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In the model for continuous opinion dynamics introduced by Hegselmann and Krause, each individual moves to the average opinion of all individuals within an area of confidence. In this work we study the effects of noise in this system. With…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-24 Miguel Pineda , Raul Toral , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia

Socio-psychological studies have identified a common phenomenon where an individual's public actions do not necessarily coincide with their private opinions, yet most existing models fail to capture the dynamic interplay between these two…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Chen Song , Vladimir Cvetkovic , Rong Su

The massive amount of text data on the web has facilitated research on the quantitative analysis of public opinion, which could not be visualized earlier. In this paper, we propose a new opinion dynamics theory. This theory that is intended…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-01 Akira Ishii , Yasuko Kawahata

Understanding the evolution of collective beliefs is of critical importance to get insights on the political trends as well as on social tastes and opinions. In particular, it is pivotal to develop analytical models that can predict the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-10-25 Alessandro Nordio , Alberto Tarable , Carla Fabiana Chiasserini , Emilio Leonardi

In traditional voter models, opinion dynamics are driven by interactions between individuals, where an individual adopts the opinion of a randomly chosen neighbor. However, these models often fail to capture the emergence of entirely new…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-27 Jeehye Choi , Byungjoon Min , Tobias Galla

Formal models of opinion formation commonly represent an individual's opinion by a value on a fixed opinion interval. We propose an alternative modeling method wherein interpretation is only provided to the relative positions of opinions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-03 Kit Ming Danny Chan , Robert Duivenvoorden , Andreas Flache , Michel Mandjes

The field of opinion dynamics has evolved steadily since the earliest studies applying magnetic physics methods to better understand social opinion formation. However, in the real world, complete agreement of opinions is rare, and biaxial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-28 Yasuko Kawahata

We study a class of discrete-time multi-agent systems modelling opinion dynamics with decaying confidence. We consider a network of agents where each agent has an opinion. At each time step, the agents exchange their opinion with their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-06-03 Irinel Constantin Morarescu , Antoine Girard

The process of opinion expression and exchange is a critical component of democratic societies. As people interact with large language models (LLMs) in the opinion shaping process different from traditional media, the impacts of LLMs are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Chao Li , Xing Su , Haoying Han , Cong Xue , Chunmo Zheng , Chao Fan

Messages conveyed by media act as a major drive in shaping attitudes and inducing opinion shift. On the other hand, individuals are strongly affected by peer pressure while forming their own judgment. We solve a general model of opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-09 Francesca Colaiori , Claudio Castellano

Models of opinion dynamics describe how opinions are shaped in various environments. While these models are able to replicate general opinion distributions observed in real-world scenarios, their capacity to align with data at the user…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Antoine Vendeville

Modelling efforts in opinion dynamics have to a large extent ignored that opinion exchange between individuals can also have an effect on how willing they are to express their opinion publicly. Here, we introduce a model of public opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-14 Felix Gaisbauer , Eckehard Olbrich , Sven Banisch

Models of continuous opinion dynamics under bounded confidence have been presented independently by Krause and Hegselmann and by Deffuant et al in 2000. They have raised a fair amount of attention in the communities of social simulation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-03-06 Jan Lorenz

We study a Hegselmann-Krause type opinion formation model for a system of two populations. The two groups interact with each other via subsets of individuals, namely the leaders, and natural time delay effects are considered. By using…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Chiara Cicolani , Cristina Pignotti

In the consensus model with bounded confidence, studied by Deffuant et al. (2000), two randomly selected people who differ not too much in their opinion both shift their opinions towards each other. Now we restrict this exchange of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 D. Stauffer , H. Meyer-Ortmanns

People's opinions on a wide range of topics often evolve over time through their interactions with others. Models of opinion dynamics primarily focus on one-dimensional opinions, which represent opinions on one topic. However, opinions on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-01 Grace Jingying Li , Jiajie Luo , Weiqi Chu

Opinion polarization is on the rise, causing concerns for the openness of public debates. Additionally, extreme opinions on different topics often show significant correlations. The dynamics leading to these polarized ideological opinions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Fabian Baumann , Philipp Lorenz-Spreen , Igor M. Sokolov , Michele Starnini

Statistical physicists have become interested in models of collective social behavior such as opinion formation, where individuals change their inherently preferred opinion if their friends disagree. Real preferences often depend on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-27 Michael T. Gastner , Nikolitsa Markou , Gunnar Pruessner , Moez Draief

Social interactions influence people's opinions. In some situations, these interactions eventually yield a consensus opinion; in others, they can lead to opinion fragmentation and the formation of different opinion groups in the form of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-01 Lasse Mohr , Poul G. Hjorth , Mason A. Porter

Considerable effort using techniques developed in statistical physics has been aimed at numerical simulations of agent-based opinion models and analysis of their results. Such work has elucidated how various rules for interacting agents can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-06 Moorad Alexanian , Dylan McNamara
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