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Independent component (IC) models are a standard tool for representing multivariate data in statistics, signal processing, and machine learning. Despite the extensive use of IC models, much less attention has been given to goodness-of-fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Mingshuo Liu , Siyao Wang , Miles E. Lopes

Auto-calibration is an important property of regression functions for actuarial applications. Comparably little is known about statistical testing of auto-calibration. Denuit et al.~(2024) recently published a test with an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Mario V. Wüthrich

Selective regression allows abstention from prediction if the confidence to make an accurate prediction is not sufficient. In general, by allowing a reject option, one expects the performance of a regression model to increase at the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Abhin Shah , Yuheng Bu , Joshua Ka-Wing Lee , Subhro Das , Rameswar Panda , Prasanna Sattigeri , Gregory W. Wornell

A new family of penalty functions, adaptive to likelihood, is introduced for model selection in general regression models. It arises naturally through assuming certain types of prior distribution on the regression parameters. To study…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-26 Yang Feng , Tengfei Li , Zhiliang Ying

In this paper several related estimation problems are addressed from a Bayesian point of view and optimal estimators are obtained for each of them when some natural loss functions are considered. Namely, we are interested in estimating a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 A. G. Nogales

Measurement error is an important problem that has not been very well studied in the context of Functional Data Analysis. To the best of our knowledge, there are no existing methods that address the presence of functional measurement errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Sneha Jadhav , Shuangge Ma

We develop a general statistical framework for the analysis and inference of large tree-structured data, with a focus on developing asymptotic goodness-of-fit tests. We first propose a consistent statistical model for binary trees, from…

Probability predictions from binary regressions or machine learning methods ought to be calibrated: If an event is predicted to occur with probability $x$, it should materialize with approximately that frequency, which means that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-11 Timo Dimitriadis , Lutz Duembgen , Alexander Henzi , Marius Puke , Johanna Ziegel

A function of the empirical characteristic function,exists for the stable distribution, which leads to a linear regression and can be used to estimate the parameters. Two approaches are often used, one to find optimal values of t, but these…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

In survival or reliability studies, the mean residual life or life expectancy is an important characteristic of the model. Whereas the failure rate can be expressed quite simply in terms of the mean residual life and its derivative, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ramesh C. Gupta , David M. Bradley

The regression function is one of the key objects of binary classification, since it not only determines a Bayes optimal classifier, hence, defines an optimal decision boundary, but also encodes the conditional distribution of the output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

In many statistical modeling frameworks, goodness-of-fit tests are typically administered to the estimated residuals. In the time series setting, whiteness of the residuals is assessed using the sample autocorrelation function. For many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Phyllis Wan , Richard A. Davis

Spatial point processes are used as models in many different fields ranging from ecology and forestry to cosmology and materials science. In recent years, model validation, and in particular goodness-of-fit testing of a proposed point…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Chiara Fend , Claudia Redenbach

Classical tests of goodness-of-fit aim to validate the conformity of a postulated model to the data under study. Given their inferential nature, they can be considered a crucial step in confirmatory data analysis. In their standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sara Algeri , Xiangyu Zhang

In this paper, we are concerned with nonparametric inference on the volatility of volatility process in stochastic volatility models. We construct several estimators for its integrated version in a high-frequency setting, all based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Mathias Vetter

We introduce a general framework for testing goodness-of-fit for Gaussian graphical models in both the low- and high-dimensional settings. This framework is based on a novel algorithm for generating exchangeable copies by conditioning on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Xiaotong Lin , Weihao Li , Fangqiao Tian , Dongming Huang

In functional linear regression, the parameters estimation involves solving a non necessarily well-posed problem and it has points of contact with a range of methodologies, including statistical smoothing, deconvolution and projection on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Andrea Ghiglietti , Francesca Ieva , Anna Maria Paganoni , Giacomo Aletti

Linear models are foundational tools in statistics and ubiquitous across the applied sciences. However, conventional statistical inference -- such as $t$-tests and $F$-tests -- are only valid at fixed sample sizes, making them unsuitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Michael Lindon , Dae Woong Ham , Martin Tingley , Iavor Bojinov

We provide novel characterizations of multivariate normality that incorporate both the characteristic function and the moment generating function, and we employ these results to construct a class of affine invariant, consistent and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-12 Norbert Henze , María Dolores Jiménez-Gamero , Simos G. Meintanis

As neural networks become more popular, the need for accompanying uncertainty estimates increases. There are currently two main approaches to test the quality of these estimates. Most methods output a density. They can be compared by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes