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This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-03 Vadim Ustyuzhanin

Dataset Distillation (DD) aims to generate a compact synthetic dataset that enables models to achieve performance comparable to training on the full large dataset, significantly reducing computational costs. Drawing from optimal transport…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Haoyang Liu , Yijiang Li , Tiancheng Xing , Peiran Wang , Vibhu Dalal , Luwei Li , Jingrui He , Haohan Wang

We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-14 Georgios Papageorgiou

Deep neural networks have been successful in diverse discriminative classification tasks, although, they are poorly calibrated often assigning high probability to misclassified predictions. Potential consequences could lead to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-06 John Mitros , Arjun Pakrashi , Brian Mac Namee

We introduce a variational Bayesian neural network where the parameters are governed via a probability distribution on random matrices. Specifically, we employ a matrix variate Gaussian \cite{gupta1999matrix} parameter posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-24 Christos Louizos , Max Welling

Effective learning of asymmetric and local features in images and other data observed on multi-dimensional grids is a challenging objective critical for a wide range of image processing applications involving biomedical and natural images.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-06 Meng Li , Li Ma

In this paper, we analyze the Wisconsin Diagnostic Breast Cancer Data using Machine Learning classification techniques, such as the SVM, Bayesian Logistic Regression (Variational Approximation), and K-Nearest-Neighbors. We describe each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Reihaneh Entezari

Bayesian deep learning (BDL) is a promising approach to achieve well-calibrated predictions on distribution-shifted data. Nevertheless, there exists no large-scale survey that evaluates recent SOTA methods on diverse, realistic, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Florian Seligmann , Philipp Becker , Michael Volpp , Gerhard Neumann

We propose a deep neural network (DNN) based least distance (LD) estimator (DNN-LD) for a multivariate regression problem, addressing the limitations of the conventional methods. Due to the flexibility of a DNN structure, both linear and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Jungmin Shin , Seung Jun Shin , Sungwan Bang

We propose Bayesian Conformal Prediction (BCP), a framework that combines Bayesian posterior predictive distributions with PAC-style conformal risk control to produce prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Fanyi Wu , Veronika Lohmanova , Samuel Kaski , Michele Caprio

Comparing probability distributions is at the crux of many machine learning algorithms. Maximum Mean Discrepancies (MMD) and Wasserstein distances are two classes of distances between probability distributions that have attracted abundant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Titouan Vayer , Rémi Gribonval

We introduce a novel framework for the estimation of the posterior distribution over the weights of a neural network, based on a new probabilistic interpretation of adaptive optimisation algorithms such as AdaGrad and Adam. We demonstrate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 Samuel Kessler , Arnold Salas , Vincent W. C. Tan , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Gaussian Process (GP) models are widely utilized as surrogate models in scientific and engineering fields. However, standard GP models are limited to continuous variables due to the difficulties in establishing correlation structures for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-05 Mingyu Pu , Songhao Wang , Haowei Wang , Szu Hui Ng

We propose Radial Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs): a variational approximate posterior for BNNs which scales well to large models while maintaining a distribution over weight-space with full support. Other scalable Bayesian deep learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-01 Sebastian Farquhar , Michael Osborne , Yarin Gal

Weight decay (WD) is a traditional regularization technique in deep learning, but despite its ubiquity, its behavior is still an area of active research. Golatkar et al. have recently shown that WD only matters at the start of the training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Johan Bjorck , Kilian Weinberger , Carla Gomes

We propose a variational Bayesian (VB) procedure for high-dimensional linear model inferences with heavy tail shrinkage priors, such as student-t prior. Theoretically, we establish the consistency of the proposed VB method and prove that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Jincheng Bai , Qifan Song , Guang Cheng

The aim of this paper is to discuss both higher-order asymptotic expansions and skewed approximations for the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure for testing precise statistical hypotheses. In particular, we derive results on third-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Elena Bortolato , Francesco Bertolino , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis is a formal approach to coherently synthesizing multiple predictive distributions into a single distribution. In sequential analysis, the computation of the synthesized predictive distribution has…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Riku Masuda , Kaoru Irie

The sliced Wasserstein (SW) distance has been widely recognized as a statistically effective and computationally efficient metric between two probability measures. A key component of the SW distance is the slicing distribution. There are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-02 Khai Nguyen , Nhat Ho

Unsupervised learning of feature representations is a challenging yet important problem for analyzing a large collection of multimedia data that do not have semantic labels. Recently proposed neural network-based unsupervised learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Takahiko Furuya , Ryutarou Ohbuchi