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The lack of offshore seismic data caused uncertainties associated to understating the behavior of future tsunamigenic earthquakes in the Makran Subduction Zone (MSZ). Future tsunamigenic events in the MSZ may trigger significant near-field…

The Makran subduction zone, an approximate 1000 km section of the Eurasian-Arabian plate, is located offshore of Southern Iran and Pakistan. In 1945, the Makran subduction zone (MSZ) generated a tsunamigenic earthquake with a magnitude of…

In order to perform probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment (PTHA) based on subduction zone earthquakes, it is necessary to start with a catalog of possible future events along with the annual probability of occurance, or a probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Randall J. LeVeque , Knut Waagan , Frank I. González , Donsub Rim , Guang Lin

In this paper we describe a general framework for incorporating tidal uncertainty into probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment and propose the Pattern Method and a simpler special case called the $\Delta t$ Method as effective approaches.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-30 Loyce M. Adams , Randall J. LeVeque , Frank I. González

The State of Tripura lies in northeast India which is considered to be one of the most seismically active regions of the world. In the present study, a realistic Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) of Tripura State based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-23 Suman Sinha , S. Selvan

In probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), the exceedance probability of a ground-motion intensity measure (IM) is typically evaluated. However, in recent years, dynamic response analyses using ground-motion time histories as input…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 Yuma Matsumoto , Taro Yaoyama , Sangwon Lee , Asako Iwaki , Tatsuya Itoi

The declining synchronous inertia in power systems undergoing the energy transition increases the sensitivity of system frequency to generation and interconnector disturbances, making accurate frequency risk quantification increasingly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Sewedo Todowede

Hazard assessment of storm tide is addressed for Southeast China coast in this study. In particular, we pay attention to the scarcely discussed issue of storm tide inundation. The main procedures of hazard assessment are: 1) non-stationary…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-02-19 Bingchuan Nie , Qingyong Wuxi , Jiachun Li , Feng Xu

The risk posed by tsunami waves is currently modelled over bare-earth representations by tsunami models. The complex flows around buildings and structures are crucial to represent the true state of the tsunami wave elevation, speed and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-15 Jack Dignan , Joseph O'Connor , Serge Guillas

Significant tsunamis in Northern Adriatic are rare and only a few historical events were reported in the literature, with sources mostly located along with central and southern parts of the Adriatic coasts. Recently, a tsunami alert system…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-09-15 Antonella Peresan , Hany M. Hassan

We propose and compare methods for the analysis of extreme events in complex systems governed by PDEs that involve random parameters, in situations where we are interested in quantifying the probability that a scalar function of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Shanyin Tong , Eric Vanden-Eijnden , Georg Stadler

Information about the hydro-meteorological parameters during the extreme sea storms is of significant importance for the sustainable development in the context of flood risk for the coastal areas. Usually there is a lack of sufficiently…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-09-30 Vasko Galabov , Anna Kortcheva , Andrey Bogatchev , Boryana Tsenova

The risk of extreme storm tides to Bangladesh's low-lying and densely populated coastal regions, already vulnerable to tropical cyclones, remains poorly quantified under a warming climate. Here, using a statistical-physical downscaling…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-06 Jiangchao Qiu , Sai Ravela , Kerry Emanuel

Usual inversion for earthquake source parameters from tsunami wave data incorporates subjective elements. Noisy and possibly insufficient data also results in instability and non-uniqueness in most deterministic inversions. Here we employ…

From biotechnology to cyber-risks, most extreme technological risks cannot be reliably estimated from historical statistics. Therefore, engineers resort to predictive methods, such as fault/event trees in the framework of probabilistic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-26 D. Sornette , T. Maillart , W. Kroeger

Epistemic uncertainty in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) is commonly addressed through a logic-tree framework that combines weighted alternative models to characterize the range of plausible hazard outcomes. Implicit in this…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Davide Zaccagnino , Didier Sornette

Hazardous tsunamis are known to be generated predominantly at subduction zones. However, the 2018 Mw 7.5 Sulawesi (Indonesia) earthquake on a strike-slip fault generated a tsunami that devastated the city of Palu. The mechanism by which…

he evaluation of the impact of actions undertaken is essential in management. This paper assesses the impact of efforts considered to mitigate risk and create safe environments on a global scale. We measure this impact by looking at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Christian Mulomba Mukendi , Hyebong Choi

We introduce a new approach for ground motion relations (GMR) in the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), being influenced by the extreme value theory of mathematical statistics. Therein, we understand a GMR as a random function.…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Mathias Raschke

One of the most important aspects in tsunami studies is the wave behavior when it approaches the coast. Information on physical parameters that characterize waves is often limited because of the diffilculties in achieving accurate…

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