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The advent of data science has provided an increasing number of challenges with high data complexity. This paper addresses the challenge of space-time data where the spatial domain is not a planar surface, a sphere, or a linear network, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Emilio Porcu , Philip A. White , Marc G. Genton

Treeging combines the flexible mean structure of regression trees with the covariance-based prediction strategy of kriging into the base learner of an ensemble prediction algorithm. In so doing, it combines the strengths of the two primary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Gregory L. Watson , Michael Jerrett , Colleen E. Reid , Donatello Telesca

Modelling spatio-temporal processes has become an important issue in current research. Since Gaussian processes are essentially determined by their second order structure, broad classes of covariance functions are of interest. Here, a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Martin Schlather

Analysis of geospatial data has traditionally been model-based, with a mean model, customarily specified as a linear regression on the covariates, and a covariance model, encoding the spatial dependence. We relax the strong assumption of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Wentao Zhan , Abhirup Datta

Spatial models for areal data are often constructed such that all pairs of adjacent regions are assumed to have near-identical spatial autocorrelation. In practice, data can exhibit dependence structures more complicated than can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Michael F. Christensen , Peter D. Hoff

Circular data arise in many areas of application. Recently, there has been interest in looking at circular data collected separately over time and over space. Here, we extend some of this work to the spatio-temporal setting, introducing…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Alan E. Gelfand

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

The construction of valid and flexible cross-covariance functions is a fundamental task for modeling multivariate space-time data arising from climatological and oceanographical phenomena. Indeed, a suitable specification of the covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-23 Alfredo Alegría , Emilio Porcu , Reinhard Furrer , Jorge Mateu

We provide a novel approach to model space-time random fields where the temporal argument is decomposed into two parts. The former captures the linear argument, which is related, for instance, to the annual evolution of the field. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-18 Alfredo Alegría , Emilio Porcu

Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

With the advent of wide-spread global and continental-scale spatiotemporal datasets, increased attention has been given to covariance functions on spheres over time. This paper provides results for stationary covariance functions of random…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Philip White , Emilio Porcu

In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-11 Mark D. Risser

We consider four main goals when fitting spatial linear models: 1) estimating covariance parameters, 2) estimating fixed effects, 3) kriging (making point predictions), and 4) block-kriging (predicting the average value over a region). Each…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-16 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Michael Dumelle , Matt Higham , Erin E. Peterson , Daniel J. Isaak

Gaussian random fields (GRF) are a fundamental stochastic model for spatiotemporal data analysis. An essential ingredient of GRF is the covariance function that characterizes the joint Gaussian distribution of the field. Commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Jie Chen , Michael L. Stein

Analyzing massive spatial datasets using Gaussian process model poses computational challenges. This is a problem prevailing heavily in applications such as environmental modeling, ecology, forestry and environmental heath. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Suman Majumder , Yawen Guan , Brian J. Reich , Arvind K. Saibaba

This work is focused on constructing space-time covariance functions through a hierarchical mixture approach that can serve as building blocks for capturing complex dependency structures. This hierarchical mixture approach provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Pulong Ma

In spatial statistics, a common objective is to predict values of a spatial process at unobserved locations by exploiting spatial dependence. Kriging provides the best linear unbiased predictor using covariance functions and is often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-25 Wanfang Chen , Yuxiao Li , Brian J Reich , Ying Sun

Latent space models are effective tools for statistical modeling and exploration of network data. These models can effectively model real world network characteristics such as degree heterogeneity, transitivity, homophily, etc. Due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-21 Zhuang Ma , Zongming Ma

In spatial statistics, kriging models are often designed using a stationary covariance structure; this translation-invariance produces models which have numerous favorable properties. This assumption can be limiting, though, in…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-04 Michael McCourt , Gregory Fasshauer , David Kozak

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

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