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Linear regression is a frequently used tool in statistics, however, its validity and interpretability relies on strong model assumptions. While robust estimates of the coefficients' covariance extend the validity of hypothesis tests and…
In fitting a mixture of linear regression models, normal assumption is traditionally used to model the error and then regression parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE). This procedure is not valid if the normal…
Motivated by value function estimation in reinforcement learning, we study statistical linear inverse problems, i.e., problems where the coefficients of a linear system to be solved are observed in noise. We consider penalized estimators,…
Motivated by the need of the linking records across various databases, we propose a novel graphical model based classifier that uses a mixture of Poisson distributions with latent variables. The idea is to derive insight into each pair of…
Estimating causal effects from observational data is not always possible due to confounding. Identifying a set of appropriate covariates (adjustment set) and adjusting for their influence can remove confounding bias; however, such a set is…
Regression by composition provides a flexible framework for constructing conditional distributions through sequential group actions. However, when multiple flows act on the same distribution, the model becomes non-identifiable, leading to…
We consider the problem of predicting a response variable from a set of covariates on a data set that differs in distribution from the training data. Causal parameters are optimal in terms of predictive accuracy if in the new distribution…
This paper presents a new approach to statistical similarity assessment based on sequence alignment. The algorithm performs mutual matching of two random sequences by successively searching for common elements and by applying sequence…
Training on model-generated synthetic data is a promising approach for finetuning LLMs, but it remains unclear when it helps or hurts. In this paper, we investigate this question for math reasoning via an empirical study, followed by…
In Small Area Estimation data linkage can be used to combine values of the variableof interest from a national survey with values of auxiliary variables obtained from another source like a population register. Linkage errors can induce bias…
We tackle estimating sparse coefficients in a linear regression when the covariates are sampled from an $L$-subexponential random vector. This vector belongs to a class of distributions that exhibit heavier tails than Gaussian random…
Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…
Accurate prediction of continuous properties is essential to many scientific and engineering tasks. Although deep-learning regressors excel with abundant labels, their accuracy deteriorates in data-scarce regimes. We introduce RankRefine, a…
We consider the problem of providing valid inference for a selected parameter in a sparse regression setting. It is well known that classical regression tools can be unreliable in this context due to the bias generated in the selection…
The motivation of this work is to improve the performance of standard stacking approaches or ensembles, which are composed of simple, heterogeneous base models, through the integration of the generation and selection stages for regression…
Machine Learning (ML) models are susceptible to evasion attacks. Evasion accuracy is typically assessed using aggregate evasion rate, and it is an open question whether aggregate evasion rate enables feature-level diagnosis on the effect of…
Recent research has studied the role of sparsity in high dimensional regression and signal reconstruction, establishing theoretical limits for recovering sparse models from sparse data. This line of work shows that $\ell_1$-regularized…
We study high-dimensional regression with missing entries in the covariates. A common strategy in practice is to \emph{impute} the missing entries with an appropriate substitute and then implement a standard statistical procedure acting as…
We propose an $\ell_1$-penalized estimator for high-dimensional models of Expected Shortfall (ES). The estimator is obtained as the solution to a least-squares problem for an auxiliary dependent variable, which is defined as a…
Econometric applications with multi-way clustering often feature a small number of effective clusters or heavy-tailed data, making standard cluster-robust and bootstrap inference unreliable in finite samples. In this paper, we develop a…