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A critical bottleneck for scientific progress is the costly nature of computer simulations for complex systems. Surrogate models provide an appealing solution: such models are trained on simulator evaluations, then used to emulate and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-14 Xinming Wang , Simon Mak , John Miller , Jianguo Wu

We propose a new approach to solve optimal stopping problems via simulation. Working within the backward dynamic programming/Snell envelope framework, we augment the methodology of Longstaff-Schwartz that focuses on approximating the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-04 Robert B. Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

Stochastic simulation models effectively capture complex system dynamics but are often too slow for real-time decision-making. Traditional metamodeling techniques learn relationships between simulator inputs and a single output summary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 L. Jeff Hong , Yanxi Hou , Qingkai Zhang , Xiaowei Zhang

Chemical plant design and optimisation have proven challenging due to the complexity of these real-world systems. The resulting complexity translates into high computational costs for these systems' mathematical formulations and simulation…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Liezl Stander , Matthew Woolway , Terence L. Van Zyl

Nearly 900 million people live in low-lying coastal zones around the world and bear the brunt of impacts from more frequent and severe hurricanes and storm surges. Oceanographers simulate ocean current circulation along the coasts to…

High-fidelity simulation models are widely used to analyze complex stochastic systems, but their high computational cost motivates the development of cheaper surrogate models that approximate the simulation model's input-output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

We propose and demonstrate a new approach for fast and accurate surrogate modelling of urban drainage system hydraulics based on physics-guided machine learning. The surrogates are trained against a limited set of simulation results from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Rocco Palmitessa , Morten Grum , Allan Peter Engsig-Karup , Roland Löwe

The computational resources required to solve the full 3D inversion of time-domain electromagnetic data are immense. To overcome the time-consuming 3D simulations, we construct a surrogate model, more precisely, a data-driven statistical…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-07-10 Wouter Deleersnyder , David Dudal , Thomas Hermans

Driven by increased complexity of dynamical systems, the solution of system of differential equations through numerical simulation in optimization problems has become computationally expensive. This paper provides a smart data driven…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Kainat Khowaja , Mykhaylo Shcherbatyy , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Real-world optimisation problems typically have objective functions which cannot be expressed analytically. These optimisation problems are evaluated through expensive physical experiments or simulations. Cheap approximations of the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Mohamed Z. Variawa , Terence L. Van Zyl , Matthew Woolway

The Worldwide LHC Computing Grid (WLCG) provides the robust computing infrastructure essential for the LHC experiments by integrating global computing resources into a cohesive entity. Simulations of different compute models present a…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Larissa Schmid , Maximilian Horzela , Valerii Zhyla , Manuel Giffels , Günter Quast , Anne Koziolek

Systematic exploration of Agent-Based Models (ABMs) is challenged by the curse of dimensionality and their inherent stochasticity. We present a multi-stage pipeline integrating the systematic design of experiments with machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Paul Saves , Matthieu Mastio , Nicolas Verstaevel , Benoit Gaudou

The quantification of uncertainty on fluid flow in porous media is often hampered by multi-scale heterogeneity and insufficient site characterization. Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS), which runs numerical simulations for a large number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Hyung Jun Yang , Timothy Yeo , Jaewoo An

During the design process of an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV), the pressure vessel has a critical role. The pressure vessel contains dry electronics, power sources, and other sensors that can not be flooded. A traditional design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Harsh Vardhan , Janos Sztipanovits

Mechanistic, multicellular, agent-based models are commonly used to investigate tissue, organ, and organism-scale biology at single-cell resolution. The Cellular-Potts Model (CPM) is a powerful and popular framework for developing and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-24 Tien Comlekoglu , J. Quetzalcoatl Toledo-Marín , Douglas W. DeSimone , Shayn M. Peirce , Geoffrey Fox , James A. Glazier

We introduce a new, high-throughput, synchronous, distributed, data-parallel, stochastic-gradient-descent learning algorithm. This algorithm uses amortized inference in a compute-cluster-specific, deep, generative, dynamical model to…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Michael Teng , Frank Wood

Experiments in predator-prey systems show the emergence of long-term cycles. Deterministic model typically fails in capturing these behaviors, which emerge from the microscopic interplay of individual based dynamics and stochastic effects.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Giacomo Albi , Roberto Chignola , Federica Ferrarese

Heteroscedastic regression considering the varying noises among observations has many applications in the fields like machine learning and statistics. Here we focus on the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (HGP) regression which integrates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-22 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Jianfei Cai

We propose VDL-Surrogate, a view-dependent neural-network-latent-based surrogate model for parameter space exploration of ensemble simulations that allows high-resolution visualizations and user-specified visual mappings. Surrogate-enabled…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-08-01 Neng Shi , Jiayi Xu , Haoyu Li , Hanqi Guo , Jonathan Woodring , Han-Wei Shen