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We provide an explicit characterization of the optimal market making strategy in a discrete-time Limit Order Book (LOB). In our model, the number of filled orders during each period depends linearly on the distance between the fundamental…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Agostino Capponi , José E. Figueroa-López , Chuyi Yu

We analyze sources of error in prediction market forecasts in order to bound the difference between a security's price and the ground truth it estimates. We consider cost-function-based prediction markets in which an automated market maker…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-22 Miroslav Dudík , Sébastien Lahaie , Ryan Rogers , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

High-speed computerized trading, often called "high-frequency trading" (HFT), has increased dramatically in financial markets over the last decade. In the US and Europe, it now accounts for nearly one-half of all trades. Although evidence…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-09 Austin Gerig

Credit card fraud detection is a very challenging problem because of the specific nature of transaction data and the labeling process. The transaction data is peculiar because they are obtained in a streaming fashion, they are strongly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Fabirzio Carcillo , Yann-Aël Le Borgne , Olivier Caelen , Gianluca Bontempi

This paper proposes an algorithm based on a staged sliding window Transformer architecture to detect abnormal behaviors in the microstructure of the foreign exchange market, focusing on high-frequency EUR/USD trading data. The method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Qiuliuyang Bao , Jiawei Wang , Hao Gong , Yiwei Zhang , Xiaojun Guo , Hanrui Feng

Volume imbalance in a limit order book is often considered as a reliable indicator for predicting future price moves. In this work, we seek to analyse the nuances of the relationship between prices and volume imbalance. To this end, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-24 Sergio Pulido , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Emmanouil Sfendourakis

Recent anti-spoofing systems focus on spoofing detection, where the task is only to determine whether the test audio is fake. However, there are few studies putting attention to identifying the methods of generating fake speech. Common…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Tinglong Zhu , Xingming Wang , Xiaoyi Qin , Ming Li

Modern power systems have begun integrating synchrophasor technologies into part of daily operations. Given the amount of solutions offered and the maturity rate of application development it is not a matter of "if" but a matter of "when"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-18 Jordan Landford , Rich Meier , Richard Barella , Xinghui Zhao , Eduardo Cotilla-Sanchez , Robert B. Bass , Scott Wallace

Trailing stop is a popular stop-loss trading strategy by which the investor will sell the asset once its price experiences a pre-specified percentage drawdown. In this paper, we study the problem of timing buy and then sell an asset subject…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-26 Tim Leung , Hongzhong Zhang

Hoeffding's Inequality provides the maximum probability that a series of n draws from a bounded random variable differ from the variable's true expectation u by more than given tolerance t. The random variable is typically the error rate of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-10 Daniel Egger , Jacob Vestal

IP spoofing enables reflection and amplification attacks, which cause major threats to the current Internet infrastructure. Detecting IP packets with incorrect source addresses would help to improve the situation. This is easy at the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Jasper Eumann , Raphael Hiesgen , Thomas C. Schmidt , Matthias Wählisch

High-frequency market making is a liquidity-providing trading strategy that simultaneously generates many bids and asks for a security at ultra-low latency while maintaining a relatively neutral position. The strategy makes a profit from…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Pankaj Kumar

Various problems of any credit card fraud detection based on machine learning come from the imbalanced aspect of transaction datasets. Indeed, the number of frauds compared to the number of regular transactions is tiny and has been shown to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 François de la Bourdonnaye , Fabrice Daniel

It is widely known that spoofing is a major threat that adversely impacts the reliability and accuracy of GNSS applications. In this study, a crowdsourcing double differential pseudorange spatial (D2SP) random set is constructed and the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-04 Xin Chen , Kai Wang

Alpha signals for statistical arbitrage strategies are often driven by latent factors. This paper analyses how to optimally trade with latent factors that cause prices to jump and diffuse. Moreover, we account for the effect of the trader's…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Philippe Casgrain , Sebastian Jaimungal

This article explores the optimisation of trading strategies in Constant Function Market Makers (CFMMs) and centralised exchanges. We develop a model that accounts for the interaction between these two markets, estimating the conditional…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-06 Sebastian Jaimungal , Yuri F. Saporito , Max O. Souza , Yuri Thamsten

Order book imbalance (OBI) - buy orders minus sell orders near the best quote - measures supply-demand imbalance that can move prices. OBI is positively correlated with returns, and some investors try to use it to improve performance. Large…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-23 Shuto Endo , Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi

Collusion in market pricing is a concept associated with human actions to raise market prices through artificially limited supply. Recently, the idea of algorithmic collusion was put forward, where the human action in the pricing process is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-01-29 Suzie Grondin , Arthur Charpentier , Philipp Ratz

This paper studies a new active eavesdropping technique via the so-called spoofing relay attack, which could be launched by the eavesdropper to significantly enhance the information leakage rate from the source over conventional passive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-30 Yong Zeng , Rui Zhang

As online fraudsters invest more resources, including purchasing large pools of fake user accounts and dedicated IPs, fraudulent attacks become less obvious and their detection becomes increasingly challenging. Existing approaches such as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-26 Shenghua Liu , Bryan Hooi , Christos Faloutsos