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Accurate wind pattern modelling is crucial for various applications, including renewable energy, agriculture, and climate adaptation. In this paper, we introduce the wrapped Gaussian spatial process (WGSP), as well as the projected Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-13 Jacobus S. Blom , Priyanka Nagar , Andriette Bekker

A novel hybrid data-driven approach is developed for forecasting power system parameters with the goal of increasing the efficiency of short-term forecasting studies for non-stationary time-series. The proposed approach is based on mode…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-10 Victor Kurbatsky , Nikita Tomin , Vadim Spiryaev , Paul Leahy , Denis Sidorov , Alexei Zhukov

The application of deep learning methods to speed up the resolution of challenging power flow problems has recently shown very encouraging results. However, power system dynamics are not snap-shot, steady-state operations. These dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mostafa Mohammadian , Kyri Baker , Ferdinando Fioretto

Models of gravitational waveforms play a critical role in detecting and characterizing the gravitational waves (GWs) from compact binary coalescences. Waveforms from numerical relativity (NR), while highly accurate, are too computationally…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2018-01-03 Zoheyr Doctor , Ben Farr , Daniel E. Holz , Michael Pürrer

Gaussian processes (GP) are a widely used model for regression problems in supervised machine learning. Implementation of GP regression typically requires $O(n^3)$ logic gates. We show that the quantum linear systems algorithm [Harrow et…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-29 Zhikuan Zhao , Jack K. Fitzsimons , Joseph F. Fitzsimons

Steam power turbine-based power plant approximately contributes 90% of the total electricity produced in the United States. Mainly steam turbine consists of multiple types of turbine, boiler, attemperator, reheater, etc. Power is produced…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-13 Prama Debnath , Mithun Ghosh

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a Bayesian method for inferring profiles based on input data. The technique is increasing in popularity in the fusion community due to its many advantages over traditional fitting techniques including…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Jarrod Leddy , Sandeep Madireddy , Eric Howell , Scott Kruger

This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Herman Bayem , Yannick Phulpin , Philippe Dessante , Julien Bect

Wind energy is becoming an increasingly crucial component of a sustainable grid, but its inherent variability and limited predictability present challenges for grid operators. The energy sector needs novel forecasting techniques that can…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-05 Zheng Dong , Hanyu Zhang , Shixiang Zhu , Yao Xie , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Population-based Structural Health Monitoring (PBSHM) aims to share information between similar machines or structures. This paper takes a population-level perspective, exploring the use of additive Gaussian processes to reveal variations…

Gaussian process regression is a powerful method for predicting states based on given data. It has been successfully applied for probabilistic predictions of structural systems to quantify, for example, the crack growth in mechanical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Simon Pfingstl , Markus Zimmermann

Power grids play a very important role in delivering electrical energy to homes, industries and other places that require it. Because of this increased demand they are facing a great challenge of voltage variations. This happens due to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-25 Sahil Vohra

Due to the evolving nature of power grids and model uncertainty, the online stability assessment of electrical power systems is always a challenging problem. This paper aims to provide a theoretical framework for estimating the region of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-26 Chao Zhai

The linearization of a power flow (PF) model is an important approach for simplifying and accelerating the calculation of a power system's control, operation, and optimization. Traditional model-based methods derive linearized PF models by…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-31 Yuxiao Liu , Ning Zhang , Yi Wang , Jingwei Yang , Chongqing Kang

Voltage prediction in distribution grids is a critical yet difficult task for maintaining power system stability. Machine learning approaches, particularly Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), offer significant speedups but suffer from poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Ehimare Okoyomon , Arbel Yaniv , Christoph Goebel

We propose a framework employing stochastic differential equations to facilitate the long-term stability analysis of power grids with intermittent wind power generations. This framework takes into account the discrete dynamics which play a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Xiaozhe Wang , Tao Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu

The estimation of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) plays a pivotal role in intelligent manufacturing systems and Industry 4.0 technologies. While recent advancements have improved RUL prediction, many models still face interpretability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Tian Niu , Zijun Xu , Heng Luo , Ziqing Zhou

Folding uncertainty in theoretical models into Bayesian parameter estimation is necessary in order to make reliable inferences. A general means of achieving this is by marginalizing over model uncertainty using a prior distribution…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-03-04 Christopher J. Moore , Christopher P. L. Berry , Alvin J. K. Chua , Jonathan R. Gair

In this paper, a stochastic model with regime switching is developed for solar photo-voltaic (PV) power in order to provide short-term probabilistic forecasts. The proposed model for solar PV power is physics inspired and explicitly…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-19 Raksha Ramakrishna , Anna Scaglione , Vijay Vittal

With an increasing high penetration of solar photovoltaic generation in electric power grids, voltage phasors and branch power flows experience more severe fluctuations. In this context, probabilistic power flow (PPF) study aims at…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-03 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang