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We develop a class of non-Gaussian translation processes that extend classical stochastic differential equations (SDEs) by prescribing arbitrary absolutely continuous marginal distributions. Our approach uses a copula-based transformation…
It is well known that the isotonic least squares estimator is characterized as the derivative of the greatest convex minorant of a random walk. Provided the walk has exchangeable increments, we prove that the slopes of the greatest convex…
In this paper we discuss a closed-form approximation of the likelihood functions of an arbitrary diffusion process. The approximation is based on an exponential ansatz of the transition probability for a finite time step $\Delta t$, and a…
The present article studies survival analytic aspects of semiparametric copula dependence models with arbitrary univariate marginals. The underlying survival functions admit a representation via exponent measures which have an…
Under mild Markov assumptions, sufficient conditions for strict minimax optimality of sequential tests for multiple hypotheses under distributional uncertainty are derived. First, the design of optimal sequential tests for simple hypotheses…
A distributional equation as a criterion for invariant measures of Markov processes associated to L\'evy-type operators is established. This is obtained via a characterization of infinitesimally invariant measures of the associated…
A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…
Discrete random probability measures are a key ingredient of Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures. A sample generates ties with positive probability and a fundamental object of both theoretical and applied interest is the…
We prove existence of (at most denumerable many) absolutely continuous invariant probability measures for random one-dimensional dynamical systems with asymptotic expansion. If the rate of expansion (Lyapunov exponents) is bounded away from…
Dilative semistability extends the notion of semi-selfsimilarity for infinitely divisible stochastic processes by introducing an additional scaling in the convolution exponent. It is shown that this scaling relation is a natural extension…
A dynamical model consists of a continuous self-map $T: \mathcal{X} \to \mathcal{X}$ of a compact state space $\mathcal{X}$ and a continuous observation function $f: \mathcal{X} \to \mathbb{R}$. This paper considers the fitting of a…
We consider the problem of estimating the missing mass, partition function or evidence and its probability distribution in the case that for each sample point in the discrete sample space its (unnormalized) probability mass is revealed.…
We consider the one-sided exit problem for (fractionally) integrated random walks and L\'evy processes. We prove that the rate of decrease of the non-exit probability -- the so-called survival exponent -- is universal in this class of…
Let $K_n$ denote the number of distinct values among the first $n$ terms of an infinite exchangeable sequence of random variables $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$. We prove for $n=3$ that the extreme points of the convex set of all possible laws of $K_3$…
We propose isomorphism type identities for nonlinear functionals of general infinitely divisible processes. Such identities can be viewed as an analogy of the Cameron-Martin formula for Poissonian infinitely divisible processes but with…
We propose some new results on the comparison of the minimum or maximum order statistic from a random number of non-identical random variables. Under the non-identical set-up, with certain conditions, we prove that random minimum (maximum)…
We study the properties of the set of marginal distributions of infinite translation-invariant systems in the 2D square lattice. In cases where the local variables can only take a small number $d$ of possible values, we completely solve the…
Two stochastic representations of multivariate geometric distributions are analyzed, both are obtained by lifting the lack-of-memory (LM) property of the univariate geometric law to the multivariate case. On the one hand, the narrow-sense…
Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…
We study the limiting behavior of continuous time trawl processes which are defined using an infinitely divisible random measure of a time dependent set. In this way one is able to define separately the marginal distribution and the…