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This paper compares two different frameworks recently introduced in the literature for measuring risk in a multi-period setting. The first corresponds to applying a single coherent risk measure to the cumulative future costs, while the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dan A. Iancu , Marek Petrik , Dharmashankar Subramanian

Split conformal prediction has recently sparked great interest due to its ability to provide formally guaranteed uncertainty sets or intervals for predictions made by black-box neural models, ensuring a predefined probability of containing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 António Farinhas , Chrysoula Zerva , Dennis Ulmer , André F. T. Martins

Predictive geometric models deliver excellent results for many Machine Learning use cases. Despite their undoubted performance, neural predictive algorithms can show unexpected degrees of instability and variance, particularly when applied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-20 Michaela Regneri , Malte Hoffmann , Jurij Kost , Niklas Pietsch , Timo Schulz , Sabine Stamm

Adversarial training, originally designed to resist test-time adversarial examples, has shown to be promising in mitigating training-time availability attacks. This defense ability, however, is challenged in this paper. We identify a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Lue Tao , Lei Feng , Hongxin Wei , Jinfeng Yi , Sheng-Jun Huang , Songcan Chen

We investigate to which extent the relevant features of (static) Systemic Risk Measures can be extended to a conditional setting. After providing a general dual representation result, we analyze in greater detail Conditional Shortfall…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-12 Alessandro Doldi , Marco Frittelli

Credit risk scorecards are logistic regression models, fitted to large and complex data sets, employed by the financial industry to model the probability of default of a potential customer. In order to ensure that a scorecard remains a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 J. du Pisanie , J. S. Allison , I. J. H. Visagie

Stability selection is a popular method for improving feature selection algorithms. One of its key attributes is that it provides theoretical upper bounds on the expected number of false positives, E(FP), enabling false positive control in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Omar Melikechi , Jeffrey W. Miller

Modern biotechnologies often result in high-dimensional data sets with much more variables than observations (n $\ll$ p). These data sets pose new challenges to statistical analysis: Variable selection becomes one of the most important…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-06 Benjamin Hofner , Luigi Boccuto , Markus Göker

A well known result states that stability criterion for matchings in two-sided markets doesn't ensure uniqueness. This opens the door for a moral question with regard to the optimal stable matching from a social point of view. Here, a new…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Royi Jacobovic

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Structural models that admit multiple reduced forms, such as game-theoretic models with multiple equilibria, pose challenges in practice, especially when parameters are set-identified and the identified set is large. In such cases,…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-29 Nathan Canen , Kyungchul Song

Recent research reveals that machine learning (ML) models are highly sensitive to minor changes in their training procedure, such as the inclusion or exclusion of a single data point, leading to conflicting predictions on individual data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Falaah Arif Khan , Denys Herasymuk , Nazar Protsiv , Julia Stoyanovich

Conformance is defined as a measure of distance between the behaviors of two dynamical systems. The notion of conformance can accelerate system design when models of varying fidelities are available on which analysis and control design can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-15 Xin Qin , Navid Hashemi , Lars Lindemann , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh

A commonly used approach to study stability in a complex system is by analyzing the Jacobian matrix at an equilibrium point of a dynamical system. The equilibrium point is stable if all eigenvalues have negative real parts. Here, by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-02 James P. L. Tan

The paper deals with measures of nonlinearity. In state estimation, they are utilized i) to select a suitable state estimation algorithm by assessing the nonlinearity of a system model, ii) to adapt the estimation algorithm structure or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-10 Ondřej Straka , Jindřich Havlík

Intuitively, the concept of similarity is the notion to measure an inexact matching between two entities of the same reference set. The notions of similarity and its close relative dissimilarity are widely used in many fields of Artificial…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-13 Lluís A. Belanche

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

Statistical matching methods are widely used in the social and health sciences to estimate causal effects using observational data. Often the objective is to find comparable groups with similar covariate distributions in a dataset, with the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-19 Felix Bestehorn , Maike Bestehorn , Christian Kirches

We propose a novel measure for template matching named Deformable Diversity Similarity -- based on the diversity of feature matches between a target image window and the template. We rely on both local appearance and geometric information…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-19 Itamar Talmi , Roey Mechrez , Lihi Zelnik-Manor

Missing values are unavoidable in many applications of machine learning and present challenges both during training and at test time. When variables are missing in recurring patterns, fitting separate pattern submodels have been proposed as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Lena Stempfle , Ashkan Panahi , Fredrik D. Johansson
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