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The models of partially observed linear stochastic differential equations with unknown initial values of the non-observed component are considered in two situations. In the first problem, the initial value is deterministic, and in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Yury A Kutoyants

We present results on parameter estimation and non-parameter estimation of the linear partially observed Gaussian system of stochastic differential equations. We propose new one-step estimators which have the same asymptotic properties as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Yury A. Kutoyants , Li Zhou

The model of partially observed linear stochastic differential equations depending on some unknown parameters is considered. An proximation of the unobserved component is proposed. This approximation is realized in three steps. First an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for the partially observed linear stochastic differential equation. We assume that the unobserved Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process depends on some unknown parameter and estimate the unobserved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Yury A. Kutoyants

The model of partially observed linear system depending on some unknown parameters is considered. An approximation of the unobserved component is proposed. This approximation is realized in three steps. First an estimator of the method of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-20 Yury A. Kutoyants

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

Consider a process satisfying a stochastic differential equation with unknown drift parameter, and suppose that discrete observations are given. It is known that a simple least squares estimator (LSE) can be consistent, but numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Yasutaka Shimizu

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

This paper addresses state estimation of linear systems with special attention on unknown process and measurement noise covariances, aiming to enhance estimation accuracy while preserving the stability guarantee of the Kalman filter. To…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Xiangxiang Dong , Giorgio Battistelli , Luigi Chisci , Yunze Cai

The Kalman(-Bucy) filter is the natural choice for the state reconstruction of disturbed, linear dynamical systems based on flawed and incomplete measurements. Taking a deterministic viewpoint this work investigates possible extensions of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Karl Kunisch , Jesper Schröder

We study the parameter estimation for parabolic, linear, second-order, stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) observing a mild solution on a discrete grid in time and space. A high-frequency regime is considered where the mesh of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Markus Bibinger , Mathias Trabs

Consider discrete time observations (X_{\ell\delta})_{1\leq \ell \leq n+1}$ of the process $X$ satisfying $dX_t= \sqrt{V_t} dB_t$, with $V_t$ a one-dimensional positive diffusion process independent of the Brownian motion $B$. For both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-25 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

Motivated by the construction of the It\^o stochastic integral, we consider a step function method to discretize and simulate volatility modulated L\'evy semistationary processes. Moreover, we assess the accuracy of the method with a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-11 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian L\'evy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Xu Sun , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Xiangjun Wang

For linear time-invariant systems with uncertain parameters belonging to a finite set, we present a purely deterministic approach to multiple-model estimation and propose an algorithm based on the minimax criterion using constrained…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Olle Kjellqvist , Anders Rantzer

Variational quantum metrology represents a powerful tool for optimizing generic estimation strategies, combining the principles of variational optimization with the techniques of quantum metrology. Such optimization procedures result…

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