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Related papers: Identification and control of SARS-CoV-2 epidemic …

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This paper is devoted to the multidisciplinary modelling of a pandemic initiated by an aggressive virus, specifically the so-called \textit{SARS--CoV--2 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, corona virus n.2}. The study is developed within a…

According to the current perception, symptomatic, presymptomatic, and asymptomatic infectious persons can infect the healthy population susceptible to the SARS-Cov-2. More importantly, various reports indicate that the number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-24 Saptarshi Chatterjee , Apurba Sarkar , Mintu Karmakar , Swarnajit Chatterjee , Raja Paul

In this paper, we consider a compartmental SIRS epidemic model with asymptomatic infection and seasonal succession, which is a periodic discontinuous differential system. The basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ is defined and valuated…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Yilei Tang , Dongmei Xiao , Weinian Zhang , Di Zhu

Since December 2019 the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has been identified as the cause of the pandemic COVID-19. Early symptoms overlap with other common conditions such as common cold and Influenza, making early screening and diagnosis are…

In December 2019, a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) has been identified to cause acute respiratory disease in humans. An outbreak of this disease has been reported in mainland China with the city of Wuhan as the recognized epicenter. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-07 Jomar F. Rabajante

We consider here an extended SIR model, including several features of the recent COVID-19 outbreak: in particular the infected and recovered individuals can either be detected (+) or undetected (-) and we also integrate an intensive care…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 Arthur Charpentier , Romuald Elie , Mathieu Laurière , Viet Chi Tran

COVID-19--a viral infectious disease--has quickly emerged as a global pandemic infecting millions of people with a significant number of deaths across the globe. The symptoms of this disease vary widely. Depending on the symptoms an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-23 Madhab Barman , Snigdhashree Nayak , Manoj K. Yadav , Soumyendu Raha , Nachiketa Mishra

Our study is based on an epidemiological compartmental model, the SIRS model. In the SIRS model, each individual is in one of the states susceptible (S), infected(I) or recovered (R), depending on its state of health. In compartment R, an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-10 Michael Bestehorn , Thomas M. Michelitsch

Background: The analysis of the Sars-CoV-2 epidemic is of paramount importance to understand the dynamics of the coronavirus spread. This can help health and government authorities take the appropriate measures and implement suitable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-04 Pedro Teles

In this work we look at several mathematical models that have been constructed during the present pandemic to address dfferent issues of importance to public health policies about epidemic scenarios and thier causes. We start by briefly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-19 Jorge X. Velasco-Hernandez

Disease transmission is studied through disciplines like epidemiology, applied mathematics, and statistics. Mathematical simulation models for transmission have implications in solving public and personal health challenges. The SIR model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-04 R. Jayatilaka , R. Patel , M. Brar , Y. Tang , N. M. Jisrawi , F. Chishtie , J. Drozd , S. R. Valluri

In the context of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, mathematical modelling has played a fundamental role for making forecasts, simulating scenarios and evaluating the impact of preventive political, social and pharmaceutical measures. Optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-01 Giovanni Ziarelli , Luca Dede' , Nicola Parolini , Marco Verani , Alfio Quarteroni

The surprisingly mercurial Covid-19 pandemic has highlighted the need to not only accelerate research on infectious disease, but to also study them using novel techniques and perspectives. A major contributor to the difficulty of containing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-21 Aminur Rahman , Angela Peace , Ramesh Kesawan , Souparno Ghosh

In this study, a new and natural way of constructing a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is proposed. This approach is natural in the sense that the disease transmission rate, $\beta$, is substituted with a generic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Berk Tan Perçin

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model has successfully mimicked the propagation of such airborne diseases as influenza A (H1N1). Although the SIR model has recently been studied in a multilayer networks configuration, in almost all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-16 L. G. Alvarez Zuzek , H. E. Stanley , L. A. Braunstein

In this paper we create a compartmental, stochastic process model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, where the process's mean and variance have distinct dynamics. The model is fit to time series data from Washington from January 2020 to March 2021…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-05 Niket Thakkar , Mike Famulare

Testing of symptomatic persons for infection with SARS-CoV-2 is occurring worldwide. We propose two types of case-control studies that can be carried out jointly in test-settings for symptomatic persons. The first, the test-negative…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-08 Jan P Vandenbroucke , Elizabeth B Brickley , Christina M J E Vandenbroucke-Grauls , Neil Pearce

In this paper, we present stochastic synchronous cellular automaton defined on a square lattice. The automaton rules are based on the SEIR (susceptible $\to$ exposed $\to$ infected $\to$ recovered) model with probabilistic parameters…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2022-06-22 Szymon Biernacki , Krzysztof Malarz

A mathematical model was developed describing the dynamic of the COVID-19 virus over a population considering that the infected can either be symptomatic or not. The model was calibrated using data on the confirmed cases and death from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-14 Jayrold P. Arcede , Randy L. Caga-anan , Cheryl Q. Mentuda , Youcef Mammeri

The COVID-19 pandemic has presented unprecedented challenges worldwide, necessitating effective modelling approaches to understand and control its transmission dynamics. In this study, we propose a novel approach that integrates…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Moein Khalighi , Leo Lahti , Faïçal Ndaïrou , Peter Rashkov , Delfim F. M. Torres