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This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

The empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and its variants have been extensively employed in the load and renewable forecasting literature. Using this multiresolution decomposition, time series (TS) related to the historical load and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-24 Nima Safari , George Price , Chi Yung Chung

Delay embeddings of time series data have emerged as a promising coordinate basis for data-driven estimation of the Koopman operator, which seeks a linear representation for observed nonlinear dynamics. Recent work has demonstrated the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-01-14 Daniel Dylewsky , Eurika Kaiser , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) has recently become a popular tool for the non-intrusive analysis of dynamical systems. Exploiting Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) as a dimensionality reduction technique, DMD is able to approximate a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Francesco Andreuzzi , Nicola Demo , Gianluigi Rozza

Many consequential real-world systems, like wind fields and ocean currents, are dynamic and hard to model. Learning their governing dynamics remains a central challenge in scientific machine learning. Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Yujin Kim , Sarah Dean

The dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) has become a leading tool for data-driven modeling of dynamical systems, providing a regression framework for fitting linear dynamical models to time-series measurement data. We present a simple…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Travis Askham , J. Nathan Kutz

Originally introduced in the fluid mechanics community, dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) has emerged as a powerful tool for analyzing the dynamics of nonlinear systems. However, existing DMD theory deals primarily with sequential time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-12-17 Jonathan H. Tu , Clarence W. Rowley , Dirk M. Luchtenburg , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a powerful tool for extracting spatial and temporal patterns from multi-dimensional time series, and it has been used successfully in a wide range of fields, including fluid mechanics, robotics, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Ziyou Wu , Steven L. Brunton , Shai Revzen

Short-term load forecasting is one of the crucial sections in smart grid. Precise forecasting enables system operators to make reliable unit commitment and power dispatching decisions. With the advent of big data, a number of artificial…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-27 Tiantian Li , Bo Wang , Min Zhou , Junzo Watada

Noise fundamentally limits the performance and predictive capabilities of classical and quantum dynamical systems by degrading stability and obscuring intrinsic dynamical characteristics. Characterizing such noise accurately is essential…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-07 Adva Baratz , Loris Maria Cangemi , Assaf Hamo , Sivan Refaely-Abramson , Amikam Levy

We present a data-driven method for separating complex, multiscale systems into their constituent time-scale components using a recursive implementation of dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). Local linear models are built from windowed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Daniel Dylewsky , Molei Tao , J. Nathan Kutz

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Yuqi Jiang , Yan Li , Yize Chen

We demonstrate the application of an algorithmic trading strategy based upon the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) on portfolios of financial data. The method is capable of characterizing complex dynamical systems, in this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-20 Jordan Mann , J. Nathan Kutz

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a popular technique for modal decomposition, flow analysis, and reduced-order modeling. In situations where a system is time varying, one would like to update the system's description online as time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Hao Zhang , Clarence W. Rowley , Eric A. Deem , Louis N. Cattafesta

Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) and its variants, such as extended DMD (EDMD), are broadly used to fit simple linear models to dynamical systems known from observable data. As DMD methods work well in several situations but perform poorly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-06 George Haller , Bálint Kaszás

Operational forecasting centers are investing in decadal (1-10 year) forecast systems to support long-term decision making for a more climate-resilient society. One method that has previously been employed is the Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Eduardo Rodrigues , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson , David Gold

Seasonal time series exhibit intricate long-term dependencies, posing a significant challenge for accurate future prediction. This paper introduces the Multi-scale Seasonal Decomposition Model (MSSD) for seasonal time-series forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Yining Pang , Chenghan Li

The Dynamic-Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a well established data-driven method of finding temporally evolving linear-mode decompositions of nonlinear time series. Traditionally, this method presumes that all relevant dimensions are sampled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Christopher W. Curtis , Daniel Jay Alford-Lago

We have deluge of data in time series format for numerous phenomena. The number of snapshots, resolution and many other factors come into play as we look to identify the dynamics in a given problem. The pre-processing and post-processing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-13 Mohammad N. Murshed , M. Monir Uddin

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari
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