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The belief network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independences in a joint probability distribution. The methods, which perform probabilistic inference in belief networks, often treat the conditional probabilities…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

Especially when facing reliability data with limited information (e.g., a small number of failures), there are strong motivations for using Bayesian inference methods. These include the option to use information from physics-of-failure or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Qinglong Tian , Colin Lewis-Beck , Jarad Niemi , William Meeker

In this paper we introduce the first application of the Belief Propagation (BP) algorithm in the design of recommender systems. We formulate the recommendation problem as an inference problem and aim to compute the marginal probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-25 Erman Ayday , Arash Einolghozati , Faramarz Fekri

Network diffusion models are used to study disease transmission, information spread, technology adoption, and other socio-economic processes. We show that estimates of these diffusions are highly non-robust to mismeasurement. First, even…

Learned neural solvers have successfully been used to solve combinatorial optimization and decision problems. More general counting variants of these problems, however, are still largely solved with hand-crafted solvers. To bridge this gap,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Jonathan Kuck , Shuvam Chakraborty , Hao Tang , Rachel Luo , Jiaming Song , Ashish Sabharwal , Stefano Ermon

We propose a framework for general Bayesian inference. We argue that a valid update of a prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to observations through a loss function rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-29 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

We propose a feed-forward inference method applicable to belief and neural networks. In a belief network, the method estimates an approximate factorized posterior of all hidden units given the input. In neural networks the method propagates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-02 Alexander Shekhovtsov , Boris Flach , Michal Busta

Belief networks represent a powerful approach to problems involving probabilistic inference, but much of the work in this area is software based utilizing standard deterministic hardware based on the transistor which provides the gain and…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2016-07-26 Behtash Behin-Aein , Vinh Diep , Supriyo Datta

We study percolation on networks, which is used as a model of the resilience of networked systems such as the Internet to attack or failure and as a simple model of the spread of disease over human contact networks. We reformulate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-20 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman , Lenka Zdeborová

In the context of inference with expectation constraints, we propose an approach based on the "loopy belief propagation" algorithm LBP, as a surrogate to an exact Markov Random Field MRF modelling. A prior information composed of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Cyril Furtlehner , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes , Anne Auger

In the quest for scalable Bayesian computational algorithms we need to exploit the full potential of existing methodologies. In this note we point out that message passing algorithms, which are very well developed for inference in graphical…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-05 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Giacomo Zanella

Graph neural network models have been extensively used to learn node representations for graph structured data in an end-to-end setting. These models often rely on localized first order approximations of spectral graph convolutions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Mohammed Haroon Dupty , Wee Sun Lee

Recent developments show that Multiply Sectioned Bayesian Networks (MSBNs) can be used for diagnosis of natural systems as well as for model-based diagnosis of artificial systems. They can be applied to single-agent oriented reasoning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Yang Xiang

We present a novel distributed Gauss-Newton method for the non-linear state estimation (SE) model based on a probabilistic inference method called belief propagation (BP). The main novelty of our work comes from applying BP sequentially…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Mirsad Cosovic , Dejan Vukobratovic

Cascade models are central to understanding, predicting, and controlling epidemic spreading and information propagation. Related optimization, including influence maximization, model parameter inference, or the development of vaccination…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Rebekka Burkholz , John Quackenbush

Label propagation is a heuristic method initially proposed for community detection in networks, while the method can be adopted also for other types of network clustering and partitioning. Among all the approaches and techniques described…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Lovro Šubelj

Quantifying predictive uncertainty of neural networks has recently attracted increasing attention. In this work, we focus on measuring uncertainty of graph neural networks (GNNs) for the task of node classification. Most existing GNNs model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Zhao Xu , Carolin Lawrence , Ammar Shaker , Raman Siarheyeu

In recent years, researchers in decision analysis and artificial intelligence (AI) have used Bayesian belief networks to build models of expert opinion. Using standard methods drawn from the theory of computational complexity, workers in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 R. Martin Chavez , Gregory F. Cooper

Compressive sensing (CS) is an emerging field based on the revelation that a small collection of linear projections of a sparse signal contains enough information for stable, sub-Nyquist signal acquisition. When a statistical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-06-25 Dror Baron , Shriram Sarvotham , Richard G. Baraniuk