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Related papers: Regional Flood Risk Projections under Climate Chan…

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The hazard of pluvial flooding is largely influenced by the spatial and temporal dependence characteristics of precipitation. When extreme precipitation possesses strong spatial dependence, the risk of flooding is amplified due to catchment…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-03 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Chris E. Forest , Alfonso Mejía

Examining the relationship between vulnerability of the built environment and community recovery is crucial for understanding disaster resilience. Yet, this relationship is rather neglected in the existing literature due to previous…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-09 Junwei Ma , Russell Blessing , Samuel Brody , Ali Mostafavi

In many coastal communities, the risks driven by storm surges are motivating substantial investments in flood risk management. The design of adaptive risk management strategies, however, hinges on the ability to detect future changes in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-31 Robert L. Ceres , Chris E. Forest , Klaus Keller

The objective of this study is to predict the near-future flooding status of road segments based on their own and adjacent road segments current status through the use of deep learning framework on fine-grained traffic data. Predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Faxi Yuan , Yuanchang Xu , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

Simulating and predicting the water level/stage in river systems is essential for flood warnings, hydraulic operations, and flood mitigations. Physics-based detailed hydrological and hydraulic computational tools, such as HEC-RAS, MIKE, and…

We present a decision support system for flood early warning and disaster management. It includes the models for data-driven meteorological predictions, for simulation of atmospheric pressure, wind, long sea waves and seiches; a module for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-01-31 V. V. Krzhizhanovskaya , N. B. Melnikova , A. M. Chirkin , S. V. Ivanov , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A. Sloot

Accurate and scalable hydrologic models are essential building blocks of several important applications, from water resource management to timely flood warnings. However, as the climate changes, precipitation and rainfall-runoff pattern…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Zach Moshe , Asher Metzger , Gal Elidan , Frederik Kratzert , Sella Nevo , Ran El-Yaniv

Statistical flood frequency analysis coupled with hydrograph scaling is commonly used to generate design floods to assess dam safety assessment. The safety assessments can be highly sensitive to the choice of the statistical flood frequency…

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing

Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with increasingly complex models which attempt to represent key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Mark S. Williamson , Chad W. Thackeray , Peter M. Cox , Alex Hall , Chris Huntingford , Femke J. M. M. Nijsse

A conceptual area is divided into units or barangays, each was allowed to evolve under a physical constraint. A risk assessment method was then used to identify the flood risk in each community using the following risk factors: the area's…

As governments race to implement new climate adaptation policies that prepare for more frequent flooding, they must seek policies that are effective for all communities and uphold climate justice. This requires evaluating policies not only…

General Economics · Economics 2023-12-08 Lidia Cano Pecharroman , ChangHoon Hahn

Projections of extreme sea levels (ESLs) are critical for managing coastal risks, but are made complicated by deep uncertainties. One key uncertainty is the choice of model structure used to estimate coastal hazards. Differences in model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-15 Tony E. Wong , Travis Torline , Mingxuan Zhang

Global sea-level rise causes increasing threats of coastal flood and subsequent pollutant dispersion. However, there are still few studies on the disparity arising from such threats and the extent to which different communities could be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Zhewei Liu , Ali Mostafavi

One measurement modality for rainfall is a fixed location rain gauge. However, extreme rainfall, flooding, and other climate extremes often occur at larger spatial scales and affect more than one location in a community. For example, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Carlynn Fagnant , Julia C. Schedler , Katherine B. Ensor

Demands on the disaster response capacity of the European Union are likely to increase, as the impacts of disasters continue to grow both in size and frequency. This has resulted in intensive research on issues concerning spatially-explicit…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-09-30 Dario Rodriguez-Aseretto , Christian Schaerer , Daniele de Rigo

Flash flood warnings are largely reactive, providing limited advance notice for evacuation planning and resource prepositioning. This study presents and validates an anticipatory, parametric framework that converts landscape vulnerability…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Samuel D Brody , Ali Mostafavi

Predicting future states or actions of a given system remains a fundamental, yet unsolved challenge of intelligence, especially in the scope of complex and non-deterministic scenarios, such as modeling behavior of humans. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Maciej Zięba , Marcin Przewięźlikowski , Marek Śmieja , Jacek Tabor , Tomasz Trzcinski , Przemysław Spurek

Climate-related phenomena are increasingly affecting regions worldwide, manifesting as floods, water scarcity, and heat waves, significantly impairing companies' assets and productivity. It is essential for asset managers to quantify the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Michele Azzone , Matteo Ghesini , Davide Stocco , Lorenzo Viola

In river flow analysis and forecasting there are some key elements to consider in order to obtain reliable results. For example, seasonality is often accounted for in statistical models because climatic oscillations occurring every year…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-19 Domenico Cucina , Manuel Rizzo , Eugen Ursu