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We introduce a new instrumental variable (IV) estimator for heterogeneous treatment effects in the presence of endogeneity. Our estimator is based on double/debiased machine learning (DML) and uses efficient machine learning instruments…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Cyrill Scheidegger , Zijian Guo , Peter Bühlmann

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

The instrumental variable quantile regression (IVQR) model (Chernozhukov and Hansen, 2005) is a popular tool for estimating causal quantile effects with endogenous covariates. However, estimation is complicated by the non-smoothness and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-14 Hiroaki Kaido , Kaspar Wuthrich

We study optimal procedures for estimating a linear functional based on observational data. In many problems of this kind, a widely used assumption is strict overlap, i.e., uniform boundedness of the importance ratio, which measures how…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a widely used nonparametric method due to its strong theoretical guarantees and computational convenience. However, standard KRR does not distinguish between linear and nonlinear components in the signal,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Xin Bing , Chao Wang

The problem of endogeneity in statistics and econometrics is often handled by introducing instrumental variables (IV) which fulfill the mean independence assumption, i.e. the unobservable is mean independent of the instruments. When full…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-13 Fabian Dunker

In randomized controlled trials without interference, regression adjustment is widely used to enhance the efficiency of treatment effect estimation. This paper extends this efficiency principle to settings with network interference, where a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Xinyuan Fan , Chenlei Leng , Weichi Wu

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a standard method for performing non-parametric regression over reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. Given $n$ samples, the time and space complexity of computing the KRR estimate scale as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-27 Yun Yang , Mert Pilanci , Martin J. Wainwright

In the instrumental variable quantile regression (IVQR) model of Chernozhukov and Hansen (2005), a one-dimensional unobserved rank variable monotonically determines a single potential outcome. In practice, when researchers are interested in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Haruki Kono

Representing, comparing, and measuring the distance between probability distributions is a key task in computational statistics and machine learning. The choice of representation and the associated distance determine properties of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Masha Naslidnyk

Under the reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS), we consider the penalized least-squares of the partially functional linear models (PFLM), whose predictor contains both functional and traditional multivariate parts, and the multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Huiming Zhang , Xiaoyu Lei

Variable selection is central to high-dimensional data analysis, and various algorithms have been developed. Ideally, a variable selection algorithm shall be flexible, scalable, and with theoretical guarantee, yet most existing algorithms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-04 Xin He , Junhui Wang , Shaogao Lv

Instrumental variables (eliminate the bias that afflicts least-squares identification of dynamical systems through noisy data, yet traditionally relies on external instruments that are seldom available for nonlinear time series data. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

We propose a new method for input variable selection in nonlinear regression. The method is embedded into a kernel regression machine that can model general nonlinear functions, not being a priori limited to additive models. This is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Magda Gregorová , Jason Ramapuram , Alexandros Kalousis , Stéphane Marchand-Maillet

Multireference alignment (MRA) refers to the problem of recovering a signal from noisy samples subject to random circular shifts. Expectation--maximization (EM) and variational approaches use statistical modeling to achieve high accuracy at…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Vahid Shahverdi , Emanuel Ström , Joakim Andén

We present an operator-free, measure-theoretic approach to the conditional mean embedding (CME) as a random variable taking values in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. While the kernel mean embedding of unconditional distributions has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Junhyung Park , Krikamol Muandet

We study the kernelized bandit problem, that involves designing an adaptive strategy for querying a noisy zeroth-order-oracle to efficiently learn about the optimizer of an unknown function $f$ with a norm bounded by $M<\infty$ in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Tara Javidi

Accurate quantification of uncertainty is crucial for real-world applications of machine learning. However, modern deep neural networks still produce unreliable predictive uncertainty, often yielding over-confident predictions. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Peng Cui , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Kernel-based modal statistical methods include mode estimation, regression, and clustering. Estimation accuracy of these methods depends on the kernel used as well as the bandwidth. We study effect of the selection of the kernel function to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 Ryoya Yamasaki , Toshiyuki Tanaka

We prove rates of convergence in the statistical sense for kernel-based least squares regression using a conjugate gradient algorithm, where regularization against overfitting is obtained by early stopping. This method is directly related…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Gilles Blanchard , Nicole Kraemer
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