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Related papers: Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Regression for P…

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We focus on wind power modeling using machine learning techniques. We show on real data provided by the wind energy company Ma{\"i}a Eolis, that parametric models, even following closely the physical equation relating wind production to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-22 Aurélie Fischer , Lucie Montuelle , Mathilde Mougeot , Dominique Picard

This paper introduces a new periodic fractional autoregressive process (PFAR) driven by fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) to model time series of precipitation evapotranspiration. Compared with the similar model in [\emph{Water Resources…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang

This paper introduces for the first time, to our knowledge, a framework for physics-informed neural networks in power system applications. Exploiting the underlying physical laws governing power systems, and inspired by recent developments…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-30 George S. Misyris , Andreas Venzke , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

We propose a statistical space-time model for predicting atmospheric wind speed based on deterministic numerical weather predictions and historical measurements. We consider a Gaussian multivariate space-time framework that combines…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-21 Julie Bessac , Emil Mihai Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

Accurate estimates of network parameters are essential for modeling, monitoring, and control in power distribution systems. In this paper, we develop a physics-informed graphical learning algorithm to estimate network parameters of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Wenyu Wang , Nanpeng Yu

Accurate and reliable forecasting of renewable energy generation is crucial for the efficient integration of renewable sources into the power grid. In particular, probabilistic forecasts are becoming essential for managing the intrinsic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-12 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

The combination of high-dimensionality and disparity of time scales encountered in many problems in computational physics has motivated the development of coarse-grained (CG) models. In this paper, we advocate the paradigm of data-driven…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-03-05 L. Felsberger , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Understanding the dynamics of climate variables is paramount for numerous sectors, like energy and environmental monitoring. This study focuses on the critical need for a precise mapping of environmental variables for national or regional…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Pietro Colombo , Claire Miller , Xiaochen Yang , Ruth O'Donnell , Paolo Maranzano

Lost circulation remains a major and costly challenge in drilling operations, often resulting in wellbore instability, stuck pipe, and extended non-productive time. Accurate prediction of fluid loss is therefore essential for improving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Seshu Kumar Damarla , Xiuli Zhu

Installation of phasor measurement units (PMUs) in a number of substations in the power grid can help assess a set of its values and parameters, in particular those related to the dynamics when disturbances occur in the system. Inertia…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-19 Mohammadali Hayerikhiyavi , Aleksandar Dimitrovski

We show that Gaussian process regression (GPR) can be used to infer the electromagnetic (EM) duct height within the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) from sparsely sampled propagation factors within the context of bistatic radars. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Hilarie Sit , Christopher J. Earls

Wind power forecasting is essential to power system operation and electricity markets. As abundant data became available thanks to the deployment of measurement infrastructures and the democratization of meteorological modelling, extensive…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

Modern power systems face significant challenges in state estimation and real-time monitoring, particularly regarding response speed and accuracy under faulty conditions or cyber-attacks. This paper proposes a hybrid approach using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Solon Falas , Markos Asprou , Charalambos Konstantinou , Maria K. Michael

The power grid frequency is the central observable in power system control, as it measures the balance of electrical supply and demand. A reliable frequency forecast can facilitate rapid control actions and may thus greatly improve power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-24 Johannes Kruse , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

Earth observation from satellite sensory data poses challenging problems, where machine learning is currently a key player. In recent years, Gaussian Process (GP) regression has excelled in biophysical parameter estimation tasks from…

Accurately predicting when and where ambulance call-outs occur can reduce response times and ensure the patient receives urgent care sooner. Here we present a novel method for ambulance demand prediction using Gaussian process regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Seth Nabarro , Tristan Fletcher , John Shawe-Taylor

We introduce an ensemble learning method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for predicting conditional expected stock returns given stock-level and macro-economic information. Our ensemble learning approach significantly reduces the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Damir Filipović , Puneet Pasricha

We propose a fully probabilistic prediction model for spatially aggregated solar photovoltaic (PV) power production at an hourly time scale with lead times up to several days using weather forecasts from numerical weather prediction systems…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

The rapid growth of the wind energy sector underscores the urgent need to optimize turbine operations and ensure effective maintenance through early fault detection systems. While traditional empirical and physics-based models offer…