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Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-31 Gonzalo Rios

We give necessary and/or sufficient conditions for stochastic stability of second-order linear autonomous systems with parameters, which are perturbed by a random process of the "white noise" type. The Ito's and Stratonovich's forms of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-06 M. M. Shumafov , V. B. Tlyachev

We show that every separable Gaussian process with integrable variance function admits a Fredholm representation with respect to a Brownian motion. We extend the Fredholm representation to a transfer principle and develop stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

In nonlinear latent variable models or dynamic models, if we consider the latent variables as confounders (common causes), the noise dependencies imply further relations between the observed variables. Such models are then closely related…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Kun Zhang , Bernhard Schoelkopf , Dominik Janzing

Instead of a continuous system driven by Gaussian white noise, logical stochastic resonance will be investigated in a nonlinear bistable system with two thresholds driven by dichotomous noise, which shows a phenomenon different from…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-09-05 Yong Xu , Xiaoqin Jin , Huiqing Zhang , Tingting Yang

A new approach for the analysis of Langevin-type stochastic processes in the presence of strong measurement noise is presented. For the case of Gaussian distributed, exponentially correlated, measurement noise it is possible to extract the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Bernd Lehle

We propose a new procedure for white noise testing of a functional time series. Our approach is based on an explicit representation of the $L^2$-distance between the spectral density operator and its best ($L^2$-)approximation by a spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-06 Pramita Bagchi , Vaidotas Characiejus , Holger Dette

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

We develop a hierarchical Gaussian process model for forecasting and inference of functional time series data. Unlike existing methods, our approach is especially suited for sparsely or irregularly sampled curves and for curves sampled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-15 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

Gaussian processes occupy one of the leading places in modern statistics and probability theory due to their importance and a wealth of strong results. The common use of Gaussian processes is in connection with problems related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Zexun Chen , Jun Fan , Kuo Wang

By introducing a new stochastic integral, we investigate the energetics of classical stochastic systems driven by non-Gaussian white noises. In particular, we introduce a decomposition of the total-energy difference into the work and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-05-23 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Takahiro Sagawa , Hisao Hayakawa

The paper is concerned with spatial and time regularity of solutions to linear stochastic evolution equation perturbed by L\'evy white noise "obtained by subordination of a Gaussian white noise". Sufficient conditions for spatial continuity…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-23 Zdzisław Brzeźniak , Jerzy Zabczyk

The generalization of fractional Brownian motion in infinite-dimensional white and grey noise spaces has been recently carried over, following the Mandelbrot-Van Ness representation, through Riemann-Liouville type fractional operators. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Luisa Beghin , Lorenzo Cristofaro , Yuliya Mishura

We consider the problem of estimating a low rank covariance function $K(t,u)$ of a Gaussian process $S(t), t\in [0,1]$ based on $n$ i.i.d. copies of $S$ observed in a white noise. We suggest a new estimation procedure adapting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Karim Lounici , Alexander B. Tsybakov

Gaussian process regression is a frequently used statistical method for flexible yet fully probabilistic non-linear regression modeling. A common obstacle is its computational complexity which scales poorly with the number of observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Adam Gorm Hoffmann , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

We introduce a new variational characterization of Gaussian diffusion processes as minimum uncertainty states. We then define a variational method constrained by kinematics of diffusions and Schr\"{o}dinger dynamics to seek states of local…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2016-09-06 F. Illuminati , L. Viola

Gaussian processes retain the linear model either as a special case, or in the limit. We show how this relationship can be exploited when the data are at least partially linear. However from the perspective of the Bayesian posterior, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee

The characterization of intermittency in turbulence has its roots in the K62 theory, and if no proper definition is to be found in the literature, statistical properties of intermittency were studied and models were developed in attempt to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-14 Roxane Letournel , Ludovic Goudenège , Rémi Zamansky , Aymeric Vié , Marc Massot