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Related papers: Deep Learning for Digital Asset Limit Order Books

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In this paper, we conduct a systematic large-scale analysis of order book-driven predictability in high-frequency returns by leveraging deep learning techniques. First, we introduce a new and robust representation of the order book, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko Pakkanen , Almut Veraart

We showcase how dropout variational inference can be applied to a large-scale deep learning model that predicts price movements from limit order books (LOBs), the canonical data source representing trading and pricing movements. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Managing the prediction of metrics in high-frequency financial markets is a challenging task. An efficient way is by monitoring the dynamics of a limit order book to identify the information edge. This paper describes the first publicly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Adamantios Ntakaris , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

The Lightning Network (LN) is a second-layer protocol for Bitcoin designed to enable fast and cost-efficient off-chain transactions. Channels in the LN can be closed either by mutual agreement or unilaterally through a forced closure, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Simone Antonelli , Vincent Davis , Harrison Rush , Anthony Potdevin , Jesse Shrader , Vikash Singh , Emanuele Rossi

Multi-horizon price forecasting is central to portfolio allocation, risk management, and algorithmic trading, yet deep learning architectures have proliferated faster than rigorous financial benchmarks can evaluate them. This study provides…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-19 Nabeel Ahmad Saidd

Accurate forecasting of Bitcoin (BTC) has always been a challenge because decentralized markets are non-linear, highly volatile, and have temporal irregularities. Existing deep learning models often struggle with interpretability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Raiz Ud Din , Saddam Hussain Khan

Uncertainty quantification is crucial in time series prediction, and quantile regression offers a valuable mechanism for uncertainty quantification which is useful for extreme value forecasting. Although deep learning models have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Jimmy Cheung , Smruthi Rangarajan , Amelia Maddocks , Xizhe Chen , Rohitash Chandra

The emerging cryptocurrency market has lately received great attention for asset allocation due to its decentralization uniqueness. However, its volatility and brand new trading mode have made it challenging to devising an acceptable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Fengrui Liu , Yang Li , Baitong Li , Jiaxin Li , Huiyang Xie

The present work addresses theoretical and practical questions in the domain of Deep Learning for High Frequency Trading. State-of-the-art models such as Random models, Logistic Regressions, LSTMs, LSTMs equipped with an Attention mask,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-20 Antonio Briola , Jeremy Turiel , Tomaso Aste

Experience has shown that trading in stock and cryptocurrency markets has the potential to be highly profitable. In this light, considerable effort has been recently devoted to investigate how to apply machine learning and deep learning to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Mohammadmahdi Ghahramani , Hamid Esmaeili Najafabadi

We present results demonstrating that an appropriately configured deep learning neural network (DLNN) can automatically learn to be a high-performing algorithmic trading system, operating purely from training-data inputs generated by…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-03 Aaron Wray , Matthew Meades , Dave Cliff

Predicting the output of quantum circuits is a hard computational task that plays a pivotal role in the development of universal quantum computers. Here we investigate the supervised learning of output expectation values of random quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-05-01 S. Cantori , D. Vitali , S. Pilati

Even though computational intelligence techniques have been extensively utilized in financial trading systems, almost all developed models use the time series data for price prediction or identifying buy-sell points. However, in this study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-13 Omer Berat Sezer , Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Matteo Prata , Giuseppe Masi , Leonardo Berti , Viviana Arrigoni , Andrea Coletta , Irene Cannistraci , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Paola Velardi , Novella Bartolini

Effective training of Deep Neural Networks requires massive amounts of data and compute. As a result, longer times are needed to train complex models requiring large datasets, which can severely limit research on model development and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Siddharth Samsi , Christopher J. Mattioli , Mark S. Veillette

Anticipating price developments in financial markets is a topic of continued interest in forecasting. Funneled by advancements in deep learning and natural language processing (NLP) together with the availability of vast amounts of textual…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-21 Duygu Ider , Stefan Lessmann

We document stable cross-asset patterns in cryptocurrency limit-order-book microstructure: the same engineered order book and trade features exhibit remarkably similar predictive importance and SHAP dependence shapes across assets spanning…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Bartosz Bieganowski , Robert Ślepaczuk

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Deep learning is an effective approach to solving image recognition problems. People draw intuitive conclusions from trading charts; this study uses the characteristics of deep learning to train computers in imitating this kind of intuition…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Jun-Hao Chen , Jun-Jie Wang

Recently, the market on deep learning including not only software but also hardware is developing rapidly. Big data is collected through IoT devices and the industry world will analyze them to improve their manufacturing process. Deep…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-07-12 Shin Kamada , Takumi Ichimura