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In the classical model of stock prices which is assumed to be Geometric Brownian motion, the drift and the volatility of the prices are held constant. However, in reality, the volatility does vary. In quantitative finance, the Heston model…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Arunangshu Biswas , Anindya Goswami , Ludger Overbeck

Both in practice and in the academic literature, models for setting margin requirements in futures markets classically use daily closing price changes. However, as well documented by research on high-frequency data, financial markets have…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-29 John Cotter , François Longin

Although there are many methods for functional data analysis (FDA), little emphasis is put on characterizing variability among volatilities of individual functions. In particular, certain individuals exhibit erratic swings in their…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-04 Bin Zhu , David B. Dunson

Tests based on heteroskedasticity robust standard errors are an important technique in econometric practice. Choosing the right critical value, however, is not simple at all: conventional critical values based on asymptotics often lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Benedikt M. Pötscher , David Preinerstorfer

We consider the problem of estimating stochastic volatility for a class of second-order parabolic stochastic PDEs. Assuming that the solution is observed at a high temporal frequency, we use limit theorems for multipower variations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Carsten Chong

This paper offers a new approach to modeling and forecasting of nonstationary time series with applications to volatility modeling for financial data. The approach is based on the assumption of local homogeneity: for every time point, there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-10 Vladimir Spokoiny

The scope of this paper is the presentation of a test that enables to detect heteroscedasticity in univariate regression model. The test is simple to compute and very general since no hypothesis is made on the regularity of the response…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-23 Jean-Baptiste Aubin , Samuela Leoni-Aubin

We propose a hypothesis test that allows for many tested restrictions in a heteroskedastic linear regression model. The test compares the conventional F statistic to a critical value that corrects for many restrictions and conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-24 Stanislav Anatolyev , Mikkel Sølvsten

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

The main purpose of this work is to examine the behavior of the implied volatility smiles around jumps, contributing to the literature with a high-frequency analysis of the smile dynamics based on intra-day option data. From our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-14 Martin Magris , Perttu Barholm , Juho Kanniainen

Standard high-dimensional factor models assume that the comovements in a large set of variables could be modeled using a small number of latent factors that affect all variables. In many relevant applications in economics and finance,…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 Antoine Djogbenou , Razvan Sufana

HYGARCH process is the commonly used long memory process in modeling the long-rang dependence in volatility. Financial time series are characterized by transition between phases of different volatility levels. The smooth transition HYGARCH…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-24 Ferdous Mohammadi , Saeid Rezakhah

We focus on various measures of the fluctuations of the sequence of intervals between beats of the human heart, and how such fluctuations can be used to assess the presence or likelihood of cardiovascular disease. We examine sixteen such…

Biological Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Malvin C. Teich , Steven B. Lowen , Bradley M. Jost , Karin Vibe-Rheymer , Conor Heneghan

The recent surge in valuations among AI related firms has renewed concerns that markets may be entering a new phase of speculative exuberance, especially in the technology and semiconductor sectors at the center of the AI investment wave.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Abir Sarkar , Martin T. Wells

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We introduce an affine extension of the Heston model where the instantaneous variance process contains a jump part driven by $\alpha$-stable processes with $\alpha\in(1,2]$. In this framework, we examine the implied volatility and its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-06 Ying Jiao , Chunhua Ma , Simone Scotti , Chao Zhou

We propose a novel framework for modeling time-varying persistence in economic time series, allowing for smoothly evolving heterogeneity in shock dynamics. We leverage localized regression techniques to flexibly identify changes in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

In this paper, we introduce a new jump process modeling which involves a particular kind of non-Gaussian stochastic processes with random jumps at random time points. The main goal of this study is to provide an accurate tracking technique…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-13 Seyyed Hamed Fouladi , Ehsan Hajiramezanali

The problem of local damage diagnosis (based on the detection of impulsive and periodic signals) is discussed. Both features should be checked, as fault frequency must be linked to the true value calculated for a given machine and speed.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-26 Daniel Kuzio , Radosław Zimroz , Agnieszka Wyłomańska