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Given a sample of independent and identically distributed random variables, a novel nonparametric maximum entropy method is presented to estimate the underlying continuous univariate probability density function (pdf). Estimates are found…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Jenny Farmer , Donald J. Jacobs

In many chemical and biological applications, systems of differential equations containing unknown parameters are used to explain empirical observations and experimental data. The DEs are typically nonlinear and difficult to analyze,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-24 D. Goulet

The intrusive (sample-free) spectral stochastic finite element method (SSFEM) is a powerful numerical tool for solving stochastic partial differential equations (PDEs). However, it is not widely adopted in academic and industrial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Ajit Desai

Simulation-based techniques such as variants of stochastic Runge-Kutta are the de facto approach for inference with stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in machine learning. These methods are general-purpose and used with parametric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Arno Solin , Ella Tamir , Prakhar Verma

Stochastic reaction networks are a fundamental model to describe interactions between species where random fluctuations are relevant. The master equation provides the evolution of the probability distribution across the discrete state space…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-15 Tabea Waizmann , Luca Bortolussi , Andrea Vandin , Mirco Tribastone

We consider a problem of parameter estimation for the state space model described by linear stochastic differential equations. We assume that an unobservable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process drives another observable process by the linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Masahiro Kurisaki

In many scientific fields, the generation and evolution of data are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) which are typically informed by established physical laws at the macroscopic level to describe general and predictable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Ziyuan Chen , Shunxing Yan , Fang Yao

By investigating path-distribution dependent stochastic differential equations, the following type of nonlinear Fokker--Planck equations for probability measures $(\mu_t)_{t \geq 0}$ on the path space $\mathcal C:=C([-r_0,0];\mathbb R^d),$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Xing Huang , Michael Röckner , Feng-Yu Wang

The Fokker-Planck equation has been very useful for studying dynamic behavior of stochastic differential equations driven by Gaussian noises. In this paper, we derive a Fractional Fokker--Planck equation for the probability distribution of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-11-10 D. Schertzer , M. Larchev , J. Duan , V. V. Yanovsky , S. Lovejoy

Recently, we proposed a method to estimate parameters of stochastic dynamics based on the linear response statistics. The method rests upon a nonlinear least-squares problem that takes into account the response properties that stem from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-24 He Zhang , John Harlim , Xiantao Li

Models and methods that are able to accurately and efficiently predict the flows of low-speed rarefied gases are in high demand, due to the increasing ability to manufacture devices at micro and nano scales. One such model and method is a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-09-21 Benjamin Collyer , Colm Connaughton , Duncan Lockerby

This paper is concerned with stochastic systems whose state is a diffusion process governed by an Ito stochastic differential equation (SDE). In the framework of a nominal white-noise model, the SDE is driven by a standard Wiener process.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Igor G. Vladimirov

Nonlinear dynamical systems are sometimes under the influence of random fluctuations. It is desirable to examine possible bifurcations for stochastic dynamical systems when a parameter varies. A computational analysis is conducted to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Huiqin Chen , Jinqiao Duan , Chengjian Zhang

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer

This study addresses the inverse problem of parameter estimation for Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) by minimizing a regularized discrepancy functional via Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). To achieve computational efficiency, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Francisco Delgado-Vences , José Julián Pavón-Español , Arelly Ornelas

In neuroscience, the distribution of a decision time is modelled by means of a one-dimensional Fokker--Planck equation with time-dependent boundaries and space-time-dependent drift. Efficient approximation of the solution to this equation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Udo Boehm , Sonja Cox , Gregor Gantner , Rob Stevenson

We propose using the frequency-domain bootstrap (FDB) to estimate errors of modeling parameters when the modeling error is itself a major source of uncertainty. Unlike the usual bootstrap or the simple $\chi^2$ analysis, the FDB can take…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-12-27 G. F. Bertsch , Derek Bingham

Parameter inference for stochastic differential equations is challenging due to the presence of a latent diffusion process. Working with an Euler-Maruyama discretisation for the diffusion, we use variational inference to jointly learn the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-15 Thomas Ryder , Andrew Golightly , A. Stephen McGough , Dennis Prangle

In this paper we focus on the parameter estimation of dynamic load models with stochastic terms, in particular, load models where protection settings are uncertain, such as in aggregated air conditioning units. We show how the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniel Adrian Maldonado , Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu , Vivak Patel

We introduce and analyse a continuum model for an interacting particle system of Vicsek type. The model is given by a non-linear kinetic partial differential equation (PDE) describing the time-evolution of the density $f_t$, in the single…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-04-11 Paolo Buttà , Franco Flandoli , Michela Ottobre , Boguslaw Zegarlinski
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