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Type Ia supernovae are a powerful cosmological probe, that gave the first strong evidence that the expansion of the universe is accelerating. Here we provide an overview of how supernovae can go further to reveal information about what is…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-05 Tamara M. Davis , David Parkinson

Nonparametric density estimation is an unsupervised learning problem. In this work we propose a two-step procedure that casts the density estimation problem in the first step into a supervised regression problem. The advantage is that we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Thijs Bos , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Over the past 30 years, numerous large-scale photometric astronomical surveys have been conducted, including SDSS, Pan-STARRS, Gaia,2MASS, WISE, and others. These surveys provide extensive photometric measurements that can be used to infer…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-03 Mateusz Kapusta

We propose a test for model specification of a parametric diffusion process based on a kernel estimation of the transitional density of the process. The empirical likelihood is used to formulate a statistic, for each kernel smoothing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Song Xi Chen , Jiti Gao , Cheng Yong Tang

We present the results of a study of selection criteria to identify Type Ia supernovae photometrically in a simulated mixed sample of Type Ia supernovae and core collapse supernovae. The simulated sample is a mockup of the expected results…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-07-19 Eda Gjergo , Jefferson Duggan , John D. Cunningham , Steve Kuhlmann , Rahul Biswas , Eve Kovacs , Joseph P. Bernstein , Harold Spinka

We study empirical and hierarchical Bayes approaches to the problem of estimating an infinite-dimensional parameter in mildly ill-posed inverse problems. We consider a class of prior distributions indexed by a hyperparameter that quantifies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-30 B. T. Knapik , B. T. Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

In this paper we introduce a method for resolving multi-parameter likelihoods by fixing all parameter values, but two. Evaluation of those two variables is followed by iteratively cycling through each of the parameters in turn until…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-10 Joel S. Jayson

We develop a computational framework to quantify uncertainty in shear elastography imaging of anomalies in tissues. We adopt a Bayesian inference formulation. Given the observed data, a forward model and their uncertainties, we find the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-07 Ana Carpio , Elena Cebrian , Andrea Gutierrez

This paper discusses the local linear smoothing to estimate the unknown first and second infinitesimal moments in second-order jump-diffusion model based on Gamma asymmetric kernels. Under the mild conditions, we obtain the weak consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Yuping Song , Hanchao Wang

When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

A flexible approach for modeling both dynamic event counting and dynamic link-based networks based on counting processes is proposed, and estimation in these models is studied. We consider nonparametric likelihood based estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Alexander Kreiß , Enno Mammen , Wolfgang Polonik

We here introduce a novel classification approach adopted from the nonlinear model identification framework, which jointly addresses the feature selection and classifier design tasks. The classifier is constructed as a polynomial expansion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-29 Aida Brankovic , Alessandro Falsone , Maria Prandini , Luigi Piroddi

Accounting for selection effects in supernova type Ia (SN Ia) cosmology is crucial for unbiased cosmological parameter inference -- even more so for the next generation of large, mostly photometric-only surveys. The conventional "bias…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-01 Konstantin Karchev , Roberto Trotta

We continue studies of the uncertainty quantification problem in emission tomographies such as PET or SPECT when additional multimodal data (e.g., anatomical MRI images) are available. To solve the aforementioned problem we adapt the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-03 Fedor Goncharov , Éric Barat , Thomas Dautremer

Non-parametric maximum likelihood estimation encompasses a group of classic methods to estimate distribution-associated functions from potentially censored and truncated data, with extensive applications in survival analysis. These methods,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-05 Justin D. Tubbs , Lane Guolan Chen , Thuan Quoc Thach , Pak C. Sham

The focus of modern biomedical studies has gradually shifted to explanation and estimation of joint effects of high dimensional predictors on disease risks. Quantifying uncertainty in these estimates may provide valuable insight into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Zhe Fei , Yi Li

Generalized linear models and the quasi-likelihood method extend the ordinary regression models to accommodate more general conditional distributions of the response. Nonparametric methods need no explicit parametric specification, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-23 Jianqing Fan , Yichao Wu , Yang Feng

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

"Particle methods" are sequential Monte Carlo algorithms, typically involving importance sampling, that are used to estimate and sample from joint and marginal densities from a collection of a, presumably increasing, number of random…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-17 J. N. Corcoran , D. Jennings

This paper presents a general framework for the estimation of regression models with circular covariates, where the conditional distribution of the response given the covariate can be specified through a parametric model. The estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 María Alonso-Pena , Irène Gijbels , Rosa M. Crujeiras