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We propose a recursive Bayesian estimation procedure for multivariate autoregressive models with exogenous inputs based on message passing in a factor graph. Unlike recursive least-squares, our method produces full posterior distributions…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 T. N. Nisslbeck , Wouter M. Kouw

Machine learning for scientific discovery is increasingly becoming popular because of its ability to extract and recognize the nonlinear characteristics from the data. The black-box nature of deep learning methods poses difficulties in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-19 Ashish Pal , Satish Nagarajaiah

Uncertainty-aware robot motion prediction is crucial for downstream traversability estimation and safe autonomous navigation in unstructured, off-road environments, where terrain is heterogeneous and perceptual uncertainty is high. Most…

In powder diffraction data analysis, phase identification is the process of determining the crystalline phases in a sample using its characteristic Bragg peaks. For multiphasic spectra, we must also determine the relative weight fraction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Patrick Hosein , Jaimie Greasley

This paper proposes a differentially private recursive least squares algorithm to estimate the parameter of autoregressive systems with exogenous inputs and multi-participants (MP-ARX systems) and protect each participant's sensitive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Jianwei Tan , Jimin Wang , Ji-Feng Zhang

Focusing on stochastic programming (SP) with covariate information, this paper proposes an empirical risk minimization (ERM) method embedded within a nonconvex piecewise affine decision rule (PADR), which aims to learn the direct mapping…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Yiyang Zhang , Junyi Liu , Xiaobo Zhao

We present a unified convergence theory for gradient-based training of neural network methods for partial differential equations (PDEs), covering both physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and the Deep Ritz method. For linear PDEs, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Wei Zhao , Tao Luo

In medical applications such as recognizing the type of a tumor as Malignant or Benign, a wrong diagnosis can be devastating. Methods like Fuzzy Support Vector Machines (FSVM) try to reduce the effect of misplaced training points by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Marzieh Parandehgheibi

Probabilistic models with discrete latent variables naturally capture datasets composed of discrete classes. However, they are difficult to train efficiently, since backpropagation through discrete variables is generally not possible. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-25 Jason Tyler Rolfe

Additive models belong to the class of structured nonparametric regression models that do not suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Finding the additive components that are nonzero when the true model is assumed to be sparse is an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Suneel Babu Chatla , Abhijit Mandal

We describe and analyze a broad class of mixture models for real-valued multivariate data in which the probability density of observations within each component of the model is represented as an arbitrary combination of basis functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 M. E. J. Newman

Effective properties of materials with random heterogeneous structures are typically determined by homogenising the mechanical quantity of interest in a window of observation. The entire problem setting encompasses the solution of a local…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Felipe Rocha , Simone Deparis , Pablo Antolin , Annalisa Buffa

Machine learning based partial differential equations (PDEs) solvers have received great attention in recent years. Most progress in this area has been driven by deep neural networks such as physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Chunyang Liao

We study the problem of learning a directed acyclic graph from data generated according to an additive, non-linear structural equation model with Gaussian noise. We express each non-linear function through a basis expansion, and derive a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Xiaozhu Zhang , Nir Keret , Ali Shojaie , Armeen Taeb

Machine learning techniques have recently been of great interest for solving differential equations. Training these models is classically a data-fitting task, but knowledge of the expression of the differential equation can be used to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-26 James H. Adler , Samuel Hocking , Xiaozhe Hu , Shafiqul Islam

This paper studies distributionally robust optimization for a rich class of risk measures with ambiguity sets defined by $\phi$-divergences. The risk measures are allowed to be non-linear in probabilities, are represented by Choquet…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Guanyu Jin , Roger J. A. Laeven , Dick den Hertog

We address the identifiablity and estimation of recursive max-linear structural equation models represented by an edge weighted directed acyclic graph (DAG). Such models are generally unidentifiable and we identify the whole class of DAGs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Nadine Gissibl , Claudia Klüppelberg , Steffen Lauritzen

We present a numerical framework for recovering unknown non-autonomous dynamical systems with time-dependent inputs. To circumvent the difficulty presented by the non-autonomous nature of the system, our method transforms the solution state…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-04 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

Finite mixture models are useful in applied econometrics. They can be used to model unobserved heterogeneity, which plays major roles in labor economics, industrial organization and other fields. Mixtures are also convenient in dealing with…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-08 Yuichi Kitamura , Louise Laage

With new advances in machine learning and in particular powerful learning libraries, we illustrate some of the new possibilities they enable in terms of nonlinear system identification. For a large class of hybrid systems, we explain how…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Mattias Fält , Pontus Giselsson