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Current work on using visual analytics to determine causal relations among variables has mostly been based on the concept of counterfactuals. As such the derived static causal networks do not take into account the effect of time as an…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Jun Wang , Klaus Mueller

We introduce graphical time series models for the analysis of dynamic relationships among variables in multivariate time series. The modelling approach is based on the notion of strong Granger causality and can be applied to time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Michael Eichler

Identifying and communicating relationships between causes and effects is important for understanding our world, but is affected by language structure, cognitive and emotional biases, and the properties of the communication medium. Despite…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Thomas C. McAndrew , Joshua C. Bongard , Christopher M. Danforth , Peter S. Dodds , Paul D. H. Hines , James P. Bagrow

Correlated fluctuations in the activity of neural populations reflect the network's dynamics and connectivity. The temporal and spatial dimensions of neural correlations are interdependent. However, prior theoretical work mainly analyzed…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-19 Yan-Liang Shi , Roxana Zeraati , Anna Levina , Tatiana A. Engel

Although the notion of diagnostic problem has been extensively investigated in the context of static systems, in most practical applications the behavior of the modeled system is significantly variable during time. The goal of the paper is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Luigi Portinale

Causal inference in a nonlinear system of multivariate timeseries is instrumental in disentangling the intricate web of relationships among variables, enabling us to make more accurate predictions and gain deeper insights into real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

A theory of temperature dynamics in many-body systems driven by time-dependent external sources is introduced. The formalism based on the combination of the perturbation theory and the fluctuational-electrodynamics approach in many-body…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-07-14 Alireza Naeimi , Moladad Nikbakht

We propose a new definition of actual causes, using structural equations to model counterfactuals.We show that the definitions yield a plausible and elegant account ofcausation that handles well examples which have caused problems forother…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Joseph Y. Halpern , Judea Pearl

Predicting the future is an important component of decision making. In most situations, however, there is not enough information to make accurate predictions. In this paper, we develop a theory of causal reasoning for predictive inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Thomas L. Dean , Keiji Kanazawa

To integrate hydrodynamic fluctuations, namely thermal fluctuations of hydrodynamics, into dynamical models of high-energy nuclear collisions based on relativistic hydrodynamics, the property of the hydrodynamic fluctuations given by the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-10-29 Koichi Murase

We show that there is a general, informative and reliable procedure for discovering causal relations when, for all the investigator knows, both latent variables and selection bias may be at work. Given information about conditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Peter L. Spirtes , Christopher Meek , Thomas S. Richardson

Methods to identify cause-effect relationships currently mostly assume the variables to be scalar random variables. However, in many fields the objects of interest are vectors or groups of scalar variables. We present a new constraint-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Jonas Wahl , Urmi Ninad , Jakob Runge

In this study, we address causal inference when only observational data and a valid causal ordering from the causal graph are available. We introduce a set of flow models that can recover component-wise, invertible transformation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Minh Khoa Le , Kien Do , Truyen Tran

We introduce an approach which allows detecting causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Causality is assessed by a variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Vittorio Del Tatto , Gianfranco Fortunato , Domenica Bueti , Alessandro Laio

In this perspective we consider how modern statistical mechanics and response theory can be applied to understand the response of polar molecules to an applied electric field and the fluctuations in these systems. Results that are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-08 Debra J. Searles , Stephen Sanderson

Non-Markovian corrections to the Markovian quantum master equation of an open quantum system are investigated up to the second order of the interaction between the system of interest and a thermal reservoir. The concept of "natural…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-04-23 Takashi Mori

Systems that are driven out of thermal equilibrium typically dissipate random quantities of energy on microscopic scales. Crooks fluctuation theorem relates the distribution of these random work costs with the corresponding distribution for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-02-13 Johan Aberg

For non-equilibrium systems of interacting particles and for interacting diffusions in d dimensions, a novel fluctuation relation is derived. The theorem establishes a quantitative relation between the probabilities of observing two current…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-07 Carlos Pérez-Espigares , Frank Redig , Cristian Giardinà

Understanding temporal and causal relations between events is a fundamental natural language understanding task. Because a cause must be before its effect in time, temporal and causal relations are closely related and one relation even…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-06-13 Qiang Ning , Zhili Feng , Hao Wu , Dan Roth

The interpretation of experimental and numerical data describing off-equilibrium aging dynamics crucially depends on the connection between spontaneous and induced fluctuations. The hypothesis that linear response fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-03-18 Simon Christiansen , Paolo Sibani