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This is a technical report that extends and clarifies the results presented in [1]. The model identification problem for asymptotically stable linear time invariant systems is considered. The system output is affected by an additive noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Marco Lauricella , Lorenzo Fagiano

This work proposes a Bayesian inference method for the reduced-order modeling of time-dependent systems. Informed by the structure of the governing equations, the task of learning a reduced-order model from data is posed as a Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Mengwu Guo , Shane A. McQuarrie , Karen E. Willcox

This paper proposes minimum distance inference for a structural parameter of interest, which is robust to the lack of identification of other structural nuisance parameters. Some choices of the weighting matrix lead to asymptotic…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-10 Joan Alegre , Juan Carlos Escanciano

A dynamical model consists of a continuous self-map $T: \mathcal{X} \to \mathcal{X}$ of a compact state space $\mathcal{X}$ and a continuous observation function $f: \mathcal{X} \to \mathbb{R}$. This paper considers the fitting of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Kevin McGoff , Andrew B. Nobel

We consider the problem of learning a realization of a partially observed dynamical system with linear state transitions and bilinear observations. Under very mild assumptions on the process and measurement noises, we provide a finite time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Yahya Sattar , Yassir Jedra , Sarah Dean

We study the matrix completion problem when the observation pattern is deterministic and possibly non-uniform. We propose a simple and efficient debiased projection scheme for recovery from noisy observations and analyze the error under a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Simon Foucart , Deanna Needell , Reese Pathak , Yaniv Plan , Mary Wootters

The recurrent neural network and its variants have shown great success in processing sequences in recent years. However, this deep neural network has not aroused much attention in anomaly detection through predictively process monitoring.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Jiaqi Qiu , Yu Lin , Inez Zwetsloot

This work provides a framework for nonlinear model-free control of systems with unknown input-output dynamics, but outputs that can be controlled by the inputs. This framework leads to real-time control of the system such that a feasible…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-13 Amit K. Sanyal

Valid causal inference in observational studies often requires controlling for confounders. However, in practice measurements of confounders may be noisy, and can lead to biased estimates of causal effects. We show that we can reduce the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Madeleine Udell

In the computational sciences, one must often estimate model parameters from data subject to noise and uncertainty, leading to inaccurate results. In order to improve the accuracy of models with noisy parameters, we consider the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-13 Philip A. Etter , Lexing Ying

We propose and implement an approach to inference in linear instrumental variables models which is simultaneously robust and computationally tractable. Inference is based on self-normalization of sample moment conditions, and allows for…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-29 Eric Gautier , Christiern Rose

We present an efficient finite difference method for the computation of parameter sensitivities that is applicable to a wide class of continuous time Markov chain models. The estimator for the method is constructed by coupling the perturbed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-05-14 David F. Anderson

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

A new approach to nonlinear modelling is presented which, by incorporating the global behaviour of the model, lifts shortcomings of both least squares and total least squares parameter estimates. Although ubiquitous in practice, a least…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

High-dimensional inference refers to problems of statistical estimation in which the ambient dimension of the data may be comparable to or possibly even larger than the sample size. We study an instance of high-dimensional inference in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Sahand Negahban , Martin J. Wainwright

For transient sources with timescales of 1-100 seconds, standardized imaging for all observations at each time step become impossible as large modern interferometers produce significantly large data volumes in this observation time frame.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-06 Xia Zhang , Foivos I. Diakogiannis , Richard Dodson , Andreas Wicenec

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework to detect multiple signals embedded in noisy observations from a sensor array. For various states of knowledge on the communication channel and the noise at the receiving sensors, a marginalization…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-09-08 Romain Couillet , Merouane Debbah

We consider the discrete-time filtering problem in scenarios where the observation noise is low or degenerate. We focus on the case where the observation equation is a linear function of the state and the data involve additive noise.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-01 Abylay Zhumekenov , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek

A conceptual and computational framework is proposed for modelling of human sensorimotor control, and is exemplified for the sensorimotor task of steering a car. The framework emphasises control intermittency, and extends on existing models…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-31 Gustav Markkula , Erwin Boer , Richard Romano , Natasha Merat