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Clouds play a key role in regulating climate change but are difficult to simulate within Earth system models (ESMs). Improving the representation of clouds is one of the key tasks towards more robust climate change projections. This study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-28 A. Kaps , A. Lauer , G. Camps-Valls , P. Gentine , L. Gómez-Chova , V. Eyring

Accurately describing the distribution of CO$_2$ in the atmosphere with atmospheric tracer transport models is essential for greenhouse gas monitoring and verification support systems to aid implementation of international climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Vitus Benson , Ana Bastos , Christian Reimers , Alexander J. Winkler , Fanny Yang , Markus Reichstein

Energy research software (ERS) is a central cornerstone to facilitate energy research. However, ERS is developed by researchers who, in many cases, lack formal training in software engineering. This reduces the quality of ERS, leading to…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Stephan Ferenz , Emilie Frost , Rico Schrage , Thomas Wolgast , Inga Beyers , Oliver Karras , Oliver Werth , Astrid Nieße

All numerical weather prediction models used for the wind industry need to produce their forecasts starting from the main synoptic hours 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC, once the analysis becomes available. The six-hour latency time between two…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-31 Gabriele Casciaro , Francesco Ferrari , Daniele Lagomarsino Oneto , Andrea Lira-Loarca , Andrea Mazzino

The dominant paradigm in machine learning is to assess model performance based on average loss across all samples in some test set. This amounts to averaging performance geospatially across the Earth in weather and climate settings, failing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Nick Masi , Randall Balestriero

Modeling weather and climate is an essential endeavor to understand the near- and long-term impacts of climate change, as well as inform technology and policymaking for adaptation and mitigation efforts. In recent years, there has been a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Tung Nguyen , Jason Jewik , Hritik Bansal , Prakhar Sharma , Aditya Grover

An influential step in weather forecasting was the introduction of ensemble forecasts in operational use due to their capability to account for the uncertainties in the future state of the atmosphere. However, ensemble weather forecasts are…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-25 Mária Lakatos , Sebastian Lerch , Stephan Hemri , Sándor Baran

The 7.3 GHz (350 MHz bandwidth) Earth Observation Satellite (EOS) band, while not protected, is used for Passive Sea Surface Temperature (P-SST) measurements that provide important data for weather forecasts, coastal disaster prevention,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-17 Elliot Eichen , Arvind Aradhya , Oren Collaco

Climate change poses an existential threat, necessitating effective climate policies to enact impactful change. Decisions in this domain are incredibly complex, involving conflicting entities and evidence. In the last decades, policymakers…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-29 James Rudd-Jones , Fiona Thendean , María Pérez-Ortiz

The European Open Science Cloud (EOSC) aims to create a federated environment for hosting and processing research data to support science in all disciplines without geographical boundaries, such that data, software, methods and publications…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-14 Eva Sciacca , Fabio Vitello , Ugo Becciani , Cristobal Bordiu , Filomena Bufano , Antonio Calanducci , Alessandro Costa , Mario Raciti , Simone Riggi

We consider the effect of different temporal error structures on the inference of equilibrium climate sensitivity\footnote{ECS is defined as the realized equilibrium surface warming---globally-averaged surface air temperature---for a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-13 B. T. Nadiga , N. M. Urban

Remote sensing world models aim to both explain observed changes and forecast plausible futures, two tasks that share spatiotemporal priors. Existing methods, however, typically address them separately, limiting cross-task transfer. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Linrui Xu , Zhongan Wang , Fei Shen , Gang Xu , Huiping Zhuang , Ming Li , Haifeng Li

We present the CIENS dataset, which contains ensemble weather forecasts from the operational convection-permitting numerical weather prediction model of the German Weather Service. It comprises forecasts for 55 meteorological variables…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-07 Sebastian Lerch , Benedikt Schulz , Reinhold Hess , Annette Möller , Cristina Primo , Sebastian Trepte , Susanne Theis

Effective adaptation and mitigation strategies for climate change require high-resolution projections to inform strategic decision-making. Conventional global climate models, which typically operate at resolutions of 150 to 200 kilometers,…

We present a non-linear AI-model designed to reconstruct monthly mean anomalies of the European temperature and precipitation based on the Euro-Atlantic Weather regimes (WR) indices. WR represent recurrent, quasi-stationary, and persistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 A. Camilletti , G. Franch , E. Tomasi , M. Cristoforetti

Climate policy studies require models that capture the combined effects of multiple greenhouse gases on global temperature, but these models are computationally expensive and difficult to embed in reinforcement learning. We present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Oskar Bohn Lassen , Serio Angelo Maria Agriesti , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Camara Pereira

Wind power is expected to play a crucial role in future net-zero energy systems, but wind power simulations to support deployment strategies vary drastically in their results, hindering reliable design decisions. Therefore, we present a…

Earth system science is producing increasingly large, high-dimensional datasets from physics based Earth system models to AI-based weather and climate models. Embedding-based representations can make these data searchable through similarity…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-05-05 Nihanth W. Cherukuru , Matt Rehme , Kirsten J. Mayer , David John Gagne , John Schreck , John Clyne , Charlie Becker

Time series forecasting models are increasingly scaled through large Transformer backbones, yet most existing approaches process all series through a shared dense computation path despite substantial heterogeneity in temporal structure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Rui Wang , Renhao Xue , Ray Razi , Huan Song , Hannah R. Marlowe

Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and especially of extreme events like floods and droughts. In existing ESMs, precipitation is not resolved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Michael Aich , Sebastian Bathiany , Philipp Hess , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers