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We propose Joint Moment Estimation (JME), a method for continually and privately estimating both the first and second moments of data with reduced noise compared to naive approaches. JME uses the matrix mechanism and a joint sensitivity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Nikita P. Kalinin , Jalaj Upadhyay , Christoph H. Lampert

Probit models are useful for modeling correlated discrete responses in many disciplines, including consumer choice data in economics and marketing. However, the Gaussian latent variable feature of probit models coupled with identification…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Patrick Ding , Guido Imbens , Zhaonan Qu , Yinyu Ye

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

We study identification of dynamic discrete choice models with hyperbolic discounting. We show that the standard discount factor, present bias factor, and instantaneous utility functions for the sophisticated agent are point-identified from…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-01 Taiga Tsubota

We present a method for identification of models with good predictive performances in the family of Bayesian log-linear mixed models with Dirichlet process random effects. Such a problem arises in many different applications; here we…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Cinzia Carota , Maurizio Filippone , Silvia Polettini

While exogenous variables have a major impact on performance improvement in time series analysis, inter-series correlation and time dependence among them are rarely considered in the present continuous methods. The dynamical systems of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Penglei Gao , Xi Yang , Rui Zhang , Ping Guo , John Y. Goulermas , Kaizhu Huang

Problem definition. In retailing, discrete choice models (DCMs) are commonly used to capture the choice behavior of customers when offered an assortment of products. When estimating DCMs using transaction data, flexible models (such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Ningyuan Chen , Guillermo Gallego , Zhuodong Tang

To model time series accurately is important within a wide range of fields. As the world is generally too complex to be modelled exactly, it is often meaningful to assess the probability of a dynamical system to be in a specific state. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Mari Dahl Eggen , Alise Danielle Midtfjord

We propose an iterative proposal to estimate critical points for statistical models based on configurations by combing machine-learning tools. Firstly, phase scenarios and preliminary boundaries of phases are obtained by…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-10-23 X. L. Zhao , L. B. Fu

Time delay estimation plays a critical role in control, stabilization and state estimation of many practical system with time delay. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate delay for discrete time linear multiple-input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-08 Iman Shafikhani , Hazhar Sufi Karimi , Mohammad Mohammadian , Amin Ramezani , Hamid Reza Momeni

We study the dynamics of matrix-valued time series with observed network structures by proposing a matrix network autoregression model with row and column networks of the subjects. We incorporate covariate information and a low rank…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Xuening Zhu , Feifei Wang , Zeng Li , Yanyuan Ma

Deep models are designed to operate on huge volumes of high dimensional data such as images. In order to reduce the volume of data these models must process, we propose a set-based two-stage end-to-end neural subsampling model that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Bruno Andreis , Seanie Lee , A. Tuan Nguyen , Juho Lee , Eunho Yang , Sung Ju Hwang

Progressive Neural Network Learning is a class of algorithms that incrementally construct the network's topology and optimize its parameters based on the training data. While this approach exempts the users from the manual task of designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Dat Thanh Tran , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

With the increasing deployment of machine learning models in many socially sensitive tasks, there is a growing demand for reliable and trustworthy predictions. One way to accomplish these requirements is to allow a model to abstain from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Andrea Pugnana , Lorenzo Perini , Jesse Davis , Salvatore Ruggieri

Latent Class Choice Models (LCCM) are extensions of discrete choice models (DCMs) that capture unobserved heterogeneity in the choice process by segmenting the population based on the assumption of preference similarities. We present a…

Machine-learning approaches to algorithm-selection typically take data describing an instance as input. Input data can take the form of features derived from the instance description or fitness landscape, or can be a direct representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Quentin Renau , Emma Hart

We develop a discrete-time version of the blended dynamics theorem for the use of designing distributed computation algorithms. The blended dynamics theorem enables to predict the behavior of heterogeneous multi-agent systems. Therefore,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-01 Jeong Woo Kim , Jin Gyu Lee , Donggil Lee , Hyungbo Shim

A standing challenge in data privacy is the trade-off between the level of privacy and the efficiency of statistical inference. Here we conduct an in-depth study of this trade-off for parameter estimation in the $\beta$-model (Chatterjee,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Jinyuan Chang , Qiao Hu , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Qiwei Yao , Fengting Yi

In this paper, we study the problem of precision matrix estimation when the dataset contains sensitive information. In the differential privacy framework, we develop a differentially private ridge estimator by perturbing the sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-09 Wenqing Su , Xiao Guo , Hai Zhang