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Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Dongwei Ye , Weihao Yan , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

Explicit solutions for a class of linear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDE) driven by Gaussian Volterra processes are given. These processes include the multifractional brownian motion and the multifractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Habiba Knani , Marco Dozzi

We consider a linear elliptic partial differential equation (PDE) with a generic uniformly bounded parametric coefficient. The solution to this PDE problem is approximated in the framework of stochastic Galerkin finite element methods. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Alex Bespalov , Feng Xu

This work develops a particle system addressing the approximation of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The novelty of the approach lies in involving low discrepancy sequences nontrivially in the construction of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Nadhir Ben Rached , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Raúl Tempone , Leon Wilkosz

We study Bayesian inverse problems with mixed noise, modeled as a combination of additive and multiplicative Gaussian components. While traditional inference methods often assume fixed or known noise characteristics, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Paul Hagemann , Robert Gruhlke , Bernhard Stankewitz , Claudia Schillings , Gabriele Steidl

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

We consider the numerical approximation of Gaussian random fields on closed surfaces defined as the solution to a fractional stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with additive white noise. The SPDE involves two parameters…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Andrea Bonito , Diane Guignard , Wenyu Lei

We study backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) for time-changed L\'evy noises when the time-change is independent of the L\'evy process. We prove existence and uniqueness of the solution and we obtain an explicit formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Giulia Di Nunno , Steffen Sjursen

Parameters of the mathematical model describing many practical dynamical systems are prone to vary due to aging or renewal, wear and tear, as well as changes in environmental or service conditions. These variabilities will adversely affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Hang Geng , Mulugeta A. Haile , Huazhen Fang

In this paper, we propose an approach to address the problems with ambiguity in tuning the process and observation noises for a discrete-time linear Kalman filter. Conventional approaches to tuning (e.g. using normalized estimation error…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-25 Zhaozhong Chen , Christoffer Heckman , Simon Julier , Nisar Ahmed

There are two major routes to address the ubiquitous family of inverse problems appearing in signal and image processing, such as denoising or deblurring. A first route relies on Bayesian modeling, where prior probabilities are used to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Rémi Gribonval , Mila Nikolova

We propose a new algorithm to approach weakly the solution of a McKean-Vlasov SDE. Based on the cubature method of Lyons and Victoir 2004, the algorithm is deterministic differing from the the usual methods based on interacting particles.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-22 Paul-Eric Chaudru de Raynal , Camilo Garcia Trillos

We provide a general solution to a fundamental open problem in Bayesian inference, namely poor uncertainty quantification, from a frequency standpoint, of Bayesian methods in misspecified models. While existing solutions are based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-14 David T. Frazier , Robert Kohn , Christopher Drovandi , David Gunawan

We aim to provide a Feynman-Kac type representation for Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, in terms of forward backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE) with a simulatable forward process. For this purpose, we introduce a class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Idris Kharroubi , Huyên Pham

The recently proposed statistical finite element (statFEM) approach synthesises measurement data with finite element models and allows for making predictions about the unknown true system response. We provide a probabilistic error analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Toni Karvonen , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami

In this paper, we study a kind of constrained backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) such that the nonlinear expectation of the composition of a loss function and the solution remains above zero. The existence and uniqueness…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Hanwu Li

We propose the Compound BSDE method, a fully forward, deep-learning-based approach for solving a broad class of problems in financial mathematics, including optimal stopping. The method is based on a reformulation of option pricing problems…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-02 Zhipeng Huang , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

In this work, we concern with the high order numerical methods for coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs). Based on the FBSDEs theory, we derive two reference ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Weidong Zhao , Yu Fu , Tao Zhou

In this paper, a probabilistic interpretation for the viscosity solution of a parabolic partial differential equation is obtained by virtue of the solution of a class of quadratic backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-21 Yufeng Shi , Jiaqiang Wen , Zhi Yang

In this paper, we introduce a new type of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) with infinite anticipation, where the generator depends on the entire future values of the solution in infinite horizon. We show that the new BSDEs…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Guanwei Cheng , Shuzhen Yang