architectures have recently gained popularity. However, the application and performance of these new kernels compared to existing options, such as the Matern kernel, is not well studied.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-14 Amanda Muyskens , Benjamin W. Priest , Imene R. Goumiri , Michael D. Schneider

In recent years, surrogate models have been successfully used in likelihood-free inference to decrease the number of simulator evaluations. The current state-of-the-art performance for this task has been achieved by Bayesian Optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-06 Alexander Aushev , Henri Pesonen , Markus Heinonen , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski

In many real-world applications we are interested in approximating costly functions that are analytically unknown, e.g. complex computer codes. An emulator provides a fast approximation of such functions relying on a limited number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow , Daniel Williamson

Collecting operationally realistic data to inform machine learning models can be costly. Before collecting new data, it is helpful to understand where a model is deficient. For example, object detectors trained on images of rare objects may…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Anna R. Flowers , Christopher T. Franck , Robert B. Gramacy , Justin A. Krometis

Several machine learning problems arising in natural language processing can be modeled as a sequence labeling problem. We provide Gaussian process models based on pseudo-likelihood approximation to perform sequence labeling. Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-22 P. K. Srijith , P. Balamurugan , Shirish Shevade

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a probabilistic nonparametric representation of functions in regression, classification, and other problems. Unfortunately, exact learning with GPs is intractable for large datasets. A variety of approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-02-23 Yuan Qi , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad , Thomas P. Minka

Spectral functions encode key many-body information but are costly to compute with high fidelity. Machine-learning surrogates have emerged as a powerful alternative, yet many approaches require large training datasets. We develop a…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-05-08 Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Weiguo Yin , Niraj Aryal

In their standard form Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a powerful non-parametric framework for regression and classificaton tasks. Their one limiting property is their $\mathcal{O}(N^{3})$ scaling where $N$ is the number of training data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Vidhi Lalchand , A. C. Faul

In this work, we present a novel machine learning approach for pricing high-dimensional American options based on the modified Gaussian process regression (GPR). We incorporate deep kernel learning and sparse variational Gaussian processes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-19 Jirong Zhuang , Deng Ding , Weiguo Lu , Xuan Wu , Gangnan Yuan

Greedy kernel approximation algorithms are successful techniques for sparse and accurate data-based modelling and function approximation. Based on a recent idea of stabilization of such algorithms in the scalar output case, we here consider…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Bernard Haasdonk , Tizian Wenzel , Gabriele Santin , Syn Schmitt

Non-conjugate Gaussian processes (NCGPs) define a flexible probabilistic framework to model categorical, ordinal and continuous data, and are widely used in practice. However, exact inference in NCGPs is prohibitively expensive for large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Lukas Tatzel , Jonathan Wenger , Frank Schneider , Philipp Hennig

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a flexible, nonparametric approach to regression that naturally quantifies uncertainty. In many applications, the number of responses and covariates are both large, and a goal is to select covariates that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Jian Cao , Joseph Guinness , Marc G. Genton , Matthias Katzfuss

Gaussian process (GP) is a powerful modeling method with applications in machine learning for various engineering and non-engineering fields. Despite numerous benefits of modeling using GPs, the computational complexity associated with GPs…

Bayesian optimization is a technique for optimizing black-box target functions. At the core of Bayesian optimization is a surrogate model that predicts the output of the target function at previously unseen inputs to facilitate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Felix Jimenez , Matthias Katzfuss

Many inferential tasks involve fitting models to observed data and predicting outcomes at new covariate values, requiring interpolation or extrapolation. Conventional methods select a single best-fitting model, discarding fits that were…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Soonhong Cho , Doeun Kim , Chad Hazlett

Operator learning focuses on approximating mappings $\mathcal{G}^\dagger:\mathcal{U} \rightarrow\mathcal{V}$ between infinite-dimensional spaces of functions, such as $u: \Omega_u\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$ and $v:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Carlos Mora , Amin Yousefpour , Shirin Hosseinmardi , Houman Owhadi , Ramin Bostanabad

Gaussian processes (GPs) enable principled computation of model uncertainty, making them attractive for safety-critical applications. Such scenarios demand that GP decisions are not only accurate, but also robust to perturbations. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Andrea Patane , Arno Blaas , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Stephen Roberts , Marta Kwiatkowska

Machine learning models play a vital role in time series forecasting. These models, however, often overlook an important element: point uncertainty estimates. Incorporating these estimates is crucial for effective risk management, informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Leonid Erlygin , Vladimir Zholobov , Valeriia Baklanova , Evgeny Sokolovskiy , Alexey Zaytsev

The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to large data sets is limited due to heavy memory and computational requirements. A variety of methods has been proposed to enable scalability, one of which is to exploit structure in the kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Jan Graßhoff , Alexandra Jankowski , Philipp Rostalski
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