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It is more important to estimate the rate of convergence to a stationary distribution rather than only to prove the existence one in many applied problems of reliability and queuing theory. This can be done via standard methods, but only…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Galina Zverkina

For Markov chains and Markov processes exhibiting a form of stochastic monotonicity (larger states shift up transition probabilities in terms of stochastic dominance), stability and ergodicity results can be obtained using order-theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

We establish verifiable general sufficient conditions for exponential or subexponential ergodicity of Markov processes that may lack the strong Feller property. We apply the obtained results to show exponential ergodicity of a variety of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Oleg Butkovsky , Alexei Kulik , Michael Scheutzow

Motivated by a real failure dataset in a two-dimensional context, this paper presents an extension of the Markov modulated Poisson process (MMPP) to two dimensions. The one-dimensional MMPP has been proposed for the modeling of dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yoel G. Yera , Rosa E. Lillo , Bo F. Nielsen , Pepa Ramírez-Cobo , Fabrizio Ruggeri

This paper provides sufficient conditions over the sequence of samples and parameters of an adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to ensure ergodicity with respect to a target distribution that can have unbounded support. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Alexandre Chotard

We consider renewal-type processes whose positive inter-renewal times may be dependent, non-identically distributed, and may have mixed distributions. We introduce a generalised intensity measure extending the classical hazard-rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-23 El'mira Yu. Kalimulina , Galina A. Zverkina

The Poisson process, especially the nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP), is an essentially important counting process with numerous real-world applications. Up to date, almost all works in the literature have been on the estimation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Son Nguyen Van , Hoai Nguyen Xuan

Compound Poisson distributions and signed compound Poisson measures are used for approximation of the Markov binomial distribution. The upper and lower bound estimates are obtained for the total variation, local and Wasserstein norms. In a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

Many learning algorithms can be represented as Markov processes, and understanding their generalization error is a central topic in learning theory. For specific continuous-time noisy algorithms, a prominent analysis technique relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Benjamin Dupuis , Maxime Haddouche , George Deligiannidis , Umut Simsekli

We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

This article is a lecture note on the potential theory of (possibly non-reversible) Markov processes and on the connection of this theory with quantitative analysis of the metastability of stochastic processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Insuk Seo

This paper studies Hoeffding's inequality for Markov chains under the generalized concentrability condition defined via integral probability metric (IPM). The generalized concentrability condition establishes a framework that interpolates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

In order to give quantitative estimates for approximating the ergodic limit, we investigate probabilistic limit behaviors of time-averaging estimators of numerical discretizations for a class of time-homogeneous Markov processes, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Guoting Song

In this paper the class of mixed renewal processes (MRPs for short) with mixing parameter a random vector from \cite{lm6z3} (enlarging Huang's \cite{hu} original class) is replaced by the strictly more comprising class of all extended MRPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 N. D. Macheras , S. M. Tzaninis

We give a scheme of using the coupling method to obtain strong bounds for the convergence rate of the distribution of the backward renewal process in the total variation distance. This scheme can be applied to a wide class of regenerative…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-06 G. A. Zverkina

We consider the problem of estimating the measure of subsets in very large networks. A prime tool for this purpose is the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. This algorithm, while extremely useful in many cases, still often suffers…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Ahmad Askarian , Rupei Xu , András Faragó

This paper is devoted to fair optimization in Multiobjective Markov Decision Processes (MOMDPs). A MOMDP is an extension of the MDP model for planning under uncertainty while trying to optimize several reward functions simultaneously. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Patrice Perny , Paul Weng , Judy Goldsmith , Josiah Hanna

In queuing theory and related problems, it is very important to know the numerical characteristics of an investigated system - both in stationary and non-stationary modes. In some cases, such characteristics can be calculated, but this is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Galina Zverkina , Mais Farkhadov

Convergence rate analyses of random walk Metropolis-Hastings Markov chains on general state spaces have largely focused on establishing sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity or on analysis of mixing times. Geometric ergodicity is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-24 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Galin L. Jones

We provide a sharp nonasymptotic analysis of the rates of convergence for some standard multivariate Markov chains using spectral techniques. All chains under consideration have multivariate orthogonal polynomial as eigenfunctions. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-24 Kshitij Khare , Hua Zhou
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