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Science and engineering problems subject to uncertainty are frequently both computationally expensive and feature nonsmooth parameter dependence, making standard Monte Carlo too slow, and excluding efficient use of accelerated uncertainty…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Per Pettersson , Sebastian Krumscheid

This paper studies high-dimensional regression models with lasso when data is sampled under multi-way clustering. First, we establish convergence rates for the lasso and post-lasso estimators. Second, we propose a novel inference method…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-22 Harold D. Chiang , Yuya Sasaki

Statistical downscaling of global climate models (GCMs) allows researchers to study local climate change effects decades into the future. A wide range of statistical models have been applied to downscaling GCMs but recent advances in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-15 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Auroop R Ganguly

Spatial documentation is exponentially increasing given the availability of Big IoT Data, enabled by the devices miniaturization and data storage capacity. Bayesian spatial statistics is a useful statistical tool to determine the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Francisco Louzada , Diego C. Nascimento , Osafu Augustine Egbon

An algorithmic limit of compressed sensing or related variable-selection problems is analytically evaluated when a design matrix is given by an overcomplete random matrix. The replica method from statistical mechanics is employed to derive…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-11-14 Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yoshinori Nakanishi-Ohno , Masato Okada , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Online reinforcement learning and other adaptive sampling algorithms are increasingly used in digital intervention experiments to optimize treatment delivery for users over time. In this work, we focus on longitudinal user data collected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Kelly W. Zhang , Lucas Janson , Susan A. Murphy

Due to the noises in crowdsourced labels, label aggregation (LA) has emerged as a standard procedure to post-process crowdsourced labels. LA methods estimate true labels from crowdsourced labels by modeling worker qualities. Most existing…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Yi Yang , Zhong-Qiu Zhao , Quan Bai , Qing Liu , Weihua Li

Estimating the expectation of a real-valued function of a random variable from sample data is a critical aspect of statistical analysis, with far-reaching implications in various applications. Current methodologies typically assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Paweł Lorek , Rafał Nowak , Rafał Topolnicki , Tomasz Trzciński , Maciej Zięba , Aleksandra Krystecka

We define several new models for how to define anomalous regions among enormous sets of trajectories. These are based on spatial scan statistics, and identify a geometric region which captures a subset of trajectories which are…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-06-06 Michael Matheny , Dong Xie , Jeff M. Phillips

Numerical weather forecasts can exhibit systematic errors due to simplifying model assumptions and computational approximations. Statistical postprocessing is a statistical approach to correcting such biases. A statistical postprocessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Stefan Siegert , Ben Hooper , Joshua Lovegrove , Tyler Thomson , Birgir Hrafnkelsson

In this work, we consider learning sparse models in large scale settings, where the number of samples and the feature dimension can grow as large as millions or billions. Two immediate issues occur under such challenging scenario: (i)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-31 Atul Dhingra , Jie Shen , Nicholas Kleene

Non-probability sampling, for example in the form of online panels, has become a fast and cheap method to collect data. While reliable inference tools are available for classical probability samples, non-probability samples can yield…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Gerhard Tutz

Most sampling techniques for online social networks (OSNs) are based on a particular sampling method on a single graph, which is referred to as a statistics. However, various realizing methods on different graphs could possibly be used in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-12-21 Xin Wang , Richard T. B. Ma , Yinlong Xu , Zhipeng Li

Unstructured data from diverse sources, such as social media and aerial imagery, can provide valuable up-to-date information for intelligent situation assessment. Mining these different information sources could bring major benefits to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Edwin Simpson , Steven Reece , Stephen J. Roberts

Microtask crowdsourcing has enabled dataset advances in social science and machine learning, but existing crowdsourcing schemes are too expensive to scale up with the expanding volume of data. To scale and widen the applicability of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2016-02-16 Ranjay Krishna , Kenji Hata , Stephanie Chen , Joshua Kravitz , David A. Shamma , Li Fei-Fei , Michael S. Bernstein

Linear mixed models (LMMs), which incorporate fixed and random effects, are key tools for analyzing heterogeneous data, such as in personalized medicine. Nowadays, this type of data is increasingly wide, sometimes containing thousands of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Ryan Thompson , Matt P. Wand , Joanna J. J. Wang

Sampling is often a necessary evil to reduce the processing and storage costs of distributed tracing. In this work, we describe a scalable and adaptive sampling approach that can preserve events of interest better than the widely used…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Otmar Ertl

In regression models for spatial data, it is often assumed that the marginal effects of covariates on the response are constant over space. In practice, this assumption might often be questionable. In this article, we show how a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-13 Jakob A. Dambon , Fabio Sigrist , Reinhard Furrer

For classification problems with significant class imbalance, subsampling can reduce computational costs at the price of inflated variance in estimating model parameters. We propose a method for subsampling efficiently for logistic…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-24 William Fithian , Trevor Hastie

Structured additive distributional regression models offer a versatile framework for estimating complete conditional distributions by relating all parameters of a parametric distribution to covariates. Although these models efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Jana Kleinemeier , Nadja Klein