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In classical statistics, the bias-variance trade-off describes how varying a model's complexity (e.g., number of fit parameters) affects its ability to make accurate predictions. According to this trade-off, optimal performance is achieved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-05 Jason W. Rocks , Pankaj Mehta

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

Classical wisdom in machine learning holds that the generalization error can be decomposed into bias and variance, and these two terms exhibit a \emph{trade-off}. However, in this paper, we show that for an ensemble of deep learning based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Lin Chen , Michal Lukasik , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Chong You , Sanjiv Kumar

The normality assumption for random errors is fundamental in the analysis of variance (ANOVA) models. However, it is rarely subjected to formal testing in practice, and theoretically justified procedures are largely unavailable, especially…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-31 Peiwen Jia , Xiaojun Song , Haoyu Wei

Deep neural networks are known to exhibit a `double descent' behavior as the number of parameters increases. Recently, it has also been shown that an `epochwise double descent' effect exists in which the generalization error initially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Cory Stephenson , Tyler Lee

One of the most surprising and exciting discoveries in supervised learning was the benefit of overparameterization (i.e. training a very large model) to improving the optimization landscape of a problem, with minimal effect on statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-17 Rares-Darius Buhai , Yoni Halpern , Yoon Kim , Andrej Risteski , David Sontag

In recent years a lot of research has been conducted within the area of causal inference and causal learning. Many methods have been developed to identify the cause-effect pairs in models and have been successfully applied to observational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-26 Benjamin Kap

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) have become a popular approach for dimensionality reduction. However, despite their ability to identify latent low-dimensional structures embedded within high-dimensional data, these latent representations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-27 Kaspar Märtens , Christopher Yau

(Partial) ranking loss is a commonly used evaluation measure for multi-label classification, which is usually optimized with convex surrogates for computational efficiency. Prior theoretical work on multi-label ranking mainly focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Guoqiang Wu , Chongxuan Li , Kun Xu , Jun Zhu

Modern deep learning models generalize remarkably well in-distribution, despite being overparametrized and trained with little to no explicit regularization. Instead, current theory credits implicit regularization imposed by the choice of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Jonathan Wenger , Beau Coker , Juraj Marusic , John P. Cunningham

Symmetry-aware methods for machine learning, such as data augmentation and equivariant architectures, encourage correct model behavior on all transformations (e.g. rotations or permutations) of the original dataset. These methods can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Hannah Lawrence , Elyssa Hofgard , Vasco Portilheiro , Yuxuan Chen , Tess Smidt , Robin Walters

Recent studies indicate that deep neural networks degrade in generalization performance under noisy supervision. Existing methods focus on isolating clean subsets or correcting noisy labels, facing limitations such as high computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Kuan Zhang , Chengliang Chai , Jingzhe Xu , Chi Zhang , Han Han , Ye Yuan , Guoren Wang , Lei Cao

The same machine learning model running on different edge devices may produce highly-divergent outputs on a nearly-identical input. Possible reasons for the divergence include differences in the device sensors, the device's signal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Eyal Cidon , Evgenya Pergament , Zain Asgar , Asaf Cidon , Sachin Katti

This paper investigates how various randomization techniques impact Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). Randomization, like weight noise and dropout, aids in reducing overfitting and enhancing generalization, but their interactions are poorly…

Classification margins are commonly used to estimate the generalization ability of machine learning models. We present an empirical study of these margins in artificial neural networks. A global estimate of margin size is usually used in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Marthinus W. Theunissen , Coenraad Mouton , Marelie H. Davel

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have become the standard method for learning from networks across fields ranging from biology to social systems, yet a principled understanding of what enables them to extract meaningful representations, or why…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-19 Nil Ayday , Mahalakshmi Sabanayagam , Debarghya Ghoshdastidar

Recent studies observed a surprising concept on model test error called the double descent phenomenon, where the increasing model complexity decreases the test error first and then the error increases and decreases again. To observe this,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Chathurika S Abeykoon , Aleksandr Beknazaryan , Hailin Sang

Breakthroughs in machine learning are rapidly changing science and society, yet our fundamental understanding of this technology has lagged far behind. Indeed, one of the central tenets of the field, the bias-variance trade-off, appears to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Mikhail Belkin , Daniel Hsu , Siyuan Ma , Soumik Mandal

While adversarial training methods have significantly improved the robustness of deep neural networks against norm-bounded adversarial perturbations, the generalization gap between their performance on training and test data is considerably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Xiwei Cheng , Kexin Fu , Farzan Farnia

Adversarial examples have raised several open questions, such as why they can deceive classifiers and transfer between different models. A prevailing hypothesis to explain these phenomena suggests that adversarial perturbations appear as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Soichiro Kumano , Hiroshi Kera , Toshihiko Yamasaki