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Introduction: For COVID-19 patients accurate prediction of disease severity and mortality risk would greatly improve care delivery and resource allocation. There are many patient-related factors, such as pre-existing comorbidities that…

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread all over the world for three years, but medical facilities in many areas still aren't adequate. There is a need for rapid COVID-19 diagnosis to identify high-risk patients and maximize the use…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-27 Lin Yang , Shuihua Wang , Yudong Zhang

Machine learning methods offer great promise for fast and accurate detection and prognostication of COVID-19 from standard-of-care chest radiographs (CXR) and computed tomography (CT) images. Many articles have been published in 2020…

This paper proposes a data-driven approximate Bayesian computation framework for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification of epidemic models, which incorporates two novelties: (i) the identification of the initial conditions by…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-28 Americo Cunha , David A. W. Barton , Thiago G. Ritto

Ensemble forecasts have become a cornerstone of large-scale disease response, underpinning decision making at agencies such as the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Their growing use reflects the goal of combining…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-23 Carson Dudley , Marisa Eisenberg

Determinants of COVID-19 clinical severity are commonly assessed by transverse or longitudinal studies of the fatality counts. However, the fatality counts depend both on disease clinical severity and transmissibility, as more infected also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-02 Sofija Markovic , Andjela Rodic , Igor Salom , Ognjen Milicevic , Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic

Across the world, scholars are racing to predict the spread of the novel coronavirus, COVID-19. Such predictions are often pursued by numerically simulating epidemics with a large number of plausible combinations of relevant parameters. It…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Jonas L. Juul , Kaare Græsbøll , Lasse Engbo Christiansen , Sune Lehmann

This study investigated the performance, explainability, and robustness of deployed artificial intelligence (AI) models in predicting mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond. The first study of its kind, we found that Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jacob R. Epifano , Stephen Glass , Ravi P. Ramachandran , Sharad Patel , Aaron J. Masino , Ghulam Rasool

The current outbreak of COVID-19 has called renewed attention to the need for sound statistical analysis for monitoring mortality patterns and trends over time. Excess mortality has been suggested as the most appropriate indicator to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Patrizio Vanella , Ugofilippo Basellini , Berit Lange

A number of models in mathematical epidemiology have been developed to account for control measures such as vaccination or quarantine. However, COVID-19 has brought unprecedented social distancing measures, with a challenge on how to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-07 Magdalena Djordjevic , Andjela Rodic , Igor Salom , Dusan Zigic , Ognjen Milicevic , Bojana Ilic , Marko Djordjevic

The present world is badly affected by novel coronavirus (COVID-19). Using medical kits to identify the coronavirus affected persons are very slow. What happens in the next, nobody knows. The world is facing erratic problem and do not know…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Md Ershadul Haque , Samiul Hoque

We introduce the concept of epidemic-fitted wavelets which comprise, in particular, as special cases the number $I(t)$ of infectious individuals at time $t$ in classical SIR models and their derivatives. We present a novel method for…

COVID-19 disease has affected almost every country in the world. The large number of infected people and the different mortality rates between countries has given rise to many hypotheses about the key points that make the virus so lethal in…

Due to delay in reporting, the daily national and statewide COVID-19 incidence counts are often unreliable and need to be estimated from recent data. This process is known in economics as nowcasting. We describe in this paper a simple…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-07 Saumya Yashmohini Sahai , Saket Gurukar , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Srinivasan Parthasarathy , Grzegorz A. Rempala

This paper applies multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms to a dataset of de-identified COVID-19 patients provided by the COVID-19 Research Database. The dataset consists of 20,878 COVID-positive patients, among which 9,177 patients died…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Redoan Rahman , Jooyeong Kang , Justin F Rousseau , Ying Ding

We propose, implement, and evaluate a method to estimate the daily number of new symptomatic COVID-19 infections, at the level of individual U.S. counties, by deconvolving daily reported COVID-19 case counts using an estimated…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-01 Maria Jahja , Andrew Chin , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Millions of people are infected by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID19) around the world. Machine Learning (ML) techniques are being used for COVID19 detection research from the beginning of the epidemic. This article represents the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Md Fahimuzzman Sohan

In 2019, the world faced a new challenge: a COVID-19 disease caused by the novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2. The virus rapidly spread across the globe, leading to a high rate of mortality, which prompted health organizations to take measures…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-08 Kavian Khanjani , Seyed Rasoul Hosseini , Hamid Taheri , Shahrzad Shashaani , Mohammad Teshnehlab

Motivated by the current Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic, which is due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus, and the important problem of forecasting daily deaths and cumulative deaths, this paper examines the construction of prediction regions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-08 T. KIm , B. Lieberman , G. Luta , E. Pena

COVID-19 has led to excess deaths around the world, however it remains unclear how the mortality of other causes of death has changed during the pandemic. Aiming at understanding the wider impact of COVID-19 on other death causes, we study…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-13 Wei Zhang , Antonietta Mira , Ernst C. Wit
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