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COVID-19 has challenged health systems to learn how to learn. This paper describes the context, methods and challenges for learning to improve COVID-19 care at one academic health center. Challenges to learning include: (1) choosing a right…

In the absence of any proper clinical solution, human civilization is only left with sophisticated intervention measures to contain the spread of COVID-19. However, the existing models to estimate the intervention does not take into account…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Suman Dutta

Causal identification of treatment effects for infectious disease outcomes in interconnected populations is challenging because infection outcomes may be transmissible to others, and treatment given to one individual may affect others'…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Xiaoxuan Cai , Eben Kenah , Forrest W. Crawford

Breaking a complex bio-social phenomenon (epidemic) into its components, considering the processes that determine its dynamics, formalizing the accepted hypotheses in mathematical equations, selecting appropriate experimental and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-16 A. V. Sokolov , L. A. Sokolova

Matching is one of the most widely used causal inference frameworks in observational studies. However, all the existing matching-based causal inference methods are designed for either a single treatment with general treatment types (e.g.,…

This technical report describes a dynamic causal model of the spread of coronavirus through a population. The model is based upon ensemble or population dynamics that generate outcomes, like new cases and deaths over time. The purpose of…

Beginning in April 2020, we gathered partial county-level data on non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, using both volunteer and paid crowdsourcing. In this report, we…

Analyzing the behaviour of a population in response to disease and interventions is critical to unearth variability in healthcare as well as understand sub-populations that require specialized attention, but also to assist in designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Isaiah Onando Mulang' , William Ogallo , Girmaw Abebe Tadesse , Aisha Walcott-Bryant

We extract entities and relationships related to COVID-19 from a corpus of articles related to Corona virus by employing a novel entities and relationship model. The entity recognition and relationship discovery models are trained with a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Kuldeep Singh , Puneet Singla , Ketan Sarode , Anurag Chandrakar , Chetan Nichkawde

The COVID-19 pandemic underscored a critical need for intervention strategies that balance disease containment with socioeconomic stability. We approach this challenge by designing a framework for modeling and evaluating disease-spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Marian Chen , Miri Zilka

Estimating the causal effect of a time-varying public health intervention on the course of an infectious disease epidemic is an important methodological challenge. During the COVID-19 pandemic, researchers attempted to estimate the effects…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-20 Yichi Zhang , Forrest W. Crawford

Nowadays, due to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, epidemic modelling is experiencing a constantly growing interest from researchers of heterogeneous fields of study. Indeed, the vast literature on computational epidemiology offers solid grounds for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Giulio Rossetti , Letizia Milli , Salvatore Citraro , Virginia Morini

Understanding the characteristics of public attention and sentiment is an essential prerequisite for appropriate crisis management during adverse health events. This is even more crucial during a pandemic such as COVID-19, as primary…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Oguzhan Gencoglu , Mathias Gruber

In fighting infectious diseases posing a global health threat, ranging from influenza to Zika, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI), such as social distancing and face covering, remain mitigation measures public health can resort to.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-12 Alina Glaubitz , Feng Fu

An important task in early phase drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. While a variety of different subgroup identification methods have been developed for the situation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp , Heidi Seibold

As COVID-19 is rapidly spreading across the globe, short-term modeling forecasts provide time-critical information for decisions on containment and mitigation strategies. A main challenge for short-term forecasts is the assessment of key…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Jonas Dehning , Johannes Zierenberg , F. Paul Spitzner , Michael Wibral , Joao Pinheiro Neto , Michael Wilczek , Viola Priesemann

In response to the need for rapid and accurate COVID-19 diagnosis during the global pandemic, we present a two-stage framework that leverages pseudo labels for domain adaptation to enhance the detection of COVID-19 from CT scans. By…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-19 Runtian Yuan , Qingqiu Li , Junlin Hou , Jilan Xu , Yuejie Zhang , Rui Feng , Hao Chen

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a vast amount of growth for statistical models and methods which characterize features of disease outbreaks. One class of models that came to light in this regard has been the use of self-exciting point…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-29 Peter Boyd , James Molyneux

We present a phenomenological procedure of dealing with the COVID--19 data provided by government health agencies of eleven different countries. Instead of using the (exact or approximate) solutions to the SIR (or other) model(s) to fit the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-02 Sergio A. Hojman , Felipe A. Asenjo

The COVID-19 pandemic has presented unprecedented challenges worldwide, necessitating effective modelling approaches to understand and control its transmission dynamics. In this study, we propose a novel approach that integrates…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Moein Khalighi , Leo Lahti , Faïçal Ndaïrou , Peter Rashkov , Delfim F. M. Torres
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