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We establish sharp upper and lower bounds for distortion risk metrics under distributional uncertainty. The uncertainty sets are characterized by four key features of the underlying distribution: mean, variance, unimodality, and Wasserstein…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-13 Peng Liu , Steven Vanduffel , Yi Xia

Building on a recent framework for distributionally robust optimization, we consider estimation of the inverse covariance matrix for multivariate data. We provide a novel notion of a Wasserstein ambiguity set specifically tailored to this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-08 Pedro Cisneros-Velarde , Sang-Yun Oh , Alexander Petersen

In this work, we develop a novel data-driven Bayesian nonparametric Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (BNWDRO) framework for decision-making under uncertainty. The proposed framework unifies a Bayesian nonparametric method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Chao Ning , Xutao Ma

The goal of this paper is to develop methodology for the systematic analysis of asymptotic statistical properties of data driven DRO formulations based on their corresponding non-DRO counterparts. We illustrate our approach in various…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Jose Blanchet , Alexander Shapiro

Distributionally robust optimization has emerged as an attractive way to train robust machine learning models, capturing data uncertainty and distribution shifts. Recent statistical analyses have proved that generalization guarantees of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Tam Le , Jérôme Malick

Comparing probability distributions is at the crux of many machine learning algorithms. Maximum Mean Discrepancies (MMD) and Wasserstein distances are two classes of distances between probability distributions that have attracted abundant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Titouan Vayer , Rémi Gribonval

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization estimators are obtained as solutions of min-max problems in which the statistician selects a parameter minimizing the worst-case loss among all probability models within a certain distance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek Murthy , Nian Si

We investigate moment sequences of probability measures on $E\subset\mathbb{R}$ under constraints of certain moments being fixed. This corresponds to studying sections of $n$-th moment spaces, i.e. the spaces of moment sequences of order…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Holger Dette , Dominik Tomecki , Martin Venker

This paper presents a unified approach based on Wasserstein distance to derive concentration bounds for empirical estimates for two broad classes of risk measures defined in the paper. The classes of risk measures introduced include as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat

The Wasserstein distance, rooted in optimal transport (OT) theory, is a popular discrepancy measure between probability distributions with various applications to statistics and machine learning. Despite their rich structure and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Sloan Nietert , Rachel Cummings , Ziv Goldfeld

As a natural approach to modeling system safety conditions, chance constraint (CC) seeks to satisfy a set of uncertain inequalities individually or jointly with high probability. Although a joint CC offers stronger reliability certificate,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-04 Haoming Shen , Ruiwei Jiang

The asymptotic behaviour of empirical measures has plenty of studies. However, the research on conditional empirical measures is limited. Being the development of Wang \cite{eW1}, under the quadratic Wasserstein distance, we investigate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Huaiqian Li , Bingyao Wu

Off-policy evaluation and learning are concerned with assessing a given policy and learning an optimal policy from offline data without direct interaction with the environment. Often, the environment in which the data are collected differs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Yi Shen , Pan Xu , Michael M. Zavlanos

In this paper, we address the problem of bounding conditional expectations when moment information of the underlying distribution and the random event conditioned upon are given. To this end, we propose an adapted version of the generalized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Wouter J. E. C. van Eekelen

In distributionally robust optimization the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is itself uncertain, and a fictitious adversary, e.g., nature, chooses the worst distribution from within a known ambiguity set. A…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Etienne de Klerk , Daniel Kuhn , Krzysztof Postek

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) incorporates robustness against uncertainty in the specification of probabilistic models. This paper focuses on mitigating the curse of dimensionality in data-driven DRO problems with optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Lotfi M. Chaouach , Tom Oomen , Dimitris Boskos

We develop a unified nonparametric framework for sharp partial identification and inference on inequality indices when the data contain coarsened observations of the variable of interest. We characterize the extremal allocations for all…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-18 James Banks , Thomas Glinnan , Tatiana Komarova

We analyze the effect of small changes in the underlying probabilistic model on the value of multi-period stochastic optimization problems and optimal stopping problems. We work in finite discrete time and measure these changes with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-19 Daniel Bartl , Johannes Wiesel

We consider a class of stochastic interdiction games between an upper-level decision-maker (the leader) and a lower-level decision-maker (the follower), where uncertainty lies in the follower's objective function coefficients. Specifically,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Sergey S. Ketkov , Oleg A. Prokopyev

In this paper we discuss distributional robustness in the context of stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) for linear time-invariant systems. We derive a simple approximation of the MPC problem under an additive zero-mean i.i.d. noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu