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Autoregressive Recurrent Neural Networks are widely employed in time-series forecasting tasks, demonstrating effectiveness in univariate and certain multivariate scenarios. However, their inherent structure does not readily accommodate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Gareth Davies

With the rapidly worldwide spread of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), it is of great importance to conduct early diagnosis of COVID-19 and predict the time that patients might convert to the severe stage, for designing effective treatment…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-13 Xiaofeng Zhu , Bin Song , Feng Shi , Yanbo Chen , Rongyao Hu , Jiangzhang Gan , Wenhai Zhang , Man Li , Liye Wang , Yaozong Gao , Fei Shan , Dinggang Shen

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread all over the world for three years, but medical facilities in many areas still aren't adequate. There is a need for rapid COVID-19 diagnosis to identify high-risk patients and maximize the use…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-27 Lin Yang , Shuihua Wang , Yudong Zhang

We introduce a data-driven forecasting method for high-dimensional chaotic systems using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks. The proposed LSTM neural networks perform inference of high-dimensional dynamical systems in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-20 Pantelis R. Vlachas , Wonmin Byeon , Zhong Y. Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Petros Koumoutsakos

Reliable short term forecasting can provide potentially lifesaving insights into logistical planning, and in particular, into the optimal allocation of resources such as hospital staff and equipment. By reinterpreting COVID-19 daily cases…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-06 Yi Liang , James Unwin

Predicting an accurate expected number of future COVID-19 cases is essential to properly evaluate the effectiveness of any treatment or preventive measure. This study aimed to identify the most appropriate mathematical model to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-07 Natalia Blanco , Kristen Stafford , Marie-Claude Lavoie , Axel Brandenburg , Maria W. Gorna , Matthew Merski

We propose a novel approach that integrates machine learning into compartmental disease modeling to predict the progression of COVID-19. Our model is explainable by design as it explicitly shows how different compartments evolve and it uses…

Coronavirus outbreak is one of the most challenging pandemics for the entire human population of the planet Earth. Techniques such as the isolation of infected persons and maintaining social distancing are the only preventive measures…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Rahul Mishra , Hari Prabhat Gupta , Tanima Dutta

Short-term traffic forecasting based on deep learning methods, especially long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks, has received much attention in recent years. However, the potential of deep learning methods in traffic forecasting has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Zhiyong Cui , Ruimin Ke , Ziyuan Pu , Yinhai Wang

Chest computed tomography (CT) has played an essential diagnostic role in assessing patients with COVID-19 by showing disease-specific image features such as ground-glass opacity and consolidation. Image segmentation methods have proven to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-26 Seong Tae Kim , Leili Goli , Magdalini Paschali , Ashkan Khakzar , Matthias Keicher , Tobias Czempiel , Egon Burian , Rickmer Braren , Nassir Navab , Thomas Wendler

In this paper, we model the trajectory of the cumulative confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19 (in log scale) via a piecewise linear trend model. The model naturally captures the phase transitions of the epidemic growth rate via…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-10 Feiyu Jiang , Zifeng Zhao , Xiaofeng Shao

Epidemiological models with constant parameters may not capture satisfactory infection patterns in the presence of pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical mitigation measures during a pandemic, since infectiousness is a function of time. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-16 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

In this paper, we propose a machine learning technics and SIR models (deterministic and stochastic cases) with numerical approximations to predict the number of cases infected with the COVID-19, for both in few days and the following three…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-29 Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye , Lena Tendeng , Diaraf Seck

COVID-19 clinical trial design is a critical task in developing therapeutics for the prevention and treatment of COVID-19. In this study, we apply a deep learning approach to extract eligibility criteria variables from COVID-19 trials to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-12-21 Xiong Liu , Luca A. Finelli , Greg L. Hersch , Iya Khalil

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to ravage the world, it is of critical significance to provide a timely risk prediction of the COVID-19 in multi-level. To implement it and evaluate the public health policies, we develop a framework with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-02 Lingxiao Wang , Tian Xu , Till Hannes Stoecker , Horst Stoecker , Yin Jiang , Kai Zhou

Novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, has raised a calamitous situation all over the world and has become one of the most acute and severe ailments in the past hundred years. The prevalence rate of COVID-19 is rapidly rising every day…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-09 Md. Milon Islam , Fakhri Karray , Reda Alhajj , Jia Zeng

Purpose: Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19), which emerged in Wuhan, China and affected the whole world, has cost the lives of thousands of people. Manual diagnosis is inefficient due to the rapid spread of this virus. For this reason, automatic…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-12 Umut Özkaya , Şaban Öztürk , Serkan Budak , Farid Melgani , Kemal Polat

Background. Forecasting the time of forthcoming pandemic reduces the impact of diseases by taking precautionary steps such as public health messaging and raising the consciousness of doctors. With the continuous and rapid increase in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Muhammad Naeem , Jian Yu , Muhammad Aamir , Sajjad Ahmad Khan , Olayinka Adeleye , Zardad Khan

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted delayed reporting as a significant impediment to effective disease surveillance and decision-making. In the absence of timely data, statistical models which account for delays can be adopted to nowcast…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-19 Oliver Stoner , Theo Economou , Alba Halliday

The COVID-19 pandemic has had adverse effects on both physical and mental health. During this pandemic, numerous studies have focused on gaining insights into health-related perspectives from social media. In this study, our primary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Mahathir Mohammad Bishal , Md. Rakibul Hassan Chowdory , Anik Das , Muhammad Ashad Kabir