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We propose a compartmental mathematical model for the spread of the COVID-19 disease with special focus on the transmissibility of super-spreaders individuals. We compute the basic reproduction number threshold, we study the local stability…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Faical Ndairou , Ivan Area , Juan J. Nieto , Delfim F. M. Torres

The first mitigation response to the Covid-19 pandemic was to limit person-to-person interaction as much as possible. This was implemented by the temporary closing of many workplaces and people were required to follow social distancing.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-17 Parul Maheshwari , Réka Albert

To curb the spread of COVID-19, many governments around the world have implemented tiered lockdowns with varying degrees of stringency. Lockdown levels are typically increased when the disease spreads and reduced when the disease abates. A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-16 Laurentz E. Olivier , Stefan Botha , Ian K. Craig

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is unfolding as a major international crisis whose influence extends to every aspect of our daily lives. Effective testing allows infected individuals to be quarantined, thus reducing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Rahul Singh , Fang Liu , Ness B. Shroff

We present a data-driven optimal control approach which integrates the reported partial data with the epidemic dynamics for COVID-19. We use a basic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model, the model parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Hailiang Liu , Xuping Tian

This study presents a neural network-enhanced approach to modeling disease spread dynamics over time and space. Neural networks are used to estimate time-varying parameters, with two calibration methods explored: Approximate Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Randy L. Caga-anan

In this work we present a spatial-temporal convolutional neural network for predicting future COVID-19 related symptoms severity among a population, per region, given its past reported symptoms. This can help approximate the number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Itamar Ben Ari , Amitai Armon

With the prevailing efforts to combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there are still uncertainties that are yet to be discovered about its spread, future impact, and resurgence. In this paper, we present a three-stage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Oluwaseun T. Ajayi , Yu Cheng

Coronavirus COVID-19 spreads through the population mostly based on social contact. To gauge the potential for widespread contagion, to cope with associated uncertainty and to inform its mitigation, more accurate and robust modelling is…

Topic models are widely used in studying social phenomena. We conduct a comparative study examining state-of-the-art neural versus non-neural topic models, performing a rigorous quantitative and qualitative assessment on a dataset of tweets…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Andrew Bennett , Dipendra Misra , Nga Than

The Novel Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a fatal infectious disease, first recognized in December 2019 in Wuhan, Hubei, China, and has gone on an epidemic situation. Under these circumstances, it became more important to detect…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-20 Pramit Dutta , Tanny Roy , Nafisa Anjum

The emergence of an epidemic evokes the need to monitor its spread and assess and validate any mitigation measures enacted by governments and administrative bodies in real time. We present here a method to observe and quantify this spread…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-06 Justin Trujillo , Valerica Raicu

The aim of the paper is to describe a model of the development of the Covid-19 contamination of the population of a country or a region. For this purpose a special branching process with two types of individuals is considered. This model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-03 Nikolay M. Yanev , Vessela K. Stoimenova , Dimitar V. Atanasov

Purpose: Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19), which emerged in Wuhan, China and affected the whole world, has cost the lives of thousands of people. Manual diagnosis is inefficient due to the rapid spread of this virus. For this reason, automatic…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-12 Umut Özkaya , Şaban Öztürk , Serkan Budak , Farid Melgani , Kemal Polat

A variety of approaches using compartmental models have been used to study the COVID-19 pandemic and the usage of machine learning methods with these models has had particularly notable success. We present here an approach toward analyzing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-19 Haoran Hu , Connor M Kennedy , Panayotis G. Kevrekidis , Hongkun Zhang

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is known as the causative virus of outbreak pneumonia initially recognized in the mainland of China, late December 2019. COVID-19 reaches out to many countries in the world, and the number of daily…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-09 Mohamed Bahloul , Abderrazak Chahid , Taous Meriem Laleg-Kirati

COVID-19 pandemic is severely impacting the lives of billions across the globe. Even after taking massive protective measures like nation-wide lockdowns, discontinuation of international flight services, rigorous testing etc., the infection…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-28 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

Traditionally, convolutional neural networks need large amounts of data labelled by humans to train. Self supervision has been proposed as a method of dealing with small amounts of labelled data. The aim of this study is to determine…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-23 Nicolas Ewen , Naimul Khan

Delay differential equations form the underpinning of many complex dynamical systems. The forward problem of solving random differential equations with delay has received increasing attention in recent years. Motivated by the challenge to…

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