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We present a variational method for online state estimation and parameter learning in state-space models (SSMs), a ubiquitous class of latent variable models for sequential data. As per standard batch variational techniques, we use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Andrew Campbell , Yuyang Shi , Tom Rainforth , Arnaud Doucet

Online platforms increasingly rely on sequential decision-making algorithms to allocate resources, match users, or control exposure, while facing growing pressure to ensure fairness over time. We study a general online decision-making…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Rui Chen , Oktay Gunluk , Andrea Lodi , Guanyi Wang

Distribution shifts have long been regarded as troublesome external forces that a decision-maker should either counteract or conform to. An intriguing feedback phenomenon termed decision dependence arises when the deployed decision affects…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Zhiyu He , Saverio Bolognani , Florian Dörfler , Michael Muehlebach

We consider online learning with linear models, where the algorithm predicts on sequentially revealed instances (feature vectors), and is compared against the best linear function (comparator) in hindsight. Popular algorithms in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Michał Kempka , Wojciech Kotłowski , Manfred K. Warmuth

Is it possible to make online decisions when personalized covariates are unavailable? We take a collaborative-filtering approach for decision-making based on collective preferences. By assuming low-dimensional latent features, we formulate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Congyuan Duan , Jingyang Li , Dong Xia

Gradient boosting is a state-of-the-art prediction technique that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of simple predictors---typically decision trees---by solving an infinite-dimensional convex optimization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre

In this paper, we propose a stochastic search algorithm for solving general optimization problems with little structure. The algorithm iteratively finds high quality solutions by randomly sampling candidate solutions from a parameterized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Enlu Zhou , Jiaqiao Hu

This paper introduces a new probabilistic model for online learning which dynamically incorporates information from stochastic gradients of an arbitrary loss function. Similar to probabilistic filtering, the model maintains a Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-27 Pedro A. Ortega , Koby Crammer , Daniel D. Lee

We consider a natural model of online preference aggregation, where sets of preferred items $R_1, R_2, \ldots, R_t$ along with a demand for $k_t$ items in each $R_t$, appear online. Without prior knowledge of $(R_t, k_t)$, the learner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Dimitris Fotakis , Thanasis Lianeas , Georgios Piliouras , Stratis Skoulakis

This paper studies an online optimization problem with a finite prediction window of cost functions and additional switching costs on decisions. We propose two gradient-based online algorithms: Receding Horizon Gradient Descent (RHGD), and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Yingying Li , Guannan Qu , Na Li

We analyze the convergence of gradient-based optimization algorithms that base their updates on delayed stochastic gradient information. The main application of our results is to the development of gradient-based distributed optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-05-02 Alekh Agarwal , John C. Duchi

The online assignment problem plays an important role in operational research and computer science which is why immense attention has been given to improving its solution quality. Due to the incomplete information about the input, it is…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Clarence Gabriel R. Kasilag , Pollux M. Rey , Jhoirene B. Clemente

In this paper, the problem of distributed optimization is studied via a network of agents. Each agent only has access to a stochastic gradient of its own objective function in the previous time, and can communicate with its neighbors via a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Yuchen Yang , Kaihong Lu , Long Wang

Traditional statistical methods are faced with new challenges due to streaming data. The major challenge is the rapidly growing volume and velocity of data, which makes storing such huge datasets in memory impossible. The paper presents an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Dongxiao Han , Jinhan Xie , Jin Liu , Liuquan Sun , Jian Huang , Bei Jian , Linglong Kong

In this paper, we establish the almost sure convergence of two-timescale stochastic gradient descent algorithms in continuous time under general noise and stability conditions, extending well known results in discrete time. We analyse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas

In this paper, we address tracking of a time-varying parameter with unknown dynamics. We formalize the problem as an instance of online optimization in a dynamic setting. Using online gradient descent, we propose a method that sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-17 Aryan Mokhtari , Shahin Shahrampour , Ali Jadbabaie , Alejandro Ribeiro

In this paper, we propose a policy gradient method for confounded partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with continuous state and observation spaces in the offline setting. We first establish a novel identification result…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Mao Hong , Zhengling Qi , Yanxun Xu

In this paper, we consider a general stochastic optimization problem which is often at the core of supervised learning, such as deep learning and linear classification. We consider a standard stochastic gradient descent (SGD) method with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-27 Lam M. Nguyen , Nam H. Nguyen , Dzung T. Phan , Jayant R. Kalagnanam , Katya Scheinberg

The standard model of online prediction deals with serial processing of inputs by a single processor. However, in large-scale online prediction problems, where inputs arrive at a high rate, an increasingly common necessity is to distribute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-12-08 Ofer Dekel , Ran Gilad-Bachrach , Ohad Shamir , Lin Xiao

We develop an online learning method for prediction, which is important in problems with large and/or streaming data sets. We formulate the learning approach using a covariance-fitting methodology, and show that the resulting predictor has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-16 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica , Thomas B. Schön
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