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Physical measurements constitute a large portion of numbers in academic papers, engineering reports, and web tables. Current benchmarks fall short of properly evaluating numeracy of pretrained language models on measurements, hindering…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Daniel Spokoyny , Ivan Lee , Zhao Jin , Taylor Berg-Kirkpatrick

Time series forecasts are widely used to inform decisions. Human decision-makers interpret these forecasts, incorporate prior experience and uncertainty about future outcomes, and then make a decision. In this paper, we propose a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Daniel Andrew Coulson , Martin T. Wells

We propose a new neurally-inspired model that can learn to encode the global relationship context of visual events across time and space and to use the contextual information to modulate the analysis by synthesis process in a predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-17 Mingmin Zhao , Chengxu Zhuang , Yizhou Wang , Tai Sing Lee

An important feature of all real-world networks is that the network structure changes over time. Due to this dynamic nature, it becomes difficult to propose suitable growth models that can explain the various important characteristic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-02-17 Sandipan Sikdar , Niloy Ganguly , Animesh Mukherjee

Hand kinematics can be measured in Human-Computer Interaction (HCI) with the intention to predict the user's intention in a reach-to-grasp action. Using multiple hand sensors, multivariate time series data are being captured. Given a number…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Reyhaneh Sabbagh Gol , Dimitar Valkov , Lars Linsen

Forecasting future events is a fundamental challenge for temporal knowledge graphs (tKG). As in real life predicting a mean function is most of the time not sufficient, but the question remains how confident can we be about our prediction?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Soeren Nolting , Zhen Han , Volker Tresp

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

Bayesian inference promises a framework for principled uncertainty quantification of neural network predictions. Barriers to adoption include the difficulty of fully characterizing posterior distributions on network parameters and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Katharine Fisher , Youssef Marzouk

The Ubicomp Digital 2020 -- Time Series Classification Challenge from STABILO is a challenge about multi-variate time series classification. The data collected from 100 volunteer writers, and contains 15 features measured with multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-05 Wei-Cheng Lai , Hendrik Schröter

Prediction and discovery of new materials with desired properties are at the forefront of quantum science and technology research. A major bottleneck in this field is the computational resources and time complexity related to finding new…

Language models that are trained on the next-word prediction task have been shown to accurately model human behavior in word prediction and reading speed. In contrast with these findings, we present a scenario in which the performance of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Aditya R. Vaidya , Javier Turek , Alexander G. Huth

We discuss the Gaussian graphical model (GGM; an undirected network of partial correlation coefficients) and detail its utility as an exploratory data analysis tool. The GGM shows which variables predict one-another, allows for sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-09 Sacha Epskamp , Lourens J. Waldorp , René Mõttus , Denny Borsboom

Intermittent time series, characterised by the presence of a significant amount of zeros, constitute a large percentage of inventory items in supply chain. Probabilistic forecasts are needed to plan the inventory levels; the predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Stefano Damato , Nicolò Rubattu , Dario Azzimonti , Giorgio Corani

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Binary classification is one of the most common problem in machine learning. It consists in predicting whether a given element belongs to a particular class. In this paper, a new algorithm for binary classification is proposed using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Alexandre Quemy

Large language models such as GPT and Llama are trained with a next-token prediction loss. In this work, we suggest that training language models to predict multiple future tokens at once results in higher sample efficiency. More…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Athul Radhakrishnan , Siddhant Mohan , Mahima Sachdeva

Structured prediction plays a central role in machine learning applications from computational biology to computer vision. These models require significantly more computation than unstructured models, and, in many applications, algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-03 Alexander Grubb , Daniel Munoz , J. Andrew Bagnell , Martial Hebert

Given a visual history, multiple future outcomes for a video scene are equally probable, in other words, the distribution of future outcomes has multiple modes. Multimodality is notoriously hard to handle by standard regressors or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-05-08 Katerina Fragkiadaki , Jonathan Huang , Alex Alemi , Sudheendra Vijayanarasimhan , Susanna Ricco , Rahul Sukthankar

The challenge of effectively learning inter-series correlations for multivariate time series forecasting remains a substantial and unresolved problem. Traditional deep learning models, which are largely dependent on the Transformer paradigm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Wanlin Cai , Kun Wang , Hao Wu , Xiaoxu Chen , Yuankai Wu

This paper introduces a new approach for Multivariate Time Series forecasting that jointly infers and leverages relations among time series. Its modularity allows it to be integrated with current univariate methods. Our approach allows to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Victor Garcia Satorras , Syama Sundar Rangapuram , Tim Januschowski