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High-dimensional time series appear in many scientific setups, demanding a nuanced approach to model and analyze the underlying dependence structure. Theoretical advancements so far often rely on stringent assumptions regarding the sparsity…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Daria Tieplova , Samriddha Lahiry , Jean Barbier

Consider the case that we observe $n$ independent and identically distributed copies of a random variable with a probability distribution known to be an element of a specified statistical model. We are interested in estimating an infinite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Mark J. van der Laan , Aurélien F. Bibaut

We present an estimator of the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of random $d$-dimensional vector from an i.i.d. sample of size $n$. Our sole assumption is that this vector satisfies a bounded $L^p-L^2$ moment assumption over its one-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Roberto I. Oliveira , Zoraida F. Rico

Functional data present as functions or curves possessing a spatial or temporal component. These components by nature have a fixed observational domain. Consequently, any asymptotic investigation requires modelling the increased correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Cory W. Natoli , Edward D. White , Beau A. Nunnally , Alex J. Gutman , Raymond R. Hill

We propose a test of many zero parameter restrictions in a high dimensional linear iid regression model with $k$ $>>$ $n$ regressors. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many low dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Jonathan B. Hill

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

Change point estimation is often formulated as a search for the maximum of a gain function describing improved fits when segmenting the data. Searching through all candidates requires $O(n)$ evaluations of the gain function for an interval…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Lorenz Haubner , Axel Munk , Peter Bühlmann

We develop an estimator for the change point parameter for a dynamically evolving graphical model, and also obtain its asymptotic distribution under high dimensional scaling. To procure the latter result, we establish that the proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Abhishek Kaul , Hongjin Zhang , Konstantinos Tsampourakis , George Michailidis

This paper presents a new parameter estimation algorithm for the adaptive control of a class of time-varying plants. The main feature of this algorithm is a matrix of time-varying learning rates, which enables parameter estimation error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Eugene Lavretsky , Michael A. Bolender

Decoding from large language models (LLMs) typically relies on fixed sampling hyperparameters (e.g., temperature, top-p), despite substantial variation in task difficulty and uncertainty across prompts and individual decoding steps. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Chloe H. Su , Zhe Ye , Samuel Tenka , Aidan Yang , Soonho Kong , Udaya Ghai

Approximate message passing (AMP) refers to a class of efficient algorithms for statistical estimation in high-dimensional problems such as compressed sensing and low-rank matrix estimation. This paper analyzes the performance of AMP in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Cynthia Rush , Ramji Venkataramanan

Synchronized measurements of a large power grid enable an unprecedented opportunity to study the spatialtemporal correlations. Statistical analytics for those massive datasets start with high-dimensional data matrices. Uncertainty is…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-13 Zenan Ling , Robert C. Qiu , Xing He , Lei Chu

Large-scale sequential data is often exposed to some degree of inhomogeneity in the form of sudden changes in the parameters of the data-generating process. We consider the problem of detecting such structural changes in a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-15 Florencia Leonardi , Peter Bühlmann

Signal detection in environments with unknown signal bandwidth and time intervals is a fundamental problem in adversarial and spectrum-sharing scenarios. This paper addresses the problem of detecting signals occupying unknown degrees of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Ali Rasteh , Sundeep Rangan

The availability of data sets with large numbers of variables is rapidly increasing. The effective application of Bayesian variable selection methods for regression with these data sets has proved difficult since available Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-08 Jim Griffin , Krys Latuszynski , Mark Steel

Test-time alignment of large language models (LLMs) attracts attention because fine-tuning LLMs requires high computational costs. In this paper, we propose a new test-time alignment method called adaptive importance sampling on pre-logits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Sekitoshi Kanai , Tsukasa Yoshida , Hiroshi Takahashi , Haru Kuroki , Kazumune Hashimoto

We consider the linear regression model with observation error in the design. In this setting, we allow the number of covariates to be much larger than the sample size. Several new estimation methods have been recently introduced for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Alexandre Belloni , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Alexandre Tsybakov

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

We examine the rate of convergence of the Lasso estimator of lower dimensional components of the high-dimensional parameter. Under bounds on the $\ell_1$-norm on the worst possible sub-direction these rates are of order $\sqrt {|J| \log p /…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Sara van de Geer

We consider the adaptive Lasso estimator with componentwise tuning in the framework of a low-dimensional linear regression model. In our setting, at least one of the components is penalized at the rate of consistent model selection and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Nicolai Amann , Ulrike Schneider