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Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

A sequence of random variables is called exchangeable if the joint distribution of the sequence is unchanged by any permutation of the indices. De Finetti's theorem characterizes all $\{0,1\}$-valued exchangeable sequences as a "mixture" of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Werner Kirsch

Mixtures of product distributions are a powerful device for learning about heterogeneity within data populations. In this class of latent structure models, de Finetti's mixing measure plays the central role for describing the uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-27 Yun Wei , XuanLong Nguyen

The article is devoted to stochastic processes with values in finite-dimensional vector spaces over infinite locally compact fields with non-trivial non-archimedean valuations. Infinitely divisible distributions are investigated. Theorems…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-18 S. V. Ludkovsky

This article introduces a novel framework for nonparametric priors on real-valued random vectors, which can be viewed as a multivariate generalization of neutral-to-the right priors. It is based on randomizing the exponent measure of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Florian Brück

We study the statistics of the maximum and minimum of a set of $N$ random variables whose dynamical and statistical properties fall within the scope of infinite ergodic theory. These non-stationary yet recurrent systems are described, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-09 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

We completely characterize $\Delta$- and local subexponentialities of positive-half compound Poisson distributions and extend the characterization on two-sided distributions. Moreover, $\Delta$-subexponentiality of infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Muneya Matsui , Toshiro Watanabe

Partially exchangeable sequences representable as mixtures of Markov chains are completely specified by de Finetti's mixing measure. The paper characterizes, in terms of a subclass of hidden Markov models, the partially exchangeable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Cecilia Prosdocimi , Lorenzo Finesso

We characterize the class of exchangeable Feller processes evolving on partitions with boundedly many blocks. In continuous-time, the jump measure decomposes into two parts: a $\sigma$-finite measure on stochastic matrices and a collection…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-04 Harry Crane

We give a nonstandard analytic proof of de Finetti's theorem for an exchangeable sequence of Bernoulli random variables. The theorem postulates that such a sequence is uniquely representable as a mixture of iid sequences of Bernoulli random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Irfan Alam

The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Alexey Lindo , Sergei Zuyev , Serik Sagitov

Extropy, a complementary dual of entropy, (proposed by Lad et al. \cite{lad2015extropy} in 2015) has attracted considerable interest from the research community. In this study, we focus on discrete random variables and define conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Naveen Kumar , Vivek Vijay

In this work we analyze the concept of swap-invariance, which is a weaker variant of exchangeability. A random vector $\xi$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$ is called swap-invariant if $\,{\mathbf E}\,\big| \!\sum_j u_j \xi_j \big|\,$ is invariant under…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Felix Nagel

Our object of study is the general class of stick-breaking processes with exchangeable length variables. These generalize well-known Bayesian non-parametric priors in an unexplored direction. We give conditions to assure the respective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 María F. Gil-Leyva , Ramsés H. Mena

Consider a finite set of sources, each producing i.i.d. observations that follow a unique probability distribution on a finite alphabet. We study the problem of matching a finite set of observed sequences to the set of sources under the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Jayakrishnan Unnikrishnan

Dependent nonparametric processes extend distributions over measures, such as the Dirichlet process and the beta process, to give distributions over collections of measures, typically indexed by values in some covariate space. Such models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Sinead Williamson

The Extremal Index is a parameter that measures the intensity of clustering of rare events and is usually equal to the reciprocal of the mean of the limiting cluster size distribution. We show how to build dynamically generated stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Miguel Abadi , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas

Gibbs partition models are the largest class of infinite exchangeable partitions of the positive integers generalizing the product form of the probability function of the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet family. Recently those models have…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Annalisa Cerquetti

A sequence of random variables is exchangeable if its joint distribution is invariant under variable permutations. We introduce exchangeable variable models (EVMs) as a novel class of probabilistic models whose basic building blocks are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-06 Mathias Niepert , Pedro Domingos

Recent advances in Bayesian models for random partitions have led to the formulation and exploration of Exchangeable Sequences of Clusters (ESC) models. Under ESC models, it is the cluster sizes that are exchangeable, rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Keith Levin , Brenda Betancourt