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Testing the validity of probabilistic models containing unmeasured (hidden) variables is shown to be a hard task. We show that the task of testing whether models are structurally incompatible with the data at hand, requires an exponential…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Dan Geiger , Azaria Paz , Judea Pearl

In the context of cluster analysis and graph partitioning, many external evaluation measures have been proposed in the literature to compare two partitions of the same set. This makes the task of selecting the most appropriate measure for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Nejat Arinik , Vincent Labatut , Rosa Figueiredo

Model-based clustering is widely-used in a variety of application areas. However, fundamental concerns remain about robustness. In particular, results can be sensitive to the choice of kernel representing the within-cluster data density.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-27 Leo L Duan , David B Dunson

The use of external data in clinical trials offers numerous advantages, such as reducing the number of patients, increasing study power, and shortening trial durations. In Bayesian inference, information in external data can be transferred…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Xuetao Lu , J. Jack Lee

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) augment deep networks with uncertainty quantification by Bayesian treatment of the network weights. However, such models face the challenge of Bayesian inference in a high-dimensional and usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Zhijie Deng , Yucen Luo , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

We consider the problem of analyzing multivariate time series collected on multiple subjects, with the goal of identifying groups of subjects exhibiting similar trends in their recorded measurements over time as well as time-varying groups…

Maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) are asymptotically normally distributed, and this property is used in meta-analyses to test the heterogeneity of estimates, either for a single cluster or for several sub-groups. More recently, MLEs for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-28 Anthony J. Webster

The traditional two-stage approach to causal inference first identifies a single causal model (or equivalence class of models), which is then used to answer causal queries. However, this neglects any epistemic model uncertainty. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Christian Toth , Christian Knoll , Franz Pernkopf , Robert Peharz

Network models provide a powerful framework for analysing single-cell count data, facilitating the characterisation of cellular identities, disease mechanisms, and developmental trajectories. However, uncertainty modeling in unsupervised…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-27 Shanshan Ren , Thomas E. Bartlett , Lina Gerontogianni , Swati Chandna

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to Bayesian experimental design for non-exchangeable data that formulates it as risk-sensitive policy optimization. We develop the Inside-Out SMC$^2$ algorithm, a nested sequential Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Sahel Iqbal , Adrien Corenflos , Simo Särkkä , Hany Abdulsamad

Correlated component analysis as proposed by Dmochowski et al. (2012) is a tool for investigating brain process similarity in the responses to multiple views of a given stimulus. Correlated components are identified under the assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-08 Simon Kamronn , Andreas Trier Poulsen , Lars Kai Hansen

We derive an efficient method to perform clustering of nodes in Gaussian graphical models directly from sample data. Nodes are clustered based on the similarity of their network neighborhoods, with edge weights defined by partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Keith Dillon

Causal Bayesian networks are widely used tools for summarising the dependencies between variables and elucidating their putative causal relationships. By restricting the search to trees, for example, learning the optimum from data is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-10 Felix L. Rios , Giusi Moffa , Jack Kuipers

Model selection in latent block models has been a challenging but important task in the field of statistics. Specifically, a major challenge is encountered when constructing a test on a block structure obtained by applying a specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Chihiro Watanabe , Taiji Suzuki

Bayesian neural networks perform variational inference over the weights however calculation of the posterior distribution remains a challenge. Our work builds on variational inference techniques for bayesian neural networks using the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Abhinav Sagar

The classical setting of community detection consists of networks exhibiting a clustered structure. To more accurately model real systems we consider a class of networks (i) whose edges may carry labels and (ii) which may lack a clustered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-27 Jiaming Xu , Laurent Massoulié , Marc Lelarge

Bayesian Networks (BNs) have become increasingly popular over the last few decades as a tool for reasoning under uncertainty in fields as diverse as medicine, biology, epidemiology, economics and the social sciences. This is especially true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Neville K. Kitson , Anthony C. Constantinou , Zhigao Guo , Yang Liu , Kiattikun Chobtham

Bayesian networks, and especially their structures, are powerful tools for representing conditional independencies and dependencies between random variables. In applications where related variables form a priori known groups, chosen to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-02 Pekka Parviainen , Samuel Kaski

The is no other model or hypothesis verification tool in Bayesian statistics that is as widely used as the Bayes factor. We focus on generative models that are likelihood-free and, therefore, render the computation of Bayes factors…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Jungeum Kim , Veronika Rockova

Computer-Aided Diagnosis has shown stellar performance in providing accurate medical diagnoses across multiple testing modalities (medical images, electrophysiological signals, etc.). While this field has typically focused on fully…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-21 Claire Donnat , Nina Miolane , Freddy Bunbury , Jack Kreindler
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