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We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

Mean convergence of Markovian spherical averages is established for a measure-preserving action of a finitely-generated free group on a probability space. We endow the set of generators with a generalized Markov chain and establish the mean…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-09 Lewis Bowen , Alexander Bufetov , Olga Romaskevich

Partially exchangeable sequences representable as mixtures of Markov chains are completely specified by de Finetti's mixing measure. The paper characterizes, in terms of a subclass of hidden Markov models, the partially exchangeable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Cecilia Prosdocimi , Lorenzo Finesso

This article shows how coupled Markov chains that meet exactly after a random number of iterations can be used to generate unbiased estimators of the solutions of the Poisson equation. Through this connection, we re-derive known unbiased…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-10 Randal Douc , Pierre E. Jacob , Anthony Lee , Dootika Vats

We study ergodic properties of nonlinear Markov chains and stochastic McKean-Vlasov equations. For nonlinear Markov chains we obtain sufficient conditions for existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure and uniform ergodicity. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Oleg Butkovsky

In this paper we present an approach to proving parabolic Aleksandrov estimates with mixed norms for stochastic integrals with singular ``moderated'' drift.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-14 N. V. Krylov

The usual random walk on a group (homogeneous both in time and in space) is determined by a probability measure on the group. In a random walk with random transition probabilities this single measure is replaced with a stationary sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vadim A. Kaimanovich , Yuri Kifer , Ben-Zion Rubshtein

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

We develop a modular approach to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for unnormalized target densities. In this approach, Markov chains are constructed in parallel, each constrained to a subset of the target space. The Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-05 Joonha Park

The main contribution of this paper is a strong converse result for $K$-hop distributed hypothesis testing against independence with multiple (intermediate) decision centers under a Markov condition. Our result shows that the set of type-II…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Mustapha Hamad , Michèle Wigger , Mireille Sarkiss

We establish the existence and uniqueness of quasi-stationary and quasi-ergodic measures for almost surely absorbed discrete-time Markov chains under weak conditions. We obtain our results by exploiting Banach lattice properties of…

We prove large and moderate deviation principles for the distribution of an empirical mean conditioned by the value of the sum of discrete i.i.d. random variables. Some applications for combinatoric problems are discussed.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-11 Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Clémentine Prieur

Previous approaches to modelling interval-censored data have often relied on assumptions of homogeneity in the sense that the censoring mechanism, the underlying distribution of occurrence times, or both, are assumed to be time-invariant.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-01 M. N. M. van Lieshout , R. L. Markwitz

A discrete-time Markov chain can be transformed into a new Markov chain by looking at its states along iterations of an almost surely finite stopping time. By the optional stopping theorem, any bounded harmonic function with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Behrang Forghani

In this paper, we are interested in investigating the perturbation bounds for the stationary distributions for discrete-time or continuous-time Markov chains on a countable state space. For discrete-time Markov chains, two new norm-wise…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-27 Yuanyuan Liu

It is well known that the space of invariant probability measures for transitive sub-shifts of finite type is a Poulsen simplex. In this article we prove that in the non-compact setting, for a large family of transitive countable Markov…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Godofredo Iommi , Anibal Velozo

We introduce a simple approach for testing the reliability of homogeneous generators and the Markov property of the stochastic processes underlying empirical time series of credit ratings. We analyze open access data provided by Moody's and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-30 Pedro Lencastre , Frank Raischel , Pedro G. Lind , Tim Rogers

We present a multivariate central limit theorem for a general class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms used to solve nonlinear measure-valued equations. These algorithms generate stochastic processes which belong to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Bernard Bercu , Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

In this paper, we prove the moderate deviations principle (MDP) for a general system of slow-fast dynamics. We provide a unified approach, based on weak convergence ideas and stochastic control arguments, that cover both the averaging and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider a continuous time Markov chain on a countable state space and prove a joint large deviation principle for the empirical measure and the empirical flow, which accounts for the total number of jumps between pairs of states. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Lorenzo Bertini , Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli