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Humans possess a finely tuned sense of uncertainty that helps anticipate potential errors, vital for adaptive behavior and survival. However, the underlying neural mechanisms remain unclear. This study applies moment neural networks (MNNs)…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-11-22 Hengyuan Ma , Wenlian Lu , Jianfeng Feng

As the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) components in cyber-physical systems is becoming more common, the need for reliable system architectures arises. While data-driven models excel at perception tasks, model outcomes are usually not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Janek Groß , Michael Kläs , Lisa Jöckel , Pascal Gerber

Data-driven control in unknown environments requires a clear understanding of the involved uncertainties for ensuring safety and efficient exploration. While aleatoric uncertainty that arises from measurement noise can often be explicitly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Neha Das , Jonas Umlauft , Armin Lederer , Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

Understanding which concepts models can and cannot represent has been fundamental to many tasks: from effective and responsible use of models to detecting out of distribution data. We introduce Gaussian process probes (GPP), a unified and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Zi Wang , Alexander Ku , Jason Baldridge , Thomas L. Griffiths , Been Kim

This paper addresses a significant gap in explainable AI: the necessity of interpreting epistemic uncertainty in model explanations. Although current methods mainly focus on explaining predictions, with some including uncertainty, they fail…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Helena Löfström , Tuwe Löfström , Johan Hallberg Szabadvary

This paper introduces a novel spatiotemporal feature representation model designed to address the limitations of traditional methods in multidimensional time series (MTS) analysis. The proposed approach converts MTS into one-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Xu Yan , Yaoting Jiang , Wenyi Liu , Didi Yi , Jianjun Wei

Prognostics or early detection of incipient faults is an important industrial challenge for condition-based and preventive maintenance. Physics-based approaches to modeling fault progression are infeasible due to multiple interacting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-21 Abhay Harpale , Abhishek Srivastav

Process mining techniques focus on extracting insight in processes from event logs. Process mining has the potential to provide valuable insights in (un)healthy habits and to contribute to ambient assisted living solutions when applied on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-11 Niek Tax , Natalia Sidorova , Reinder Haakma , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

Handling graph data is one of the most difficult tasks. Traditional techniques, such as those based on geometry and matrix factorization, rely on assumptions about the data relations that become inadequate when handling large and complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Zhenyu Qian , Yiming Qian , Yuting Song , Fei Gao , Hai Jin , Chen Yu , Xia Xie

Uncertainty is an essential consideration for time series forecasting tasks. In this work, we specifically focus on quantifying the uncertainty of traffic forecasting. To achieve this, we develop Deep Spatio-Temporal Uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Weizhu Qian , Dalin Zhang , Yan Zhao , Kai Zheng , James J. Q. Yu

Application for semantic segmentation models in areas such as autonomous vehicles and human computer interaction require real-time predictive capabilities. The challenges of addressing real-time application is amplified by the need to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Ethan Goan , Clinton Fookes

Process mining techniques such as process discovery and conformance checking provide insights into actual processes by analyzing event data that are widely available in information systems. These data are very valuable, but often contain…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Majid Rafiei , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

Symbolic event recognition systems have been successfully applied to a variety of application domains, extracting useful information in the form of events, allowing experts or other systems to monitor and respond when significant events are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-08-16 Anastasios Skarlatidis , Georgios Paliouras , Alexander Artikis , George A. Vouros

This work presents the concept of kernel mean embedding and kernel probabilistic programming in the context of stochastic systems. We propose formulations to represent, compare, and propagate uncertainties for fairly general stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-05 Jia-Jie Zhu , Krikamol Muandet , Moritz Diehl , Bernhard Schölkopf

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

Event-based sensors offer high temporal resolution and low latency by generating sparse, asynchronous data. However, converting this irregular data into dense tensors for use in standard neural networks diminishes these inherent advantages,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Aayush Atul Verma , Arpitsinh Vaghela , Bharatesh Chakravarthi , Kaustav Chanda , Yezhou Yang

In complex processes, various events can happen in different sequences. The prediction of the next event given an a-priori process state is of importance in such processes. Recent methods have proposed deep learning techniques such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Julian Theis , Houshang Darabi

Multivariate Bernoulli autoregressive (BAR) processes model time series of events in which the likelihood of current events is determined by the times and locations of past events. These processes can be used to model nonlinear dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-08 Benjamin Mark , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

Data Stream Mining is one of the area gaining lot of practical significance and is progressing at a brisk pace with new methods, methodologies and findings in various applications related to medicine, computer science, bioinformatics and…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-05-06 M. S. B. PhridviRaja , C. V. GuruRao

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie