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More predictable words are easier to process - they are read faster and elicit smaller neural signals associated with processing difficulty, most notably, the N400 component of the event-related brain potential. Thus, it has been argued…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-26 James A. Michaelov , Seana Coulson , Benjamin K. Bergen

Despite being designed for performance rather than cognitive plausibility, transformer language models have been found to be better at predicting metrics used to assess human language comprehension than language models with other…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-21 James A. Michaelov , Megan D. Bardolph , Seana Coulson , Benjamin K. Bergen

Surprisal theory links human processing effort to the predictability of an upcoming linguistic unit, but empirical work often leaves the notion of a unit underspecified. In practice, experimental stimuli are segmented into linguistically…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Samuel Kiegeland , Vésteinn Snæbjarnarson , Tim Vieira , Ryan Cotterell

The functional interpretation of language-related ERP components has been a central debate in psycholinguistics for decades. We advance an information-theoretic model of human language processing in the brain in which incoming linguistic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Jiaxuan Li , Richard Futrell

The effect of surprisal on processing difficulty has been a central topic of investigation in psycholinguistics. Here, we use eyetracking data to examine three language processing regimes that are common in daily life but have not been…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Keren Gruteke Klein , Yoav Meiri , Omer Shubi , Yevgeni Berzak

A fundamental result in psycholinguistics is that less predictable words take a longer time to process. One theoretical explanation for this finding is Surprisal Theory (Hale, 2001; Levy, 2008), which quantifies a word's predictability as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Ethan Gotlieb Wilcox , Tiago Pimentel , Clara Meister , Ryan Cotterell , Roger P. Levy

Surprisal theory posits that the processing difficulty of a word is determined by its predictability in context, offering a potential link between human sentence processing and next-word predictions from language models. While language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-18 William Timkey , Brian Dillon , Tal Linzen

Isolated word meanings are inherently uncertain. This uncertainty reduces when they are combined and anchored in context. We propose that grammar compresses meaning uncertainty cross-linguistically, which is reflected in brain and…

Word-by-word language model surprisal is often used to model the incremental processing of human readers, which raises questions about how various choices in language modeling influence its predictive power. One factor that has been…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Byung-Doh Oh , William Schuler

Surprisal theory posits that the cognitive effort required to comprehend a word is determined by its contextual predictability, quantified as surprisal. Traditionally, surprisal theory treats words as distinct entities, overlooking any…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Clara Meister , Mario Giulianelli , Tiago Pimentel

Human translators linger on some words and phrases more than others, and predicting this variation is a step towards explaining the underlying cognitive processes. Using data from the CRITT Translation Process Research Database, we evaluate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Zheng Wei Lim , Ekaterina Vylomova , Charles Kemp , Trevor Cohn

Surprisal theory hypothesizes that the difficulty of human sentence processing increases linearly with surprisal, the negative log-probability of a word given its context. Computational psycholinguistics has tested this hypothesis using…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Ryo Yoshida , Shinnosuke Isono , Taiga Someya , Yohei Oseki , Tatsuki Kuribayashi

This paper investigates the use of word surprisal, a measure of the predictability of a word in a given context, as a feature to aid speech synthesis prosody. We explore how word surprisal extracted from large language models (LLMs)…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-19 Sofoklis Kakouros , Juraj Šimko , Martti Vainio , Antti Suni

Prediction in language has traditionally been studied using simple designs in which neural responses to expected and unexpected words are compared in a categorical fashion. However, these designs have been contested as being `prediction…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-11 Micha Heilbron , Benedikt Ehinger , Peter Hagoort , Floris P. de Lange

A wide body of evidence shows that human language processing difficulty is predicted by the information-theoretic measure surprisal, a word's negative log probability in context. However, it is still unclear how to best estimate these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Tong Liu , Iza Škrjanec , Vera Demberg

We introduce a generalization of classic information-theoretic measures of predictive uncertainty in online language processing, based on the simulation of expected continuations of incremental linguistic contexts. Our framework provides a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Mario Giulianelli , Andreas Opedal , Ryan Cotterell

There has been considerable interest in using surprisal from Transformer-based language models (LMs) as predictors of human sentence processing difficulty. Recent work has observed an inverse scaling relationship between Transformers'…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Yi-Chien Lin , William Schuler

We report a controlled study investigating the effect of visual information (i.e., seeing the speaker) on spoken language comprehension. We compare the ERP signature (N400) associated with each word in audio-only and audio-visual…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Pranava Madhyastha , Ye Zhang , Gabriella Vigliocco

Novel metaphor comprehension involves complex semantic processes and linguistic creativity, making it an interesting task for studying language models (LMs). This study investigates whether surprisal, a probabilistic measure of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Omar Momen , Emilie Sitter , Berenike Herrmann , Sina Zarrieß

Background. From information theory, surprisal is a measurement of how unexpected an event is. Statistical language models provide a probabilistic approximation of natural languages, and because surprisal is constructed with the probability…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-18 James Caddy , Markus Wagner , Christoph Treude , Earl T. Barr , Miltiadis Allamanis
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